UK local by-elections, 2016

[ObserverIE]

Another week's worth of Holy Word here.

Dacorum, Adeyfield West

Lib Dem 49.5 (+26.6)
Con 22.2 (-6.4)
Lab 15.8 (-6.5)
UKIP 10.9 (-15.3)
Green 1.6 (+1.6)

Cotswold, Stow

Lib Dem 64.9 (+21.0)
Con 35.1 (-21.0)

Blackpool, Tyldesley

Lab 48.3 (+9.8)
Con 26.8 (-2.0)
UKIP 21.5 (-0.7)
Lib Dem 3.3 (-2.3)

West Lindsey, Cherry Willingham

Con 51.1 (+12.5)
Lab 26.5 (+1.5)
UKIP 22.4 (+22.4)

North Norfolk, Glaven Valley

Lib Dem 55.3 (+8.4)
Con 36.2 (+3.8)
UKIP 4.1 (-6.9)
Lab 3.0 (-2.8)
Green 1.4 (-2.5)

Derby, Allestree

Con 54.6 (-6.1)
Lib Dem 28.7 (+17.2)
Lab 11.1 (-5.8)
Green 3.1 (+3.1)
UKIP 2.5 (-8.4)

Wellingborough, Finedon

Con 62.3 (+18.7)
Lab 19.3 (-9.3)
UKIP 11.3 (-16.5)
Lib Dem 7.1 (+7.1)

Blaenau Gwent, Brynmawr

Ind 80.1
Lab 19.9 (-23.3)

Lib Dem gain Adeyfield West from Con
Lib Dem gain Stow from Con
Ind hold Brynmawr

[YL]

Cotswold, Stow

Lib Dem 64.9 (+21.0)
Con 35.1 (-21.0)

Just over the border in Gloucestershire, but not a million miles away from a certain parliamentary constituency.

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word here.

Caerphilly, Gilfach

Lab 58.2 (-27.7)
PC 33.9 (+19.8)
UKIP 6.3 (+6.3)
Green 1.6 (+1.6)

Caerphilly, Risca East (changes in italics since May 2013 by-election)

Lab 59.8 (+3.8) (+15.4)
UKIP 17.9 (+17.9) (+17.9)
PC 17.5 (+0.2) (+7.5)
Lib Dem 4.8 (+4.8) (+4.8)

Hartlepool, Headland and Harbour

UKIP 49.2 (+3.4)
Lab 25.3 (-20.3)
Hartlepool First 15.4 (+15.4)
Con 4.1 (-4.5)
NHA 3.6 (+3.6)
Ind 2.6

Haringey, St Ann's

Lab 63.7 (+11.8)
Green 17.5 (-1.7)
Lib Dem 10.2 (+3.0)
Con 5.7 (-1.0)
UKIP 2.9 (-3.9)

Bolton, Rumworth

Lab 76.9 (+4.7)
UKIP 9.1 (-0.9)
Con 6.0 (-4.5)
Green 4.6 (-0.4)
Lib Dem 3.5 (+1.2)

Glasgow, Garscadden/Scotstounhill

SNP 42.6 (+15.1)
Lab 38.8 (-23.8)
Con 10.2 (+7.5)
Green 4.8 (+2.1)
Lib Dem 1.9 (+0.8)
UKIP 1.7 (+0.8)

East Devon, Exmouth Brixington

Con 41.1 (+5.5)
E Devon All 31.3 (+2.5)
Lib Dem 27.6 (+8.4)

Highland, Culloden and Ardersier

SNP 27.2 (-0.1)
Lib Dem 16.7 (+2.9)
Con 15.9 (+11.4)
Ind Ross 11.4
Ind Macpherson 9.9
Green 6.5 (+1.6)
Lab 5.9 (-8.0)
Ind McGrath 5.7 (+0.9)
Ind Lamont 0.8

SNP	753	755	775	796	862	908	970	1001
Lib Dem	463	464	479	515	564	703	793	1026
Con	439	442	452	468	478	515	589
Ind R	315	317	330	339	362
Ind Mcp	274	285	324	346	369	414
Green	180	182	188	209
Lab	163	163	180
Ind McG	158	158
Ind L	23

Basingstoke and Deane, Basing

Con 67.5 (+3.7)
Lib Dem 20.7 (+8.3)
Lab 11.8 (-0.1)

UKIP gain Headland and Harbour from Lab
SNP gain Garscadden/Scotstounhill from Lab
Lib Dem gain Culloden and Ardersier from Lab

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word here.

