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Author Topic: NH-CNN/WMUR/UNH: Sanders beats all Repubs; Clinton beats or ties all but Rubio  (Read 1431 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: January 21, 2016, 01:53:00 am »

CNN/WMUR/UNH poll of New Hampshire, conducted Jan. 13-18:

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/01/20/politics/new-hampshire-poll-results-general-election/index.html

Clinton 48%
Trump 39%

Sanders 57%
Trump 34%

Clinton 47%
Cruz 41%

Sanders 56%
Cruz 33%

Rubio 45%
Clinton 44%

Sanders 55%
Rubio 37%

Clinton 45%
Christie 42%

Sanders 57%
Christie 34%

Clinton 43%
Kasich 43%

Sanders 54%
Kasich 33%
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2016, 02:02:41 am »

Smiley

Hillary = trainwreck.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2 on: January 21, 2016, 02:15:30 am »

Thanks for the laughs UNH.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #3 on: January 21, 2016, 02:27:24 am »

Sanders is a great fit for NH while Clinton is pretty weak.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #4 on: January 21, 2016, 03:01:17 am »

The same NH voters also told pollsters that they support Sununu & Ayotte. We have to be careful. NH along with NV & CO are D leaning battlegrounds, but they are still purple.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #5 on: January 21, 2016, 04:32:37 am »

LOL, I doubt that Sanders would so much better than Hillary.
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jfern
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« Reply #6 on: January 21, 2016, 04:37:51 am »

The live free or die state has made it clear who they prefer between a democratic socialist, a 3rd wayer, or a Republican.
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
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« Reply #7 on: January 21, 2016, 05:43:03 am »

Looks like Republicans can't handle all that elasticity Sad B-b-but 20-year old Democratic election analysts and Debbie Wasserman-Schultz told me that NH is more competitive than PA. Sad

Sanders is a great fit for NH while Clinton is pretty weak.

lol Her numbers in NH will look like Sanders' numbers soon... the state is unwinnable for ANY Republican.
« Last Edit: January 21, 2016, 05:51:55 am by TNvolunteer »Logged
HillOfANight
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« Reply #8 on: January 21, 2016, 08:36:32 am »

Rubio is not going to happen. About as useful as polling O'Malley.
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #9 on: January 21, 2016, 05:25:28 pm »

Looks like Republicans can't handle all that elasticity Sad B-b-but 20-year old Democratic election analysts and Debbie Wasserman-Schultz told me that NH is more competitive than PA. Sad

Sanders is a great fit for NH while Clinton is pretty weak.

lol Her numbers in NH will look like Sanders' numbers soon... the state is unwinnable for ANY Republican.

Hillary's doing worse in NH than Sanders? But... muh sexist NH women!
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« Reply #10 on: January 22, 2016, 08:15:01 pm »

Hillary's doing worse in NH than Sanders? But... muh sexist NH women!

Haven't we learned not to trust NH polling? There's like zero chance that Clinton would do worse than Sanders in the general election in a feminist state like NH. Pretty much every Sanders supporter will vote for her in the general. My guess is that she would beat Trump by at least 15 and that Sanders would beat him by 9 or so.  
« Last Edit: January 22, 2016, 08:17:25 pm by TNvolunteer »Logged
ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #11 on: January 22, 2016, 11:44:59 pm »

Hillary's doing worse in NH than Sanders? But... muh sexist NH women!

Haven't we learned not to trust NH polling? There's like zero chance that Clinton would do worse than Sanders in the general election in a feminist state like NH. Pretty much every Sanders supporter will vote for her in the general. My guess is that she would beat Trump by at least 15 and that Sanders would beat him by 9 or so.  

Since when can we not Trust NH polling? 2008 was almost a once in a life time upset i doubt it would happen again. Also polls in the general election have been more accurate.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #12 on: January 23, 2016, 03:06:46 pm »

Looks like Republicans can't handle all that elasticity Sad B-b-but 20-year old Democratic election analysts and Debbie Wasserman-Schultz told me that NH is more competitive than PA. Sad

Sanders is a great fit for NH while Clinton is pretty weak.

lol Her numbers in NH will look like Sanders' numbers soon... the state is unwinnable for ANY Republican.

The most recent poll of Pennsylvania is about two months old, from when Hillary Clinton reeled from accusations of malfeasance and incompetence related to the private server and Benghazi. 
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« Reply #13 on: January 23, 2016, 03:09:46 pm »

^PA is still more competitive than NH. This isn't 1992 or 2000 anymore.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #14 on: January 23, 2016, 09:36:49 pm »

^PA is still more competitive than NH. This isn't 1992 or 2000 anymore.

In recent years Pennsylvania has tantalized Republicans only to swing away. But I might concede that New Hampshire is not as competitive as Pennsylvania if I see either

(1) Pennsylvania having new polls suggesting that Republicans have a strong chance of taking it while New Hampshire is close, or

(2) New Hampshire shows a margin significantly more than 10%for all Democrats against all Republicans, in which case New Hampshire is becoming indistinguishable from Vermont. 
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