NH-Frank. Pierce/B. Herald:D: Sanders 48 Clinton 46;R: Trump 26 Cruz 12 Rubio 12

[Mr. Morden]

Franklin Pierce/Boston Herald poll of New Hampshire, conducted Dec. 13-17:

http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/media/2015/12/17/FPU-BH-Dec15-Dem.docx_.pdf

http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/media/2015/12/17/FPU-BH-Dec15-Rep.docx_.pdf

Dems

Sanders 48%
Clinton 46%
O’Malley 2%

GOP

Trump 26%
Cruz 12%
Rubio 12%
Christie 11%
Bush 10%
Kasich 8%
Fiorina 6%
Carson 5%
Paul 3%
Graham, Pataki, Santorum, Huckabee 0%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Clinton closes in on Sanders

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Bernie is liked almost unanimously 85-6.

[Mr. Morden]

On the Dem. side, who leads among…?
very liberal: Sanders
liberal: Sanders
moderate: Clinton
following the race very closely: Sanders
following the race somewhat closely: Clinton
not following the race closely: Clinton
men: Sanders (49-44 margin)
women: Sanders (47-47 margin, but Sanders has exactly one more female supporter in the sample )
age 18-24: Sanders
age 25-34: Sanders
age 35-44: Sanders
age 45-54: Clinton
age 55-64: Sanders
age 65+: Clinton
high school or less: Clinton
post-secondary: Sanders
college grad: Sanders
post grad: Sanders
income <$35k: Sanders
income $35-50k: Clinton
income $50-75k: Sanders
income $75-100k: Clinton
income >$100k: Clinton

[Mr. Morden]

If you go to these links:

http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/media/2015/12/17/FPU-BH-Dec-15-DEMOCRAT%20SLIDES-1.pdf

http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/media/2015/12/17/FPU-BH-Dec-15-REPUBLICAN%20SLIDES-1.pdf

you can get charts on things like favorability ratings, and how they've changed as compared to their previous polls.

[Holmes]

following the race very closely: Sanders
following the race somewhat closely: Clinton
not following the race closely: Clinton

Once people start paying attention!

[ProgressiveCanadian]

following the race very closely: Sanders
following the race somewhat closely: Clinton
not following the race closely: Clinton

Once people start paying attention!

A swing and a miss on that spin of yours. You could also say looking above that people engaged in the race and paying closer attention (which could mean bigger chance of voting) are voting for Sanders. This is one poll out of many however a lot could change.

[Ebsy]

The bad news for Sanders is that I would bet that Clinton will ultimately win women come election day.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

The bad news for Sanders is that I would bet that Clinton will ultimately win women come election day.

That's not news that's just your opinion.

[Mr. Morden]

high school or less: Clinton
post-secondary: Sanders
college grad: Sanders
post grad: Sanders
income <$35k: Sanders
income $35-50k: Clinton
income $50-75k: Sanders
income $75-100k: Clinton
income >$100k: Clinton

That's interesting. Even though Sanders has more support amongst higher educated voters, his income base is lower than Clinton. I wonder how that turned out.

Well, he also has more support among youngs.  If you're just out of college or something, you might not *yet* have as high an income as someone older with a lower education level, even if your lifetime earnings are going to end up being higher.

There's also the fact that this is household income rather than income per person, and family size in the household is going to vary with age, etc.

[The Mikado]

It's hilarious how the ridiculously large candidate pool is helping Trump.

[Eraserhead]

Clinton closes in on Sanders

I suppose but the last poll was done two months ago and included Biden.

[Likely Voter]

Since their last poll in October Rubio, Christie, Bush and Kasich have all gained.   Cruz is also up and he is effectively consolidating the evangelical wing, and Trump controls the secular blue-collar wing, but the "mainstream" wing continues to be split.

The first two states could possibly go Cruz/Trump/Rubio then Trump/Cruz/Christie. The Establishment money and endorsements may continue to await o consenus candidate. So Rubio and Christie and Bush (assuming he still has all that money) could all hold on until Super Tuesday.  Hell even Kasich might hold on in hopes of winning Ohio which is WTA and would give him some leverage at the convention.

[Torie]

47% percent for Rubio, Kasich, Bush, Fiorina, and Christie, 43% for Trump, Cruz and Carson. I like that.