Overtime Politics Thread (WARNING: Possible fraud) (user search)
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  Overtime Politics Thread (WARNING: Possible fraud) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Overtime Politics Thread (WARNING: Possible fraud)  (Read 72375 times)
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« on: December 16, 2015, 11:17:13 AM »
Quote from: A Perez on December 16, 2015, 08:31:04 AM
My theory is that Bernie Sanders has gained from hanging out with black rappers who sing about  a bitches and "niggas in the club."  I predict that black people will increasingly flock to Sanders side, because of this hanging out with rappers factor.

What.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #1 on: December 17, 2015, 09:49:49 AM »
Quote from: Craigo on December 16, 2015, 12:49:22 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on December 16, 2015, 12:33:58 PM
Quote from: A Perez on December 16, 2015, 08:31:04 AM
My theory is that Bernie Sanders has gained from hanging out with black rappers who sing about  a bitches and "niggas in the club."  I predict that black people will increasingly flock to Sanders side, because of this hanging out with rappers factor.

Killer Mike sings about "bitches" and "niggas in the club"?

Yes. (Well, half right - he doesn't "sing".) Did you even know who Killer Mike was before he endorsed Sanders and became the most important person evar?

Killer Mike has made many political rap songs.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #2 on: December 21, 2015, 03:36:33 PM »
Still... who the hell is Overtime Politics?
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #3 on: December 22, 2015, 10:21:57 PM »
Who are Overtime Politics, why are they polling my state, and why is Sanders supposedly doing so good in a state completely in the Clinton-Trump mold?
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #4 on: December 23, 2015, 01:26:27 AM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on December 23, 2015, 01:24:35 AM
Quote from: Wulfric on December 22, 2015, 11:51:37 PM
It will probably be Sanders's 4th best state on Super Tuesday, after VT, CO, and MN.

That's not really saying much... he'll lose the remaining states by 20-40 points.

And what about Trump...?
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #5 on: December 24, 2015, 01:02:10 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on December 24, 2015, 12:52:39 PM
Trump could win a majority of the vote here on Super Tuesday.

I would argue this, but unfortunately, I believe my state is just dumb enough to get a Trump win.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #6 on: December 28, 2015, 12:55:40 AM »
If they really want it to be quick, it's simple:

1. Age
2. Gender
3. Race
4. Income
5. Democratic or Republican primary?
6. Their actual candidate choice

6 questions. Should be able to be finished rather quickly.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #7 on: December 30, 2015, 01:02:41 AM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on December 30, 2015, 12:45:11 AM

131 emails, so it probably was't just Atlas, unless one of you e-mailed him 100 times.

Anybody else willing to bet that r/sandersforpresident had something to do with this?
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #8 on: December 30, 2015, 12:56:15 PM »
Quote from: !Averroës on December 30, 2015, 10:01:22 AM
I wonder if that's why they're called "Overtime" Politics?

ayy lmao
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #9 on: January 01, 2016, 07:28:16 PM »
I don't see why he's so scared, to be honest. It's not like anybody's going to send him anthrax.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #10 on: January 02, 2016, 11:26:26 PM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on January 02, 2016, 10:05:37 PM
Quote from: Holmes on January 02, 2016, 08:50:03 PM
Quote from: Wulfric on January 02, 2016, 07:52:43 PM
I expected Missouri to be somewhat close due to it being almost entirely white outside of its most urban areas, but this close?!? Wow, Go Sanders!

Careful, you're entering jfern territory!

Are all Hillary supporters obnoxious hacks?

I've met obnoxious Hillary supporters and obnoxious Bernie supporters. However, Atlas has many, many more obnoxious Hillary supporters than obnoxious Bernie supporters.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #11 on: January 05, 2016, 07:23:01 AM »

They're currently unskewing the polls.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #12 on: January 05, 2016, 07:43:26 AM »
Results for Michigan Republicans:

Trump - 33%
Rubio - 18%
Cruz - 17%
Carson - 7%
Bush - 5%
Fiorina - 3%
Christie - 3%
Paul - 3%
Kasich - 1%

