Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 09, 2019, 10:33:15 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (Primary) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  IA-Monmouth/KBUR: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 39%; R: Cruz 27% Trump 25% Carson 11%
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: IA-Monmouth/KBUR: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 39%; R: Cruz 27% Trump 25% Carson 11%  (Read 1462 times)
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,323
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 21, 2016, 09:25:40 am »
« edited: January 21, 2016, 09:28:07 am by Mr. Morden »

Monmouth/KBUR poll of Iowa, conducted Jan. 18-19:

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/IowaDemCaucusPollJan2016.pdf
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/IowaGOPCaucusPollJan2016.pdf

Dems

Clinton 48%
Sanders 39%
O’Malley 7%

GOP

Cruz 27%
Trump 25%
Carson 11%
Rubio 9%
Bush 7%
Christie 4%
Huckabee 4%
Fiorina 3%
Kasich 3%
Paul 3%
Gilmore 1%
Santorum 1%
Logged
/
darthebearnc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,376
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2016, 09:28:40 am »

D:
Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
LibertarianRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,554
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -1.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 21, 2016, 09:32:07 am »

These numbers don't make sense
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29,478
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 21, 2016, 09:35:35 am »

Good luck Clinton.
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,910
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 21, 2016, 09:39:27 am »
« Edited: January 21, 2016, 12:47:09 pm by Eraserhead »

Changes vs. December poll.

Clinton -7
Sanders +6

Remember that these are the folks that had Clinton leading by 41 points here not long ago. I don't think they understand how to poll a caucus.


Edit: Wrong pollster.
Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
LibertarianRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,554
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -1.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 21, 2016, 09:41:42 am »

Changes vs. December poll.

Clinton -6
Sanders +6

Remember that these are the folks that had Clinton leading by 41 points here not long ago. I don't think they understand how to poll a caucus.

Yeah there is no plausible way that Clinton is approaching 50% in Iowa...
Logged
mds32
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,083
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 21, 2016, 09:42:57 am »

Monmouth/KBUR poll of Iowa, conducted Jan. 18-19:

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/IowaDemCaucusPollJan2016.pdf
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/IowaGOPCaucusPollJan2016.pdf

Dems

Clinton 48%
Sanders 39%
O’Malley 7%

GOP

Cruz 27%
Trump 25%
Carson 11%
Rubio 9%
Bush 7%
Christie 4%
Huckabee 4%
Fiorina 3%
Kasich 3%
Paul 3%
Gilmore 1%
Santorum 1%


The caucus race is certainly a barn-burner now.
Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
LibertarianRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,554
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -1.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: January 21, 2016, 09:45:34 am »

Monmouth/KBUR poll of Iowa, conducted Jan. 18-19:

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/IowaDemCaucusPollJan2016.pdf
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/IowaGOPCaucusPollJan2016.pdf

Dems

Clinton 48%
Sanders 39%
O’Malley 7%

GOP

Cruz 27%
Trump 25%
Carson 11%
Rubio 9%
Bush 7%
Christie 4%
Huckabee 4%
Fiorina 3%
Kasich 3%
Paul 3%
Gilmore 1%
Santorum 1%


The caucus race is certainly a barn-burner now.

I think the Republican side will be very close almost at Romney-Santorum level close this year. I think the Democratic side will be called first before the Republican side is
Logged
psychprofessor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,073


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: January 21, 2016, 09:48:09 am »

Clinton +9 and leading in the two most populous potions of the state. Clinton leading with every age group above 35. Those looks to be strong numbers for her.

Bernie's support concentrated in the least populous region of the state according to the cross-tabs.
Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
LibertarianRepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,554
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -1.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: January 21, 2016, 09:52:27 am »

Clinton +9 and leading in the two most populous potions of the state. Clinton leading with every age group above 35. Those looks to be strong numbers for her.

Bernie's support concentrated in the least populous region of the state according to the cross-tabs.

Take it with a grain of salt, last time they had her at almost 60% when every other major poll had Bernie Sanders and Clinton very close to each other
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: January 21, 2016, 09:52:34 am »

Two beautiful polls to start my morning off right!!
Logged
psychprofessor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,073


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: January 21, 2016, 09:54:25 am »

Clinton +9 and leading in the two most populous potions of the state. Clinton leading with every age group above 35. Those looks to be strong numbers for her.

Bernie's support concentrated in the least populous region of the state according to the cross-tabs.

Take it with a grain of salt, last time they had her at almost 60% when every other major poll had Bernie Sanders and Clinton very close to each other

This is Monmouth College, not Monmouth University which previously polled the race. This is a different polling outfit.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: January 21, 2016, 09:55:00 am »

Changes vs. December poll.

Clinton -6
Sanders +6

Remember that these are the folks that had Clinton leading by 41 points here not long ago. I don't think they understand how to poll a caucus.

Yeah there is no plausible way that Clinton is approaching 50% in Iowa...
lol yes there is....
Logged
yankeesfan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,150
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: January 21, 2016, 09:58:19 am »

Clinton +9 and leading in the two most populous potions of the state. Clinton leading with every age group above 35. Those looks to be strong numbers for her.

Bernie's support concentrated in the least populous region of the state according to the cross-tabs.

Take it with a grain of salt, last time they had her at almost 60% when every other major poll had Bernie Sanders and Clinton very close to each other

This is Monmouth College, not Monmouth University which previously polled the race. This is a different polling outfit.

Looks like you're right.  That's not confusing at all.
Logged
EliteLX
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.64, S: 0.85

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: January 21, 2016, 10:17:51 am »

How WILD!

Gonna be a fun week for us, Atlas.
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,910
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: January 21, 2016, 12:46:15 pm »

Clinton +9 and leading in the two most populous potions of the state. Clinton leading with every age group above 35. Those looks to be strong numbers for her.

Bernie's support concentrated in the least populous region of the state according to the cross-tabs.

Take it with a grain of salt, last time they had her at almost 60% when every other major poll had Bernie Sanders and Clinton very close to each other

This is Monmouth College, not Monmouth University which previously polled the race. This is a different polling outfit.

Looks like you're right.  That's not confusing at all.

That's odd. So apparently the changes were:

Clinton +2
Sanders +7
Logged
RFayette
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,980
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: January 21, 2016, 12:46:27 pm »

I'm relieved Cruz still posts a lead here.  Praying it will hold up.  
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,910
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: January 21, 2016, 12:53:58 pm »

I see they've got that whole decimal point thing going on too, not usually a great sign. Clinton's margin is actually 8.4%.

O'Malley is also sitting at 7.4% which seems kind of high.
Logged
Dr. RI
realisticidealist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12,720
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: 4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: January 21, 2016, 01:10:08 pm »
« Edited: January 21, 2016, 01:25:30 pm by realisticidealist »

lol this poll

For Dems: Bernie leads among people who drive hatchbacks, electrics, minivans, trucks, and motorcycles. Hillary leads among people who drive sedans, SUVs, "other", and none. Coupes are tied

For GOP: Carson leads coupe drivers. Sedan, minivan, "other" drivers prefer Cruz. Hatchbacks, electrics, trucks prefer Trump. SUVs are tied Trump/Cruz. Motorcycles are tied Carson/Huckabee/Kasich. None is tied Trump/Carson.

Also:
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC