IA-Monmouth/KBUR: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 39%; R: Cruz 27% Trump 25% Carson 11% (user search)
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  IA-Monmouth/KBUR: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 39%; R: Cruz 27% Trump 25% Carson 11% (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Monmouth/KBUR: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 39%; R: Cruz 27% Trump 25% Carson 11%  (Read 1830 times)
Eraserhead
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Posts: 44,486
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« on: January 21, 2016, 09:39:27 AM »
« edited: January 21, 2016, 12:47:09 PM by Eraserhead »

Changes vs. December poll.

Clinton -7
Sanders +6

Remember that these are the folks that had Clinton leading by 41 points here not long ago. I don't think they understand how to poll a caucus.


Edit: Wrong pollster.
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Eraserhead
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Posts: 44,486
United States


« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2016, 12:46:15 PM »

Clinton +9 and leading in the two most populous potions of the state. Clinton leading with every age group above 35. Those looks to be strong numbers for her.

Bernie's support concentrated in the least populous region of the state according to the cross-tabs.

Take it with a grain of salt, last time they had her at almost 60% when every other major poll had Bernie Sanders and Clinton very close to each other

This is Monmouth College, not Monmouth University which previously polled the race. This is a different polling outfit.

Looks like you're right.  That's not confusing at all.

That's odd. So apparently the changes were:

Clinton +2
Sanders +7
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Eraserhead
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Posts: 44,486
United States


« Reply #2 on: January 21, 2016, 12:53:58 PM »

I see they've got that whole decimal point thing going on too, not usually a great sign. Clinton's margin is actually 8.4%.

O'Malley is also sitting at 7.4% which seems kind of high.
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