IA-Gravis Marketing: Cruz/Trump Tied, Clinton Leads Sanders (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 07, 2024, 08:24:37 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  IA-Gravis Marketing: Cruz/Trump Tied, Clinton Leads Sanders (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: IA-Gravis Marketing: Cruz/Trump Tied, Clinton Leads Sanders  (Read 5461 times)
EliteLX
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,037
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.64, S: 0.85

« on: December 23, 2015, 02:46:00 PM »
« edited: December 23, 2015, 02:47:34 PM by EliteLX »

IA being many of the candidates last hope obviously is no longer feasible and they should probably all drop out within the next two weeks. There is literally zero room for another Santorum to happen. Not even logically possible. Trump AND Cruz can't crash and burn while a candidate storms the state to 30%+ in less than 5 weeks.
Logged
EliteLX
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,037
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.64, S: 0.85

« Reply #1 on: December 23, 2015, 03:32:45 PM »

IA being many of the candidates last hope obviously is no longer feasible and they should probably all drop out within the next two weeks. There is literally zero room for another Santorum to happen. Not even logically possible. Trump AND Cruz can't crash and burn while a candidate storms the state to 30%+ in less than 5 weeks.

Santorum won with 25% in 2012. It's possible, although not likely, that the winner this year could get only 18 or 20 percent.

Not enough room, time, or momentum with Cruz & Donny for a candidate to squeeze out 20% that fast, sadly.
Logged
EliteLX
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,037
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.64, S: 0.85

« Reply #2 on: December 24, 2015, 12:46:11 PM »

IA being many of the candidates last hope obviously is no longer feasible and they should probably all drop out within the next two weeks. There is literally zero room for another Santorum to happen. Not even logically possible. Trump AND Cruz can't crash and burn while a candidate storms the state to 30%+ in less than 5 weeks.

Santorum won with 25% in 2012. It's possible, although not likely, that the winner this year could get only 18 or 20 percent.

Not enough room, time, or momentum with Cruz & Donny for a candidate to squeeze out 20% that fast, sadly.

Santorum was only at 3% this far out.

But it's worthy noting there was not nearly the momentum/cram of fanbases at the top. He's not going to break up a Carson base, a Cruz base, and a Trump base and shred them to pieces and magically hit a homerun in the next month. No candidate possibly can. Much, much more difficult than it would be to surge in the socially conservative state in 2012.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.027 seconds with 14 queries.