IA/NH-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Clinton, Cruz lead in Iowa; Sanders, Trump lead in NH

[Tender Branson]

IA-Dems:

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IA-GOP:

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NH-Dems:

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NH-GOP:

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The NBC/WSJ/Marist polls were conducted Jan. 2-7. In Iowa, the poll measured 2,821 registered voters (+/- 1.8], 1,094 potential GOP caucus-goers (+/- 3.0%), 456 likely GOP caucus-goers (+/- 4.6%), 977 potential Democratic caucus-goers (+/- 3.1%) and 422 likely Dem caucus-goers (+/- 4.8%)

In New Hampshire, the poll measured 1,888 registered voters (+/- 2.3%), 887 potential GOP primary voters (+/- 3.3%), 569 likely GOP primary voters (+/- 4.1%), 690 potential Dem primary voters (+/- 3.7%) and 425 likely Dem primary voters (+/- 4.8%).

http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/poll-neck-neck-2016-races-iowa-new-hampshire-n493361

[Tender Branson]

Oh yeah, the chick's feeling the Bern soon ...

[Tender Branson]

The gender gap in IA is huge:

Men: 56-39 Sanders
Women: 56-35 Clinton

Also, the crosstabs suggest that if mostly old Democratic women are voting on caucus day, Clinton will easily win. Clinton leads among registered Dems 54-39 and among Olds 60-33.

If more younger, independent men are voting - Sanders could pull off a win. Sanders leads among Independents 62-29 and among young voters under 45 years of age by 64-29.