I won't get putting results up tonight (personal stuff going on) but I'll post the results at the weekend.

[YL]

I'll let ObserverIE post nicely coloured results, but it seems that not much happened except a Lib Dem gain from Con on a huge swing in Broadstone, Poole.  Lib Dems held both Windermere seats, Labour held both Lewisham wards and the Morecambe seat, the local party for local people Lincolnshire Independents held the North Kesteven ward, and the Tories held on in Swanley.

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

The Conservatives also resoundingly lost Limpsfield to the new residents group.

[ObserverIE]

Last week's results

Tandridge, Limpsfield

Residents 57.4 (+57.4)
Con 38.0 (-32.1)
Lib Dem 2.7 (-9.5)
Lab 2.0 (-5.0)

North Kesteven, Cliff Villages

Lincs Ind 63.1 (+1.7)
Con 32.6 (-6.0)
Lib Dem 4.3 (+4.3)

Lancaster, Westgate

Lab 41.6 (+10.1)
Morecambe Bay Ind 18.1 (+0.1)
UKIP 17.2 (-7.9)
Con 16.7 (-8.8)
Lib Dem 3.9 (+3.9)
Green 2.4 (+2.4)

Lewisham, Brockley

Lab 48.0 (+10.6)
Green 25.4 (-1.8)
Lib Dem 10.4 (+6.1)
Con 7.9 (+0.3)
WEP 7.0 (+7.0)
UKIP 1.3 (-4.2)

Cumbria, Windermere (change in italics since October 2014 by-election)

Lib Dem 52.3 (-9.8) (+0.7)
Con 40.7 (+22.0) (+1.3)
Lab 4.6 (-2.5) (+4.6)
Green 2.4 (+2.4) (-0.6)

Lewisham, Evelyn

Lab 53.4 (-1.9)
PBP 16.3 (-3.2)
Con 9.5 (+9.5)
Ind 9.0
Green 6.2 (-6.2)
Lib Dem 5.6 (-2.0)

South Lakeland, Windermere Bowness North

Lib Dem 60.1 (+11.1)
Con 34.9 (-4.1)
Green 5.0 (-1.0)

Poole, Broadstone

Lib Dem 69.3 (+28.2)
Con 23.3 (-15.3)
UKIP 4.2 (-9.2)
Green 1.8 (-5.0)
Lab 1.4 (+1.4)

Kent, Swanley

Con 32.5 (-8.7)
UKIP 27.8 (+7.9)
Lab 23.4 (-8.9)
Lib Dem 16.4 (+16.4)

Sevenoaks, Swanley Christchurch and Swanley Village

Con 34.6 (-24.0)
Lab 30.5 (+3.5)
Lib Dem 20.4 (+20.4)
UKIP 14.6 (+14.6)

Oxted/Limpsfield Residents gain Limpsfield from Con
Lib Dem gain Broadstone from Con

[ObserverIE]

This week's Holy Word here.

