IA-Selzer/DMR: Cruz leads by 10
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  IA-Selzer/DMR: Cruz leads by 10		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer/DMR: Cruz leads by 10  (Read 4279 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: December 12, 2015, 06:00:20 PM »
https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-12-12/cruz-soars-to-front-of-the-pack-in-iowa-poll-trump-support-stays-flat-ii3p88rp
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1 on: December 12, 2015, 06:01:14 PM »
So long Rand, see you next time.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: December 12, 2015, 06:02:33 PM »



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darthebearnc
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« Reply #3 on: December 12, 2015, 06:03:28 PM »
lol
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #4 on: December 12, 2015, 06:12:55 PM »
So Trump actually has a higher percentage than their last poll.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: December 12, 2015, 06:14:04 PM »

It's always interesting how Trump always does far WORSE in the horse race than on particular issues.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #6 on: December 12, 2015, 06:16:16 PM »
Maybe TRUMP's famous and widely acclaimed "Belt of Gold" speech was too effective!
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King
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« Reply #7 on: December 12, 2015, 06:16:28 PM »
"We agree with Trump on every issue but we  don't like his demeanor." God iowa is so low energy it burns
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #8 on: December 12, 2015, 06:18:38 PM »
Changes since october:
Cruz +21
Christie +2
Trump +2
Bush +1
Rubio +1
Huckabee =
Kasich =
Santorum - 1
Paul - 2
Fiorina - 3
Carson - 15
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Ebsy
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« Reply #9 on: December 12, 2015, 06:25:12 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on December 12, 2015, 06:16:16 PM
Maybe TRUMP's famous and widely acclaimed "Belt of Gold" speech was too effective!
I'm afraid that might be so.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #10 on: December 12, 2015, 06:35:49 PM »
Favorability Ratings
Ted Cruz: 73-19 (+54)
Ben Carson: 72-22 (+50)
Marco Rubio: 70-21 (+49)
Carly Fiorina: 52-33 (+19)
Donald Trump: 57-38 (+19)
Mike Huckabee: 53-38 (+15)
Chris Christie: 46-42 (+4)
Rick Santorum: 42-43 (-1)
Rand Paul: 37-50 (-13)
Jeb Bush: 39-54 (-15)
John Kasich: 19-46 (-27)
Lindsey Graham: 16-53 (-37)
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Why
Unbiased
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« Reply #11 on: December 12, 2015, 06:36:43 PM »
So Cruz and Carson have swapped and the rest is pretty much steady.

Cruz's best poll by far so we need to see if other polls agree.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #12 on: December 12, 2015, 06:39:15 PM »
49% of GOP caucus goers support single-payer healthcare
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Maxwell
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« Reply #13 on: December 12, 2015, 06:41:56 PM »
« Edited: December 12, 2015, 06:47:03 PM by Maxwell »
Quote from: Speaker Cris on December 12, 2015, 06:18:38 PM
Changes since october:
Cruz +21
Christie +2
Trump +2
Bush +1
Rubio +1
Huckabee =
Kasich =
Santorum - 1
Paul - 2
Fiorina - 3
Carson - 15

The greatest graph in history. Only two candidates moved, and it was the two whose relationship is pretty much centered.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #14 on: December 12, 2015, 06:58:44 PM »
Do you agree or disagree with a candidate who supports the following?

Says climate change is a hoax:
agree 57%
disagree 35%

Wants to deport 11 million people living in the U.S. illegally:

agree 54%
disagree 37%

Wants to make all abortion illegal, without exceptions for rape, incest, or to save
the life of the mother:

agree 40%
disagree 56%

Supports a single-payer health care plan instead of the current law:

agree 49%
disagree 35%

Supports a tax reform plan that cuts taxes on every American, including the very
wealthiest:
agree 74%
disagree 21%

Wants to send at least 20,000 troops to fight the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria:
agree 61%
disagree 28%

Wants to repeal financial reform laws enacted after the banking crisis in 2008:
agree 58%
disagree 20%

Would be willing to shoot down Russian planes if they violated a no-fly zone in
Syria:
agree 44%
disagree 41%

Wants to abolish the Internal Revenue Service:
agree 61%
disagree 31%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #15 on: December 12, 2015, 06:59:54 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on December 12, 2015, 06:39:15 PM
49% of GOP caucus goers support single-payer healthcare

What % of voters know what "single payer" is?
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Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #16 on: December 12, 2015, 07:01:36 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on December 12, 2015, 06:59:54 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on December 12, 2015, 06:39:15 PM
49% of GOP caucus goers support single-payer healthcare

What % of voters know what "single payer" is?


Married people get free healthcare. Everyone else pays. Obviously.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #17 on: December 12, 2015, 07:02:46 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on December 12, 2015, 06:59:54 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on December 12, 2015, 06:39:15 PM
49% of GOP caucus goers support single-payer healthcare

What % of voters know what "single payer" is?


My thoughts exactly.

Also: lol Rubio.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #18 on: December 12, 2015, 07:09:42 PM »
Perhaps they thought it was "single prayer"...this is the IA GOP after all. 
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #19 on: December 12, 2015, 07:25:04 PM »
LOL @ "Ted Cruz would work most effectively with Congress"
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Skye
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« Reply #20 on: December 12, 2015, 07:39:11 PM »
Everything Carson went to Cruz. The real race is about to begin.
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Former Democrat
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« Reply #21 on: December 12, 2015, 07:43:32 PM »
So there's still hope 😃😃😃
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #22 on: December 12, 2015, 07:45:32 PM »
Quote from: Speaker Cris on December 12, 2015, 06:18:38 PM
Changes since october:
Cruz +21
Christie +2
Trump +2
Bush +1
Rubio +1
Huckabee =
Kasich =
Santorum - 1
Paul - 2
Fiorina - 3
Carson - 15

And of course, there's about as much time between today and caucus day as there was between their October poll and their December poll.  So if some candidates are capable of moving up or down by 15-20 points or so, still plenty of time for things to turn upside down again.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #23 on: December 12, 2015, 07:50:27 PM »
« Edited: December 12, 2015, 07:53:30 PM by Mr. Morden »
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2015/12/12/big-shakeup-iowa-poll-cruz-soars-lead/77199800/

Cruz has a whopping 45% support from self-described “evangelical conservatives”.

Trump voters:
49% have Cruz as their second choice.

Carson voters:
35% have Cruz as their second choice.

17% have Trump as their second choice.

Cruz voters:
26% have Carson as their second choice.
25% have Trump as their second choice.

Also, this is the first Iowa Selzer poll since 2014 in which Christie has a net positive favorability rating.

And how pathetic is it that 2012 GOP caucus winner Rick Santorum is at -1 in favorability?
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Brittain33
brittain33
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« Reply #24 on: December 12, 2015, 07:54:34 PM »
Quote from: President Griffin on December 12, 2015, 07:25:04 PM
LOL @ "Ted Cruz would work most effectively with Congress"

He may be the only one who could work effectively with the House of Representatives!
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