NH-Gravis: D: Sanders 46% Clinton 43%; R: Trump 35% Kasich 15% Cruz 10% Rubio 9%
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  NH-Gravis: D: Sanders 46% Clinton 43%; R: Trump 35% Kasich 15% Cruz 10% Rubio 9%
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Author Topic: NH-Gravis: D: Sanders 46% Clinton 43%; R: Trump 35% Kasich 15% Cruz 10% Rubio 9%  (Read 2560 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: January 20, 2016, 05:14:31 PM »

Gravis poll of NH, conducted Jan. 15-18:

http://www.oann.com/pollnh/




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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #1 on: January 20, 2016, 05:17:19 PM »

New Poll: New Hampshire President by Gravis Marketing on 2016-01-18

Summary:
Trump:
35%
Kasich:
15%
Cruz:
10%
Rubio:
9%
Christie:
8%
Bush:
7%
Other:
10%
Undecided:
6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Mike Thick
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« Reply #2 on: January 20, 2016, 05:20:36 PM »

inb4 everyone

>Gravis
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mds32
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« Reply #3 on: January 20, 2016, 05:20:47 PM »

Kasich is now the second place candidate in NH. 3/4 polls confirm this.
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cxs018
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« Reply #4 on: January 20, 2016, 05:21:42 PM »

RIP Ayotte and Sununu.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #5 on: January 20, 2016, 05:22:07 PM »
« Edited: January 20, 2016, 05:24:47 PM by realisticidealist »



Also, something real funky's going on with Sanders's numbers in NH.
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Holmes
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« Reply #6 on: January 20, 2016, 05:43:40 PM »

The higher the percentage is of people voting in the GOP primary over the Democratic primary, the worst Sanders will do.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #7 on: January 20, 2016, 05:47:16 PM »

It seems this is one of the times Gravis just averaged the other polls together for 75% of them and then picked random numbers 1-25 for the rest.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: January 20, 2016, 05:48:44 PM »

Clinton is very close.
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cxs018
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« Reply #9 on: January 20, 2016, 06:13:22 PM »


Given the fact that this is Gravis, this actually reinforces the recent CNN poll.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #10 on: January 20, 2016, 06:26:44 PM »

Finally, a reasonable poll from a quality pollster.
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jfern
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« Reply #11 on: January 20, 2016, 06:27:45 PM »

Finally, a reasonable poll from a quality pollster.

LOL at the idea of Gravis being a quality pollster!


Given the fact that this is Gravis, this actually reinforces the recent CNN poll.

Gravis isn't self consistent enough to reinforce anything. They're just white noise.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #12 on: January 20, 2016, 06:41:02 PM »

Kasich is now the second place candidate in NH. 3/4 polls confirm this.

3/4 garbage pail polls, yes.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #13 on: January 20, 2016, 06:43:56 PM »

Sanders is going to get castrated in NH, even or especially if he wins in IA. 

Uh, CNN has him up 27 in New Hampshire. Really, your strange theory of the state's sexism, which was already proven wrong in 2008 when it voted for the male VP over the female VP, is about to be proven wrong again.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #14 on: January 20, 2016, 06:45:13 PM »


Given the fact that this is Gravis, this actually reinforces the recent CNN poll.

Um, UNH is about as bad as Gravis.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #15 on: January 20, 2016, 06:46:42 PM »
« Edited: January 20, 2016, 10:06:50 PM by ProgressiveCanadian »


Given the fact that this is Gravis, this actually reinforces the recent CNN poll.

Um, UNH is about as bad as Gravis.

Lol what???
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #16 on: January 20, 2016, 06:48:04 PM »


Given the fact that this is Gravis, this actually reinforces the recent CNN poll.

Um, UNH is about as bad as Gravis.

To be fair, UNH at least never put out a poll that had Jim Webb at 12% and Lincoln Chafee at 8%.
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Dorko Julio
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« Reply #17 on: January 20, 2016, 07:10:00 PM »

Round Paul at 3% = Sad
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Crumpets
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« Reply #18 on: January 20, 2016, 07:33:33 PM »

Could an explanation for the wonky numbers be the likely voter screens the various firms are using? I imagine if "have you voted in previous primaries?" is used as a strong indicator, Clinton will poll much better than if it's "do you plan to vote?"
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #19 on: January 20, 2016, 07:44:43 PM »

The last poll was an outlier, so waa the ARG poll on Kasich. Just like the poll showing Clinton up to 60 in Iowa.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #20 on: January 20, 2016, 07:45:52 PM »

First Sanders is at +27 from CNN and now he's only +3? Wonky NH polls are wonky..
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mds32
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« Reply #21 on: January 20, 2016, 09:13:21 PM »


Given the fact that this is Gravis, this actually reinforces the recent CNN poll.

Um, UNH is about as bad as Gravis.

To be fair, UNH at least never put out a poll that had Jim Webb at 12% and Lincoln Chafee at 8%.

And to be fair that was clearly taken right after the debate. Something no other pollsters did as far as I have seen.
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cxs018
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« Reply #22 on: January 20, 2016, 09:49:30 PM »


Given the fact that this is Gravis, this actually reinforces the recent CNN poll.

Um, UNH is about as bad as Gravis.

To be fair, UNH at least never put out a poll that had Jim Webb at 12% and Lincoln Chafee at 8%.

And to be fair that was clearly taken right after the debate. Something no other pollsters did as far as I have seen.

A debate where Chafee performed horribly, and Webb performed below average.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #23 on: January 21, 2016, 12:00:13 AM »

First Sanders is at +27 from CNN and now he's only +3? Wonky NH polls are wonky..
It's more like, in some cases, polling for the New Hampshire primary isn't particularly predictive.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #24 on: January 21, 2016, 12:02:49 AM »

First Sanders is at +27 from CNN and now he's only +3? Wonky NH polls are wonky..
It's more like, in some cases, polling for the New Hampshire primary isn't particularly predictive.

Yeah cause we all know what happened in NH in 2008 even though Obama was leading going into NH
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