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  IA-Gravis Marketing: Cruz/Trump Tied, Clinton Leads Sanders
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Author Topic: IA-Gravis Marketing: Cruz/Trump Tied, Clinton Leads Sanders  (Read 4951 times)
mds32
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« on: December 23, 2015, 02:24:00 pm »

Iowa Republican Caucus
Cruz 31%
Trump 31%
Rubio 9%
Carson 7%
Bush 4%
Huckabee 4%
Fiorina 3%
.......

Democratic Caucus
Clinton 49%
Sanders 31%
O'Malley 10%

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-iowa-polling-3/
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: December 23, 2015, 02:24:24 pm »

>Gravis
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chrisras
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« Reply #2 on: December 23, 2015, 02:26:44 pm »

Ben Carson Wow!  That guy has sunk like a stone! 
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #3 on: December 23, 2015, 02:36:12 pm »

I'd love to see an Iowa result where Trump and Cruz are the only ones in double digits.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4 on: December 23, 2015, 02:37:23 pm »

Gravis had Sanders trailing Clinton by 20% in NH about a month ago ...

Tells you pretty much everything.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #5 on: December 23, 2015, 02:37:26 pm »

Since last Gravis IA poll:

Cruz 31% (+22)
Trump 31% (+2)
Rubio 9% (-9)
Carson 7% (-15)
Bush 4% (-2)
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #6 on: December 23, 2015, 02:39:59 pm »

LOL Rubio.
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EliteLX
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« Reply #7 on: December 23, 2015, 02:46:00 pm »
« Edited: December 23, 2015, 02:47:34 pm by EliteLX »

IA being many of the candidates last hope obviously is no longer feasible and they should probably all drop out within the next two weeks. There is literally zero room for another Santorum to happen. Not even logically possible. Trump AND Cruz can't crash and burn while a candidate storms the state to 30%+ in less than 5 weeks.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #8 on: December 23, 2015, 02:47:36 pm »

I hate to say so, but Gravis may actually have it right this time.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #9 on: December 23, 2015, 02:49:51 pm »

IA being many of the candidates last hope obviously is no longer feasible and they should probably all drop out within the next two weeks. There is literally zero room for another Santorum to happen. Not even logically possible. Trump AND Cruz can't crash and burn while a candidate storms the state to 30%+ in less than 5 weeks.

Santorum won with 25% in 2012. It's possible, although not likely, that the winner this year could get only 18 or 20 percent.
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mds32
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« Reply #10 on: December 23, 2015, 02:49:59 pm »

Gravis had Sanders trailing Clinton by 20% in NH about a month ago ...

Tells you pretty much everything.

Last Iowa Polls
Gravis-TIE
YouGov- Cruz+9
PPP- Trump +3
Selzer- Cruz+10
Quinnipiac- Trump +1
Fox News- Cruz +2
Loras- Cruz +7


So because they found something mid-range in the average you'll label the poll an outlier?
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EliteLX
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« Reply #11 on: December 23, 2015, 03:32:45 pm »

IA being many of the candidates last hope obviously is no longer feasible and they should probably all drop out within the next two weeks. There is literally zero room for another Santorum to happen. Not even logically possible. Trump AND Cruz can't crash and burn while a candidate storms the state to 30%+ in less than 5 weeks.

Santorum won with 25% in 2012. It's possible, although not likely, that the winner this year could get only 18 or 20 percent.

Not enough room, time, or momentum with Cruz & Donny for a candidate to squeeze out 20% that fast, sadly.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #12 on: December 23, 2015, 05:55:24 pm »

Does Cruz' support come only from Carson?
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #13 on: December 23, 2015, 05:58:22 pm »

Cruz still remains the most dangerous foe for Trump & can beat him
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Maxwell
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« Reply #14 on: December 23, 2015, 06:33:41 pm »

IA being many of the candidates last hope obviously is no longer feasible and they should probably all drop out within the next two weeks. There is literally zero room for another Santorum to happen. Not even logically possible. Trump AND Cruz can't crash and burn while a candidate storms the state to 30%+ in less than 5 weeks.

Santorum won with 25% in 2012. It's possible, although not likely, that the winner this year could get only 18 or 20 percent.

Not enough room, time, or momentum with Cruz & Donny for a candidate to squeeze out 20% that fast, sadly.

Santorum was only at 3% this far out.
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Cruzcrew
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« Reply #15 on: December 23, 2015, 06:51:06 pm »

I'm guessing Rand is at 1 or 0 since this is Gravis
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Holmes
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« Reply #16 on: December 23, 2015, 08:51:19 pm »

Gravis had Sanders trailing Clinton by 20% in NH about a month ago ...

Tells you pretty much everything.

That Sanders has been down in Iowa for quite some time?
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EliteLX
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« Reply #17 on: December 24, 2015, 12:46:11 pm »

IA being many of the candidates last hope obviously is no longer feasible and they should probably all drop out within the next two weeks. There is literally zero room for another Santorum to happen. Not even logically possible. Trump AND Cruz can't crash and burn while a candidate storms the state to 30%+ in less than 5 weeks.

Santorum won with 25% in 2012. It's possible, although not likely, that the winner this year could get only 18 or 20 percent.

Not enough room, time, or momentum with Cruz & Donny for a candidate to squeeze out 20% that fast, sadly.

Santorum was only at 3% this far out.

But it's worthy noting there was not nearly the momentum/cram of fanbases at the top. He's not going to break up a Carson base, a Cruz base, and a Trump base and shred them to pieces and magically hit a homerun in the next month. No candidate possibly can. Much, much more difficult than it would be to surge in the socially conservative state in 2012.
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dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #18 on: December 24, 2015, 02:17:48 pm »

Perhaps, but it really just depends who turns out to caucus
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Badger
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« Reply #19 on: December 24, 2015, 03:32:42 pm »

Perhaps, but it really just depends who turns out to caucus

Thanks.
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dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #20 on: December 24, 2015, 11:57:41 pm »

Gravis seems to be a bit Pro-Trump anyways
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #21 on: December 25, 2015, 12:04:35 am »

Gravis had Sanders trailing Clinton by 20% in NH about a month ago ...

Tells you pretty much everything.

That Sanders has been down in Iowa for quite some time?

That gravis is pretty much junk? Also polls have been showing it getting tighter.
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dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #22 on: December 25, 2015, 12:11:45 am »

What makes it a junk poll is O'Malley being at 10 though.
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« Reply #23 on: December 25, 2015, 03:20:04 am »

What makes it a junk poll is O'Malley being at 10 though.

Not as junk as this poll they had, but yeah, Gravis sucks.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=221057.0
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Hillary pays minimum wage
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« Reply #24 on: December 25, 2015, 03:27:11 am »

Gravis is one I'm not sure of.  It can be as bias as PPP and Zogby.
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