Trump led with both males and females, although he had a much bigger lead with males. Rubio led with 18-30, Trump had a major lead with every other age demographic. Trump led in all racial demographics except Asians, where he tied with Rubio, and Hispanics, where Rubio got over 50%. Ted Cruz led among Republicans with an income under $10,000; Trump led every other income group.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #13 on: January 05, 2016, 03:30:58 PM »
I think the Republican poll might be legit. My guess is that they polled 26 Hispanics, about 12 Asians, and 8 "Native American/Other"s, judging from the percentage numbers.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #14 on: January 09, 2016, 05:03:18 PM »
Everybody on the Overtime Hype Train!
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #15 on: January 09, 2016, 07:29:49 PM »
Male: Trump 31/Cruz 21
Female: Trump 26/Carson 19
18-30: Trump 29/Cruz 22
31-45: Trump 25/Cruz 19
46-59: Trump 25/Carson 18
60+: Trump 37/Cruz 20

White: Trump 28/Cruz 23
Black: Carson 45/Trump 27
Hispanic: Rubio 32/Carson 25 (Oddly, Cruz only got 4% of Hispanic vote...)
Asian: Trump 58/Rubio 17
Native American/Other: Trump 62

Income
<$10,000: Carson 28/Trump 19
$10001-25000: Cruz 25/Trump 23
25001-45000: Trump 33/Cruz 18
45001-65000: Trump 25/Carson 20
>65001: Trump 35/Cruz 14
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #16 on: January 09, 2016, 08:54:32 PM »
Quote from: Castro on January 09, 2016, 08:42:57 PM
Virginia Democratic poll:

Hillary Clinton - 54%
Bernie Sanders - 39%
Martin O’Malley - 3%
Undecided - 4%

http://overtimepolitics.com/clinton-leads-sanders-by-15-points-in-virginia-54-39/

My god. The demographics look real.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #17 on: January 14, 2016, 11:21:50 AM »
Everybody get on the overHYPE TRAIN.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #18 on: January 18, 2016, 10:44:46 AM »
Overtime? More like OverHYPE.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #19 on: January 20, 2016, 11:54:12 AM »
Quote from: Ebsy on January 20, 2016, 11:52:09 AM
Why do you guys still take these polls with any degree of seriousness? Case in point, according to overtime, the Democratic primary electorate is majority male.

In a perfect world, not only would nobody take Overtime with any degree of seriousness, nobody would take you with any degree of seriousness.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #20 on: January 20, 2016, 05:12:33 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on January 20, 2016, 03:44:37 PM
Quote from: Likely Voter on January 20, 2016, 03:42:28 PM
It seems that not a single reputable media outlet or polling site has covered these blog posts from 'Fred'.   And now evev /politics at Reddit won't allow them to be posted (categorizing them as an "unacceptable source").
https://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/41v5yq/clinton_holds_3_point_lead_over_sanders_in/

I do not understand why anyone would pay attention to them until they were vetted. I do not understand why these numbers are being put into the Atlas poll db.

Because there's virtually no harm in doing so and there's no evidence that they're fraudulent? Besides, they mostly poll highly underpolled states leaving the choice either potentially flawed data or no data.

Plus, we do let in Gravis.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #21 on: January 31, 2016, 06:44:10 PM »

Nah. -StatesPoll.com- predicted a Sanders win at the beginning of January.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #22 on: January 31, 2016, 06:49:37 PM »
Quote from: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on January 31, 2016, 06:48:17 PM
Quote from: Assemblyman Smith on January 31, 2016, 06:44:10 PM

Nah. -StatesPoll.com- predicted a Sanders win at the beginning of January.

I've been reading this StatesPoll.com... it's cute, very Atlasy.

Yeah. The creator of the website joined Atlas, made a few inane topics about Trump potentially winning California and Connecticut, then left shortly after.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #23 on: February 05, 2016, 04:31:40 PM »
Quote from: White Light on February 05, 2016, 02:43:25 PM
Of note this is their stated methodology:

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

So where do those posted demographic sub samples in their "polls" come from? BY THEIR OWN CLAIM THEY DO NOT ASK FOR THIS INFORMATION.

I'm pretty sure that was from before they started asking for demographics.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,282
« Reply #24 on: February 07, 2016, 12:27:08 AM »

I'd love for this to be real, but it's Overtime.
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