IA-Gravis Marketing: Cruz/Trump Tied, Clinton Leads Sanders

[mds32]

Iowa Republican Caucus
Cruz 31%
Trump 31%
Rubio 9%
Carson 7%
Bush 4%
Huckabee 4%
Fiorina 3%
.......

Democratic Caucus
Clinton 49%
Sanders 31%
O'Malley 10%

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-iowa-polling-3/

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

>Gravis

[chrisras]

Ben Carson Wow!  That guy has sunk like a stone! 

[Lief 🗽]

I'd love to see an Iowa result where Trump and Cruz are the only ones in double digits.

[Tender Branson]

Gravis had Sanders trailing Clinton by 20% in NH about a month ago ...

Tells you pretty much everything.

[yankeesfan]

Since last Gravis IA poll:

Cruz 31% (+22)
Trump 31% (+2)
Rubio 9% (-9)
Carson 7% (-15)
Bush 4% (-2)

[Landslide Lyndon]

LOL Rubio.

[EliteLX]

IA being many of the candidates last hope obviously is no longer feasible and they should probably all drop out within the next two weeks. There is literally zero room for another Santorum to happen. Not even logically possible. Trump AND Cruz can't crash and burn while a candidate storms the state to 30%+ in less than 5 weeks.

[/]

I hate to say so, but Gravis may actually have it right this time.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

IA being many of the candidates last hope obviously is no longer feasible and they should probably all drop out within the next two weeks. There is literally zero room for another Santorum to happen. Not even logically possible. Trump AND Cruz can't crash and burn while a candidate storms the state to 30%+ in less than 5 weeks.

Santorum won with 25% in 2012. It's possible, although not likely, that the winner this year could get only 18 or 20 percent.

[mds32]

Gravis had Sanders trailing Clinton by 20% in NH about a month ago ...

Tells you pretty much everything.

Last Iowa Polls
Gravis-TIE
YouGov- Cruz+9
PPP- Trump +3
Selzer- Cruz+10
Quinnipiac- Trump +1
Fox News- Cruz +2
Loras- Cruz +7


So because they found something mid-range in the average you'll label the poll an outlier?

[EliteLX]

IA being many of the candidates last hope obviously is no longer feasible and they should probably all drop out within the next two weeks. There is literally zero room for another Santorum to happen. Not even logically possible. Trump AND Cruz can't crash and burn while a candidate storms the state to 30%+ in less than 5 weeks.

Santorum won with 25% in 2012. It's possible, although not likely, that the winner this year could get only 18 or 20 percent.

Not enough room, time, or momentum with Cruz & Donny for a candidate to squeeze out 20% that fast, sadly.

[President Johnson]

Does Cruz' support come only from Carson?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Cruz still remains the most dangerous foe for Trump & can beat him

[Maxwell]

IA being many of the candidates last hope obviously is no longer feasible and they should probably all drop out within the next two weeks. There is literally zero room for another Santorum to happen. Not even logically possible. Trump AND Cruz can't crash and burn while a candidate storms the state to 30%+ in less than 5 weeks.

Santorum won with 25% in 2012. It's possible, although not likely, that the winner this year could get only 18 or 20 percent.

Not enough room, time, or momentum with Cruz & Donny for a candidate to squeeze out 20% that fast, sadly.

Santorum was only at 3% this far out.

[Cruzcrew]

I'm guessing Rand is at 1 or 0 since this is Gravis

[Holmes]

Gravis had Sanders trailing Clinton by 20% in NH about a month ago ...

Tells you pretty much everything.

That Sanders has been down in Iowa for quite some time?

[EliteLX]

IA being many of the candidates last hope obviously is no longer feasible and they should probably all drop out within the next two weeks. There is literally zero room for another Santorum to happen. Not even logically possible. Trump AND Cruz can't crash and burn while a candidate storms the state to 30%+ in less than 5 weeks.

Santorum won with 25% in 2012. It's possible, although not likely, that the winner this year could get only 18 or 20 percent.

Not enough room, time, or momentum with Cruz & Donny for a candidate to squeeze out 20% that fast, sadly.

Santorum was only at 3% this far out.

But it's worthy noting there was not nearly the momentum/cram of fanbases at the top. He's not going to break up a Carson base, a Cruz base, and a Trump base and shred them to pieces and magically hit a homerun in the next month. No candidate possibly can. Much, much more difficult than it would be to surge in the socially conservative state in 2012.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Perhaps, but it really just depends who turns out to caucus

[Badger]

Perhaps, but it really just depends who turns out to caucus

Thanks.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Gravis seems to be a bit Pro-Trump anyways

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Gravis had Sanders trailing Clinton by 20% in NH about a month ago ...

Tells you pretty much everything.

That Sanders has been down in Iowa for quite some time?

That gravis is pretty much junk? Also polls have been showing it getting tighter.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

What makes it a junk poll is O'Malley being at 10 though.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

What makes it a junk poll is O'Malley being at 10 though.

Not as junk as this poll they had, but yeah, Gravis sucks.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=221057.0

[Hillary pays minimum wage]

Gravis is one I'm not sure of.  It can be as bias as PPP and Zogby.