Bracknell Forest, Central Sandhurst

Con 69.3 (+4.4)
Lab 30.7 (+13.5)

Neath Port Talbot, Blaengwrach

PC 48.0 (+3.6)
Lab 30.5 (-25.1)
Ind 12.4
UKIP 8.3 (+8.3)
Con 0.9 (+0.9)

Middlesbrough, Central

Lab 72.9 (+22.8)
Ind 14.8
Con 7.0 (+7.0)
Lib Dem 5.3 (+5.3)

St Albans, Clarence

Lib Dem 56.9 (+6.0)
Con 24.1 (+2.9)
Lab 12.0 (-5.2)
Green 6.1 (-3.7)
UKIP 1.0 (+1.0)

Medway, Strood South

Con 38.4 (+3.9)
Lab 27.7 (+1.9)
UKIP 25.5 (-11.9)
Green 3.9 (+3.9)
Lib Dem 3.3 (+3.3)
Eng Dem 1.2 (+1.2)

East Riding of Yorkshire, St Mary's

Lib Dem 40.0 (+28.1)
Con 25.3 (-3.7)
Lab 18.4 (+0.3)
Beverley P 9.7 (-1.4)
Ind 3.8
UKIP 2.7 (-12.1)

Braintree, Witham North

Lab 37.5 (+7.9)
Con 34.0 (-6.1)
Green 25.1 (+3.2)
Lib Dem 3.4 (-5.0)

Braintree, Bumpstead

Con 64.6 (+2.8)
UKIP 15.5 (-4.1)
Lab 8.3 (-10.3)
Lib Dem 7.4 (+7.4)
Green 4.2 (+4.2)

Conwy, Abergele Pensarn (changes in italics since Sep 2014 by-election)

Ind Hunter 31.5
Ind Smith 27.1 (+5.4)
Lab 25.2 (-29.9) (-0.7)
Con 16.1 (-3.5) (+7.3)

King's Lynn and West Norfolk, Heacham

Ind Parrish 37.7
Con 32.2 (-36.7)
UKIP 7.8 (+7.8)
Lib Dem 7.8 (+7.8)
Ind Press 7.4
Lab 7.0 (-24.1)

Weymouth and Portland, Wye Valley

Con 62.3 (+0.5)
Lib Dem 15.5 (+15.5)
Lab 12.6 (-9.8)
Green 9.7 (-6.1)

Kettering, Rothwell

Con 48.3 (+8.0)
Lab 34.4 (-2.0)
UKIP 7.5 (-11.0)
Green 5.2 (+0.4)
Lib Dem 4.6 (+4.6)

PC gain Blaengwrach fron Lab
Con gain Strood South from UKIP
Lib Dem gain St Mary's from Con
Lab gain Witham North from Con
Ind gain Abergele Pensarn from Lab
Ind gain Heacham from Con
Con gain Rothwell from Lab

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word here.

Rother, Collington

Ind 60.0 (+19.9)
Con 28.8 (-0.1)
Lab 6.4 (-2.5)
UKIP 4.8 (-8.4)

Rother, Darwell

Con 43.5 (+3.8)
Lib Dem 31.4 (+14.4)
Lab 9.6 (-0.9)
Green 8.4 (-7.0)
UKIP 7.3 (-10.0)

Denbighshire, Rhyl West

Lab 47.7 (-2.3)
Con 22.3 (+8.4)
Ind Shone 13.2
Ind Webster 10.6
Lib Dem 6.2 (+6.2)

Ind hold Collington

[ObserverIE]

Bumper Holy Word here.

Vale of Glamorgan, Gibbonsdown

Lab 47.9 (-13.3)
PC 19.1 (+13.1)
Ind 13.4 (-10.7)
Con 12.3 (+4.0)
UKIP 6.4 (+6.4)
Lib Dem 0.8 (+0.8)

Cardiff, Grangetown

PC 41.1 (+7.6)
Lab 37.1 (-3.0)
Con 10.2 (+3.9)
Lib Dem 6.6 (-4.9)
UKIP 5.0 (+5.0)

Hackney, Hoxton West

Lab 68.3 (+9.4)
Con 13.3 (+1.2)
Lib Dem 9.6 (+3.3)
Green 8.8 (-9.2)

Medway, Rainham Central

Con 61.1 (+12.7)
UKIP 16.4 (-8.1)
Lab 13.5 (-1.4)
Lib Dem 5.8 (+5.8)
Green 2.6 (-6.2)
Eng Dem 0.6 (+0.6)

Lancashire, Burnley Central East

Lab 68.9 (+10.8)
Lib Dem 14.1 (-1.4)
UKIP 12.7 (-6.7)
Green 4.3 (+4.3)

Reigate and Banstead, Kingswood with Burgh Heath

Con 73.3 (+6.6)
UKIP 13.5 (-8.1)
Lab 8.4 (-3.2)
Green 4.8 (+4.8)

Gloucester, Longlevens

Con 46.2 (+5.1)
Lib Dem 36.9 (+23.4)
Lab 9.7 (-8.6)
UKIP 7.2 (-7.0)

Eastleigh, Fair Oak and Horton Heath

Lib Dem 46.0 (+6.8)
Con 30.7 (+3.7)
UKIP 15.9 (-6.5)
Lab 7.3 (-4.1)

Aberdeenshire, Inverurie and District

Con 38.8 (+21.4)
SNP 34.6 (-2.6)
Lib Dem 22.5 (+5.2)
Lab 4.1 (-9.1)

Con	1302	1319	1701
SNP	1164	1192	1341
Lib Dem	755	795
Lab	139

Aberdeenshire, Banff and District

Con 44.0 (+20.9)
SNP 36.2 (-19.2)
Lib Dem 19.8 (+8.7)

Con	1170	1378
SNP	962	1097
Lib Dem	526

PC gain Grangetown from Lab
Con gain Inverurie and District from Ind elected as Lib Dem
Con gain Banff and District from SNP

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word here.

North Hertfordshire, Hitchin Oughton

Lab 31.9 (-17.4)
Ind 24.8
Con 19.6 (-12.4)
Lib Dem 18.6 (+9.9)
Green 5.2 (-4.8)

Wandsworth, Queenstown

Lab 53.3 (+13.8)
Con 33.9 (-6.3)
Lib Dem 8.6 (+4.1)
Green 4.2 (-4.3)

Horsham, Southwater

Con 66.2 (+29.9)
Lib Dem 19.5 (+4.9)
Lab 7.5 (-2.7)
UKIP 6.9 (-8.2)

Greenwich, Eltham North

Con 42.0 (+12.0)
Lab 40.8 (+10.1)
Lib Dem 8.8 (+3.6)
UKIP 5.0 (-15.7)
Green 3.5 (-6.5)

Lab hold Queenstown
Con gain Eltham North from Lab

[ObserverIE]

Binational Holy Word here.

Harborough, Misterton

Con 50.4 (-24.7)
Lab 23.3 (-1.6)
Lib Dem 15.1 (+15.1)
UKIP 11.2 (+11.2)

Welwyn Hatfield, Haldens

Con 34.1 (-2.7)
Lab 30.8 (-5.7)
Lib Dem 29.6 (+19.9)
Green 5.5 (-11.5)

Bath and North East Somerset, Abbey

Con 32.8 (+3.8)
Lib Dem 25.6 (+4.8)
Green 23.6 (-5.4)
Lab 11.8 (-5.5)
Ind 4.0 (-)
UKIP 2.2 (+2.2)

Dumfries and Galloway, Annandale North (changes in italics since Nov 2012 by-election)

Con 57.4 (+16.9) (+11.4)
SNP 21.1 (+4.3) (+11.7)
Lab 17.2 (-2.4) (-8.1)
Green 4.3 (-10.0) (-7.4)

Con hold Haldens
Con gain Abbey from Green
Con win Annandale North held by Lab elected as Con

[ObserverIE]

This week's Holy Word here.

