NH - PPP - Clinton generally underperforming Obama '12 (user search)
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  NH - PPP - Clinton generally underperforming Obama '12 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH - PPP - Clinton generally underperforming Obama '12  (Read 3607 times)
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« on: December 07, 2015, 02:34:05 PM »

Sanders/Rubio - 45/41
Sanders/Carson - 46/41
Sanders/Fiorina - 48/40
Sanders/Bush - 47/38
Sanders/Trump - 49/40
Sanders/Cruz - 48/38

Clinton/Rubio - 44/43
Clinton/Fiorina - 45/44
Clinton/Bush - 43/41
Clinton/Carson - 45/43
Clinton/Trump - 47/41
Clinton/Cruz - 47/39

But I thought Pubs were supposed to lose NH in a landslide......

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/12/hassanayotte-knotted-sanders-strongest-in-general.html
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #1 on: December 07, 2015, 02:42:11 PM »

Romney was up by 4 points on Obama in Dec 2011.  Clinton is doing at worst, 5 points better than Obama was at this point v Rubio and at best 12 points better than Obama was at this point v, Cruz.
I am of course referring to the state's final result, not 2011 polls.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #2 on: December 07, 2015, 06:18:07 PM »

Can you imagine any would-be Sanders voters voting for anyone other than Hillary Clinton should the Democrats nominate Hillary Clinton? I don't see a Ralph Nader this time. 

Jill Stein of the green party is running again. Last time, there was no real left-wing opposition to the democratic candidate, so she didn't get very far. But this time, Sanders is generating lots of anger at establishment dems, and he may not enthusiastically endorse Hillary when he loses. So there could be real room for Jill Stein to sweep in and get a few of those currently supporting Sanders. Even just getting to 2 or 3 percent statewide could hand NH to republicans.
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