CNN/ORC: General election matchups close

[tpfkaw]

http://www.cnn.com/2015/12/04/politics/full-results-poll-general-election-2016/index.html

Clinton 50 Cruz   47 (D+3)
Clinton 49 Trump  46 (D+3)
Clinton 49 Bush   47 (D+2)
Clinton 48 Rubio  49 (R+1)
Clinton 47 Carson 50 (R+3)

[EliteLX]

http://www.cnn.com/2015/12/04/politics/full-results-poll-general-election-2016/index.html

Clinton 50 Cruz   47 (D+3)
Clinton 49 Trump  46 (D+3)
Clinton 49 Bush   47 (D+2)
Clinton 48 Rubio  49 (R+1)
Clinton 47 Carson 50 (R+3)

No surprise. Currently a tight race.

Good numbers for both sides.

[RFayette]

This does somewhat understate Clinton's advantage as she has a greater warchest (and a much smaller challenge clearing the primary), but the race will still be fairly close.

[Mr. Morden]

Carson's GE strength lives! 

He still has the most crossover appeal of any of the GOP candidates.  Doing better than any of the rest among both Democrats and Independents.  He's also the strongest GOP candidate in the Midwest, and among those making less than $50k.

Trump does a bit better than Carson among self-described "liberals", though.  10% of liberals say they support Trump over Clinton, while for Carson it's 9%.

[MT Treasurer]

Pretty good numbers for Republicans. CNN had Hillary up by Reaganesque margins just 8 months ago.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Lol get a good look at carsons lead because it wont last much longer.

[Classic Conservative]

Yes for Cruz

[Higgs]

Plausible numbers, this seems much more likely than that Quinnipiac national poll.

[henster]

Hillary only leading Rubio by 9 points with women (53-44) doing slightly worse than Obama (55-44) in 2012 and losing whites by 23 points (37-60) while Obama lost whites (39-59) in 2012. So far she's doing worse with whites and women the two groups she should be doing better with than Obama. From everything we've seen so far in the polls it seems almost guaranteed Hillary will do worse than Obama in 2012.

[Fusionmunster]

Hillary only leading Rubio by 9 points with women (53-44) doing slightly worse than Obama (55-44) in 2012 and losing whites by 23 points (37-60) while Obama lost whites (39-59) in 2012. So far she's doing worse with whites and women the two groups she should be doing better with than Obama. From everything we've seen so far in the polls it seems almost guaranteed Hillary will do worse than Obama in 2012.

Wut?

Nothing is almost guaranteed 11 months before a presidential election, absolutely nothing.
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=145697.0

Not good to make such bold predictions.

[Cruzcrew]

Good to see Cruz is competitive. Rubio has very good numbers and Carson's lead won't last long.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Good numbers for Clinton except for the Rubio numbers, she can beat either Cruz or Trump.

[F_S_USATN]

Dont think a GOP candidate has won with moderates since 84 and Rubio is +3 here. Also keeping it within single digits among women.

[Adam Griffin]

None of these Republican candidates have had to answer to a general election campaign (i.e.: they haven't been dragged through months of commentary and media indicating they're sexist, racist, backwards, etc) - of course the gender gap et al is going to be lower. With lesser-known commodities, entering the general election is the point at which their numbers largely deflate and become realistic. For well-known candidates like Clinton, simply entering the race is enough to do just that.