Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
Posts: 44,073
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« on: December 07, 2015, 08:59:19 PM » |
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Urban/rural split on Carson is huge. He’s at 21% in rural areas and 6% in urban areas. If that matches how he does in other parts of the country, then he’s kind of screwed, delegate-wise, since the Republican delegate allocation is so slanted towards Democratic-leaning districts. He doesn’t really have that much chance to pick up delegates in states where he comes in 2nd, 3rd, or 4th statewide. You typically have to win some CDs in order to get delegates.
Anyway, Trump leads among all demographic groups except white evangelicals.
white evangelicals:
Cruz 26%
Trump 24%
Carson 20%
Rubio 12%
all others:
Trump 40%
Cruz 16%
Carson 12%
Rubio 11%
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