IA-Emerson College: Trump and Clinton lead (user search)
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  IA-Emerson College: Trump and Clinton lead (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Emerson College: Trump and Clinton lead  (Read 1796 times)
cinyc
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« on: January 21, 2016, 11:54:37 PM »
« edited: January 21, 2016, 11:56:28 PM by cinyc »

One interesting thing in this poll that makes me skeptical is that Trump is leading Cruz in all districts except 3. So Cruz wins the Des Moines district but loses in Steve King's district? That seems odd.

The poll is of 271 likely caucus goers.  Assuming caucus goers were uniformly spread among CDs, that would be 68 persons per CD.  The MoE in a poll of 68 people is about 12%.  In other words, the CD subsamples are junk.
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