NC PrimD: Public Policy Polling: Clinton close to 60%

[RI]

New Poll: North Carolina President by Public Policy Polling on 2016-01-19

Summary:

Clinton:	59%
Sanders:	26%
Other:	5%
Undecided:	10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[psychprofessor]

demographics don't favor Bernie in the Carolina's, Maryland, Virginia, Georgia and Florida.

[Ebsy]

If Bernie survives past super Tuesday, North Carolina may well end up being an important state.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

PPP's last pre-Iowa poll in 2008, for your pleasure;

Clinton 31%, Edwards 26%, Obama 24%, Other 12%, undecided 8%

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_April,_May,_and_June_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2008#North_Carolina

So, I just don't get the point of doing these state-by-states for later contests.  What does it matter?

[psychprofessor]

PPP's last pre-Iowa poll in 2008, for your pleasure;

Clinton 31%, Edwards 26%, Obama 24%, Other 12%, undecided 8%


So, I just don't get the point of doing these state-by-states for later contests.  What does it matter?

Well, comparing 2008 to 2016 is apples to oranges. I agree somewhat that the dynamic can change depending on the momentum leading into the contest; however, certain trends are clear: Hillary is far ahead among Blacks and Hispanics; middle-aged and older Democrats; and women. Bernie is ahead with liberal Dems; independents and millennials. I don't see either of these shifting dramatically based on what happens in Iowa and NH.

[Zanas]

Yeah the tendency to cite one several year old wacky poll from firm X to discredit firm X forever on this board in each and every thread is tiring at best.

Every firm has released a handful of wacky polls at some point, as they should have if they're doing their job honestly.

[Sorenroy]

Change from December:
Clinton - 1
Sanders + 5
O'Malley - 5

Favorability:

Candidate — Favorable-Unfavorable (Net)

Clinton — 71-22 (49%)
Sanders — 56-24 (32%)
O'Malley — 26-18 (8%)

Note: The funny thing is that O'Malley supporters have a less favorable opinion of O'Malley than the general public. When you look at O'Malley supporters alone he goes to a 17-51 (-34) unfavorability. Clearly people who support him only support him because they support the others less. This can be seen in the fact that they give Clinton a 21-77 (-56) and Sanders a 18-71 (-53). At best their opinion of their own candidate is neutral (and both of the other candidates have higher favorable numbers than him).

Clinton also wins men (57-22 for 35) by a larger margin than she wins women (60-29 for 31).

Amongst Whites:
Clinton — 49%
Sanders — 33%
O'Malley — 7%

Amongst African-Americans:
Clinton — 77%
Sanders — 12%
O'Malley — 2%