Tandridge, Valley

Lib Dem 51.6 (+12.9)
Con 25.0 (+1.0)
UKIP 16.8 (+2.1)
Lab 6.6 (-6.3)

Newcastle-upon-Tyne, Blakelaw (changes in italics since September 2016 by-election)

Lab 44.9 (-18.3) (+3.0)
Lib Dem 39.4 (+30.3) (+12.1)
Newcastle First 8.2 (+8.2) (+8.2)
Con 7.4 (-0.2) (-0.5)

Mansfield, Warsop Carrs

Lab 47.9 (-25.3)
Ind 35.5
UKIP 12.4 (+12.4)
Con 4.2 (+4.2)

Carlisle, Castle (changes in italics since September 2016 by-election)

Lab 49.3 (-0.6) (+2.8)
Con 27.3 (+3.7) (+0.6)
UKIP 11.1 (-2.6) (-1.4)
Lib Dem 7.2 (-1.0) (-3.1)
Green 5.1 (+0.5) (+1.1)

Pendle, Reedley

Con 51.1 (+5.7)
Lab 46.6 (+6.7)
Lib Dem 2.3 (-3.7)

Eastbourne, Sovereign

Con 65.2 (+23.4)
Lib Dem 27.0 (+2.2)
Lab 7.8 (-0.3)

South Somerset, Turn Hill

Con 51.4 (-6.6)
Lib Dem 40.2 (+5.8)
Lab 8.4 (+0.7)

Basingstoke and Deane, Tadley South

Con 49.2 (-13.8)
Lib Dem 36.9 (+16.4)
Lab 9.5 (-6.9)
UKIP 4.4 (+4.4)

Con gain Reedley from Lab

[ObserverIE]

A belated Holy Word from Monday here

Angus, Arbroath East and Lunan

SNP 35.0 (-8.8)
Con 27.0 (+12.2)
Ind Speed 17.2
Ind Smith 11.8
Lab 6.7 (-6.0)
Lib Dem 2.3 (-0.6)

SNP	919	925	956	1010	1172
Con	709	723	741	799	928
Ind Speed	452	457	482	619
Ind Smith	309	315	352
Lab	177	191
Lib Dem	60

SNP gain Arbroath East and Lunan from Ind

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word rides again.

Warwick, Myton and Heathcote

Con 53.6 (+9.6)
Lib Dem 25.1 (+10.2)
Lab 21.3 (+21.3)

Chichester, Southbourne

Lib Dem 57.7 (+21.6)
Con 25.8 (-38.1)
UKIP 11.8 (+11.8)
Lab 4.7 (+4.7)

Dorset, Ferndown (changes in italics since September 2016 by-election)

Con 53.1 (+8.7) (-3.9)
UKIP 30.2 (-14.6) (-0.2)
Lib Dem 10.9 (+10.9) (+3.7)
Lab 5.8 (-5.1) (+0.5)

Tower Hamlets, Whitechapel

Ind THF 44.7 (+3.6)
Lab 32.1 (+7.9)
Con 8.5 (+1.0)
Lib Dem 6.7 (-0.3)
Green 6.6 (-7.1)
UKIP 1.3 (-2.6)

South Northamptonshire, Grange Park

Con 58.4 (-9.7)
Lab 25,1 (-6.8)
UKIP 11.7 (+11.7)
Green 4.8 (+4.8)

Lib Dem gain Southbourne from Con
Con gain Ferndown from UKIP
I Can't Believe It's Not Tower Hamlets First win Whitechapel held by That Was The Tower Hamlets First That Was

[ObserverIE]

Another Monday Holy Word here.

Angus, Carnoustie and District

Ind 43.5
SNP 32.1 (-4.3)
Con 17.7 (+11.6)
Lab 4.4 (-1.8)
Lib Dem 2.3 (+1.4)

Ind	1401	1420	1477	1737
SNP	1033	1043	1078	1117
Con	568	586	606
Lab	141	151
Lib Dem	75

Ind gain Carnoustie and District from SNP

[ObserverIE]

Another Holy Word? Why not?

