Do you guys think NC will continue to trend Democratic? It has been trending Democratic quickly since the year 2000. Hillary will get less black and youth turnout and support than Obama did, but she will rebound among working class whites. Hard to say which one will overpower the other.
Here is how NC voted relative to the nation sine 2000 :
2000: R + 12.33
2004 : R + 9.94
2008 : R + 7
2012 : R + 6
If the trend continues, and Hillary wins by 5 points nationally, then NC should be winnable.
What makes you think she will do better among working-class white? In fact many polls have showed her doing worse with whites than Obama. I wouldn't be surprised to see her losing NC like Kerry did in 2004.
