IA-Monmouth/KBUR: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 39%; R: Cruz 27% Trump 25% Carson 11%
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  IA-Monmouth/KBUR: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 39%; R: Cruz 27% Trump 25% Carson 11%
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Author Topic: IA-Monmouth/KBUR: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 39%; R: Cruz 27% Trump 25% Carson 11%  (Read 1793 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: January 21, 2016, 09:25:40 AM »
« edited: January 21, 2016, 09:28:07 AM by Mr. Morden »

Monmouth/KBUR poll of Iowa, conducted Jan. 18-19:

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/IowaDemCaucusPollJan2016.pdf
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/IowaGOPCaucusPollJan2016.pdf

Dems

Clinton 48%
Sanders 39%
O’Malley 7%

GOP

Cruz 27%
Trump 25%
Carson 11%
Rubio 9%
Bush 7%
Christie 4%
Huckabee 4%
Fiorina 3%
Kasich 3%
Paul 3%
Gilmore 1%
Santorum 1%
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2016, 09:28:40 AM »

D:
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #2 on: January 21, 2016, 09:32:07 AM »

These numbers don't make sense
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #3 on: January 21, 2016, 09:35:35 AM »

Good luck Clinton.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: January 21, 2016, 09:39:27 AM »
« Edited: January 21, 2016, 12:47:09 PM by Eraserhead »

Changes vs. December poll.

Clinton -7
Sanders +6

Remember that these are the folks that had Clinton leading by 41 points here not long ago. I don't think they understand how to poll a caucus.


Edit: Wrong pollster.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #5 on: January 21, 2016, 09:41:42 AM »

Changes vs. December poll.

Clinton -6
Sanders +6

Remember that these are the folks that had Clinton leading by 41 points here not long ago. I don't think they understand how to poll a caucus.

Yeah there is no plausible way that Clinton is approaching 50% in Iowa...
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mds32
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« Reply #6 on: January 21, 2016, 09:42:57 AM »

Monmouth/KBUR poll of Iowa, conducted Jan. 18-19:

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/IowaDemCaucusPollJan2016.pdf
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/IowaGOPCaucusPollJan2016.pdf

Dems

Clinton 48%
Sanders 39%
O’Malley 7%

GOP

Cruz 27%
Trump 25%
Carson 11%
Rubio 9%
Bush 7%
Christie 4%
Huckabee 4%
Fiorina 3%
Kasich 3%
Paul 3%
Gilmore 1%
Santorum 1%


The caucus race is certainly a barn-burner now.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #7 on: January 21, 2016, 09:45:34 AM »

Monmouth/KBUR poll of Iowa, conducted Jan. 18-19:

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/IowaDemCaucusPollJan2016.pdf
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/IowaGOPCaucusPollJan2016.pdf

Dems

Clinton 48%
Sanders 39%
O’Malley 7%

GOP

Cruz 27%
Trump 25%
Carson 11%
Rubio 9%
Bush 7%
Christie 4%
Huckabee 4%
Fiorina 3%
Kasich 3%
Paul 3%
Gilmore 1%
Santorum 1%


The caucus race is certainly a barn-burner now.

I think the Republican side will be very close almost at Romney-Santorum level close this year. I think the Democratic side will be called first before the Republican side is
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #8 on: January 21, 2016, 09:48:09 AM »

Clinton +9 and leading in the two most populous potions of the state. Clinton leading with every age group above 35. Those looks to be strong numbers for her.

Bernie's support concentrated in the least populous region of the state according to the cross-tabs.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #9 on: January 21, 2016, 09:52:27 AM »

Clinton +9 and leading in the two most populous potions of the state. Clinton leading with every age group above 35. Those looks to be strong numbers for her.

Bernie's support concentrated in the least populous region of the state according to the cross-tabs.

Take it with a grain of salt, last time they had her at almost 60% when every other major poll had Bernie Sanders and Clinton very close to each other
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #10 on: January 21, 2016, 09:52:34 AM »

Two beautiful polls to start my morning off right!!
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #11 on: January 21, 2016, 09:54:25 AM »

Clinton +9 and leading in the two most populous potions of the state. Clinton leading with every age group above 35. Those looks to be strong numbers for her.

Bernie's support concentrated in the least populous region of the state according to the cross-tabs.

Take it with a grain of salt, last time they had her at almost 60% when every other major poll had Bernie Sanders and Clinton very close to each other

This is Monmouth College, not Monmouth University which previously polled the race. This is a different polling outfit.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #12 on: January 21, 2016, 09:55:00 AM »

Changes vs. December poll.

Clinton -6
Sanders +6

Remember that these are the folks that had Clinton leading by 41 points here not long ago. I don't think they understand how to poll a caucus.

Yeah there is no plausible way that Clinton is approaching 50% in Iowa...
lol yes there is....
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #13 on: January 21, 2016, 09:58:19 AM »

Clinton +9 and leading in the two most populous potions of the state. Clinton leading with every age group above 35. Those looks to be strong numbers for her.

Bernie's support concentrated in the least populous region of the state according to the cross-tabs.

Take it with a grain of salt, last time they had her at almost 60% when every other major poll had Bernie Sanders and Clinton very close to each other

This is Monmouth College, not Monmouth University which previously polled the race. This is a different polling outfit.

Looks like you're right.  That's not confusing at all.
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EliteLX
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« Reply #14 on: January 21, 2016, 10:17:51 AM »

How WILD!

Gonna be a fun week for us, Atlas.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #15 on: January 21, 2016, 12:46:15 PM »

Clinton +9 and leading in the two most populous potions of the state. Clinton leading with every age group above 35. Those looks to be strong numbers for her.

Bernie's support concentrated in the least populous region of the state according to the cross-tabs.

Take it with a grain of salt, last time they had her at almost 60% when every other major poll had Bernie Sanders and Clinton very close to each other

This is Monmouth College, not Monmouth University which previously polled the race. This is a different polling outfit.

Looks like you're right.  That's not confusing at all.

That's odd. So apparently the changes were:

Clinton +2
Sanders +7
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RFayette
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« Reply #16 on: January 21, 2016, 12:46:27 PM »

I'm relieved Cruz still posts a lead here.  Praying it will hold up.  
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #17 on: January 21, 2016, 12:53:58 PM »

I see they've got that whole decimal point thing going on too, not usually a great sign. Clinton's margin is actually 8.4%.

O'Malley is also sitting at 7.4% which seems kind of high.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #18 on: January 21, 2016, 01:10:08 PM »
« Edited: January 21, 2016, 01:25:30 PM by realisticidealist »

lol this poll

For Dems: Bernie leads among people who drive hatchbacks, electrics, minivans, trucks, and motorcycles. Hillary leads among people who drive sedans, SUVs, "other", and none. Coupes are tied

For GOP: Carson leads coupe drivers. Sedan, minivan, "other" drivers prefer Cruz. Hatchbacks, electrics, trucks prefer Trump. SUVs are tied Trump/Cruz. Motorcycles are tied Carson/Huckabee/Kasich. None is tied Trump/Carson.

Also:
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