Telford and Wrekin, Horsehay and Lightmoor

Lab 46.3 (+21.4)
Con 37.7 (-2.4)
UKIP 16.0 (-2.6)

Lancaster, University and Scotforth Rural

Lab 34.9 (-1.0)
Green 28.1 (-3.8)
Con 24.2 (-1.5)
Lib Dem 12.8 (+6.3)

Tonbridge and Malling, Trench

Con 61.2 (+17.0)
Lab 20.7 (+1.8)
UKIP 18.1 (-0.5)

Newcastle-under-Lyme, Madeley

Ind 64.8 (+17.7)
Con 15.8 (-11.1)
Lib Dem 10.6 (+6.9)
Lab 8.8 (-10.4)

Maldon, Maldon West

Ind 38.1
Con 23.5 (-5.3)
UKIP 15.6 (+15.6)
Green 9.4 (-10.3)
BNP 7.0 (+7.0)
Lab 6.4 (+6.4)

Lab gain Horsehay and Lightmoor from Con
Ind gain Madeley from Lab
Ind gain Maldon West from Con

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

A shame that none of the UK Atlasers seem to post here any longer.

Anyway, the Holy Word is having a rebrand.  To understand the new name, international posters are encouraged to watch this...

[Gary J]

I do read this thread regularly, but I do not usually have much to say in response. It is a valuable community resource to keep track of the local by-elections.

The level of detail in the various Holy Words is impressive. I could perhaps duplicate it for Slough Borough Council elections, but having such information for the whole of Great Britain is awesome.

[Phony Moderate]

A shame that none of the UK Atlasers seem to post here any longer.

Activity amongst UK posters in general seems to have dried up. The result of the Sleaford and North Hykeham by-election hadn't been posted when I logged on during the afternoon after; back in the day you'd have had half a dozen or more discussing it overnight, posting rumours etc.

[ObserverIE]

This week's Holy Word/Andrew's Preview here.

[Mike67]

Go UKIP

[ObserverIE]

Blackburn with Darwen, Higher Croft

Lab 58.2 (-15.7)
UKIP 25.0 (+25.0)
Con 16.7 (-9.4)

Fife, Leven, Kennoway and Largo

SNP 37.0 (-4.0)
Lab 28.4 (-6.9)
Con 18.5 (+11.7)
Lib Dem 14.3 (+4.3)
Green 1.8 (+1.8)

SNP	1501	1532	1615	1668
Lab	1155	1169	1302	1620
Con	752	754	954
Lib Dem	580	590
Green	74

Taunton Deane, Blackdown

Lib Dem 71.2 (+49.9)
Con 22.5 (-30.4)
Ind 6.3

Powys, Welshpool Llanerchyddol

Ind 48.9
Lib Dem 32.1 (-17.7)
Con 19.1 (+19.1)

St Edmundsbury, Moreton Hall

Ind 56.0 (+21.0)
Con 21,7 (-19.8)
Lib Dem 10.4 (+10.4)
Lab 7.2 (-16.3)
UKIP 4.8 (+4.8)

Teignbridge, Chudleigh

Lib Dem 51.5 (+37.8)
Con 35.6 (+2.4)
UKIP 6.7 (+6.7)
Lab 6.1 (-10.0)

Teignbridge, Bovey

Lib Dem 43.9 (+24.4)
Con 33.1 (-5.2)
Ind Kelly 8.9 (-2.7)
Lab 5.4 (-7.3)
UKIP 5.1 (+5.1)
Ind West 3.6

SNP hold Leven, Kennoway and Largo
Lib Dem gain Blackdown from Con
Ind win Welshpool Llanerchyddol held by Ind
Ind gain Moreton Hall from Con
Lib Dem gain Chudleigh from Con
Lib Dem gain Bovey from Con

[Filuwaúrdjan]

UKIP last contested Higher Croft in 2015. The result then was Labour 46%, UKIP 33%, Con 20%. Back in the day the ward used to have a substantial BNP vote; 20% in 2010, 25% in 2008 and 30% in 2006. A different far right party polled 15% in 2007.

[ObserverIE]

Good night for the Lib Dems - except where The Curse of The Öpik still seems to haunt them six years later.