Monmouth Poll - Clinton leads 52-37 over Sanders

[jaichind]

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/4d7b2106-b632-4b79-a6ed-7afc73902d4c.pdf

- Clinto is seen as a stronger nominee when measured against the GOP field.

- Clinton also has strong lead among black and Latino voters, who will play a big role in primaries immediately following Iowa and N.H., Monmouth says in statement

- Clinton has support of 52% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters nationwide, down from 59% in Dec.; Sanders gets 37% support, up from his 26% support level last mo.

- Results are the first time Clinton’s lead has dropped below 20 pts in a a national Monmouth poll

Clinton was ahead 59-26 back in Dec

[Lief 🗽]

Interesting that Clinton has actually increased (!!) her lead among minorities. That bodes well for the NV/SC firewall.

[Torie]

Hillary was skillful in wrapping herself around Obama in the debate.

[Holmes]

Sanders' numbers were a bit too low in the December poll (Hillary was winning the white and liberal vote by double digits, and I don't think it's been like that since August). It's just now aligning with what other national pollsters are saying. His deficit among non-white voters will kill him during NV/SC and Super Tuesday.

[Adam Griffin]

Probably pretty close to the actual numbers in the race currently.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Lol @ Lief's spin. 

[Averroës Nix]

Lol @ Lief's spin. 

He's not the only one saying this, FTR. It's worth keeping an eye on, especially for anyone who wants Sanders to succeed in expanding his base.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Lol @ Lief's spin. 

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Lol @ Lief's spin. 

He's not the only one saying this, FTR. It's worth keeping an eye on, especially for anyone who wants Sanders to succeed in expanding his base.

No it's legit, it's just the immediacy.

[Eraserhead]

52% (-7)
37% (+11)

That's a giant shift towards Sanders any way you look at it. These national polls are all over the place and seem rather useless at this point though.

[psychprofessor]

Another interesting trend that seems to be developing is that Hillary outperforms Bernie with self-identified Democrats whereas Bernie outperforms Hillary with leaners and Independents.

In this national poll Hillary is actually up 21 (56-35) with just Democrats.

I would imagine in states that have closed primaries Hillary will perform better - perhaps one of the reasons why NH seems to be swinging heavily to Bernie.

[Adam Griffin]

Another interesting trend that seems to be developing is that Hillary outperforms Bernie with self-identified Democrats whereas Bernie outperforms Hillary with leaners and Independents.

In this national poll Hillary is actually up 21 (56-35) with just Democrats.

I would imagine in states that have closed primaries Hillary will perform better - perhaps one of the reasons why NH seems to be swinging heavily to Bernie.

It's just part of a greater trend. Hillary is either nominally up or up by more with more reliable and/or "establishment" demographics and metrics within the Democratic Party than Sanders is up by with their counterparts. Hillary doing better with partisan Dems versus Sanders doing better with independents/soft Dems (more reliable voters for Clinton); Hillary being up by 50 with blacks but Sanders only being up by a few points among whites (more net votes for Clinton); the states where Clinton is winning are going to her by strong double-digits, but the states where Sanders is winning are going to him by single-digits or low double-digits (more delegates for Clinton); etc.