IA-PPP: Trump 28% Cruz 26% Rubio 13% Carson 8% Bush 6%

[Mr. Morden]

PPP poll of Iowa:

http://www.businessinsider.com.au/donald-trump-ted-cruz-canadian-birther-iowa-poll-2016-1?r=US&IR=T

Trump 28%
Cruz 26%
Rubio 13%
Carson 8%
Bush 6%

Results for the remaining candidates will be released later today.

[Mr. Morden]

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[Tender Branson]

Looks quite similar to all the other polls we have seen recently.

[Phony Moderate]

Results for the remaining candidates will be released later today.

Always love it when they do this, as if the nation is on tenterhooks for those remaining numbers.

[Tender Branson]

Results for the remaining candidates will be released later today.

Always love it when they do this, as if the nation is on tenterhooks for those remaining numbers.

So you think the Dem. numbers are not important ?

[Landslide Lyndon]

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TRUMP knows better what the Republican base wants than the entire establishment apparatus.
He is always three steps ahead of everyone.

[Lyin' Steve]

Trump surging on prediction markets for Iowa in the aftermath of this.
PredictWise both has it at about Cruz 65/Trump 30/Other 5.  PredictIt has Cruz 60/Trump 40.  Both previously had Cruz at a prohibitive 80-85% chance of winning the caucuses.
PredictWise also has Trump closing in on Rubio, with 32/30/24 as the current Rubio/Trump/Cruz numbers.  PredictIt has Trump even more up with 38/30/26 Trump/Rubio/Cruz.
Bottom line, it's beginning to look like there's a reasonable chance Trump will sweep the first four states and coast to the nomination, while the democratic primary is shaping up to be a real fight.

[RI]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_11216.pdf

Trump 28%
Cruz 26%
Rubio 13%
Carson 8%
Bush 6%
Christie/Fiorina/Huckabee/Kasich/Paul 3%
Santorum 2%

Clinton 46%
Sanders 40%
O'Malley 8%

[RINO Tom]

I've already accepted that my caucus vote will be near meaningless.  There's no point in voting strategically, as the top two candidates are both terrible in my view, so I will probably just vote for Christie.

A lot more boring than in 2012, when I could have literally swung the state to Romney if my parents had come with me (stubborn Illinoisans who refuse to participate in something as stupid as a caucus, and I honestly can't blame them) plus a few friends...