WI-Let America Work (R): Rubio+5
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  WI-Let America Work (R): Rubio+5
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Author Topic: WI-Let America Work (R): Rubio+5  (Read 2588 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: December 06, 2015, 10:09:01 AM »

Clinton (D): 42%
Rubio (R): 47%

Hillary Clinton is viewed unfavorably by a majority of Wisconsin voters – 52% unfavorable, 43% favorable.

Pretty questionable poll (from a GOP SuperPAC), even though the Obama approval numbers look right (51% disapprove -47% approve).

http://www.wispolitics.com/1006/151202Super.pdf
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: December 06, 2015, 10:39:27 AM »

Yeah .... no.

It's better to trust Marquette there and not some GOP joke pollster.

It would also mean that the Dems are down 10% nationally right now ...
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Hydera
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« Reply #2 on: December 06, 2015, 10:49:53 AM »

Yeah .... no.

It's better to trust Marquette there and not some GOP joke pollster.

It would also mean that the Dems are down 10% nationally right now ...

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=224205.msg4820610;boardseen#new

 Same poll also had Feingold at +1 in Wisconsin's senate election.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #3 on: December 06, 2015, 10:58:44 AM »

Yeah .... no.

It's better to trust Marquette there and not some GOP joke pollster.

Marquette also had Rubio up in WI (but only by 1), for what it's worth.

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #4 on: December 06, 2015, 11:11:29 AM »

Yeah .... no.

It's better to trust Marquette there and not some GOP joke pollster.

Marquette also had Rubio up in WI (but only by 1), for what it's worth.

Yes, exactly. For WI, Rubio+1 is much more likely than Rubio+5.


If this poll is R+5, then the national polls would have to be R+10 - because WI is about 3-5% more Dem than the nation as a whole.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: December 06, 2015, 11:24:30 AM »
« Edited: December 06, 2015, 11:28:23 AM by OC »

The WI polls were very Dem friendly, it is turning out to be a typical WI battleground state, and it should vote Dem.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #6 on: December 06, 2015, 04:51:57 PM »

The most recent Marquette polls were taken in the aftermath of the terrorist attacks in Paris. Concern about terror, even if such subsequently demonstrates the incompetence of Republicans, boosts Republicans in the polls. Before that, Democrats did extremely well in matchups for President.

"Let America Work" (R) -- is that a "Right to Work (for much less)" group?  Extremely partisan pollsters, and polls commissioned by groups associated with partisan agendas, should be rejected on principle. The only use that I have for such polls is when no other poll is available or likely to appear.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: December 06, 2015, 04:54:37 PM »

That's why the Dems are working with a new map now, forget about South, win NH, WI, Iowa & Co.
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King
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« Reply #8 on: December 06, 2015, 05:28:22 PM »

Let America work? Lmao
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #9 on: December 06, 2015, 08:14:20 PM »


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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: December 06, 2015, 08:16:36 PM »

Ron Johnson superPAC, ignore.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #11 on: December 07, 2015, 03:05:49 AM »


Way to stick it to 'em, Vol!
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Türkisblau
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« Reply #12 on: December 07, 2015, 11:17:34 AM »

Why do internals like these keep getting put into the database?
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Xing
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« Reply #13 on: December 07, 2015, 12:07:14 PM »

It's unlikely this is accurate, though Wisconsin will probably be somewhat competitive, at least initially. 3-5% more Democratic than the nation as a whole is reasonable. It was 3.1% more Democratic in 2012 with a Wisconsinite on the Republican ticket.
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