Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 08, 2019, 05:15:32 pm
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (Primary) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  Iowa poll (Loras, landlines +cellphone): Clinton 59%, Sanders 30%)
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 Print
Author Topic: Iowa poll (Loras, landlines +cellphone): Clinton 59%, Sanders 30%)  (Read 2302 times)
A Perez
Full Member
***
Posts: 231
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 22, 2016, 02:26:56 pm »

January 13-18

http://loras.edu/About-Loras/News-Events/News/2016/Clinton-Maintains-Lead,-New-Loras-College-Poll-Fin.aspx
Logged
Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,822
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 22, 2016, 02:27:43 pm »

Probably too good to be true.
Logged
HokeyDood
HockeyDude
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,766
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 22, 2016, 02:28:17 pm »

Lol
Logged
Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,768
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 22, 2016, 02:29:13 pm »

I wonder if this race will go the way of 2000, where Bradley campaigned vigorously and was within 2-3% of Gore in the polls before caucus day... only to be trashed.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 22, 2016, 02:30:34 pm »

Wow! Wow! Beautiful result!!! It looks like Bernie's disgusting negative campaign is collapsing before our eyes!
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,969
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 22, 2016, 02:31:24 pm »

Straight into the trashcan with this one ...
Logged
/
darthebearnc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,376
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 22, 2016, 02:31:46 pm »

Straight into the trash can with this one ...
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,947
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: January 22, 2016, 02:31:52 pm »

Logged
A Perez
Full Member
***
Posts: 231
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: January 22, 2016, 02:34:07 pm »

CNN had a 53% male sample, despite males being 43% in 2008, expert says https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/690284590196473856
Logged
Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,768
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: January 22, 2016, 02:35:03 pm »

Straight into the trashcan with this one ...

Just close your eyes, cover your ears, it'll all be over soon. Smiley
Logged
Impeachment Inquiry
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,105
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: January 22, 2016, 02:36:49 pm »

Sanders people are in for a big, hard, painful fall. lol.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: January 22, 2016, 02:37:21 pm »

Say what you will about the toplines, but looking at the methodology and the sampling of this poll versus CNN's, I would take this one any day of the week.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,969
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: January 22, 2016, 02:42:05 pm »

Loras is a joke pollster. The Hillary people will be in shock and awe mode once the results come in because they see that she'll finally be sent into retirement. I will accept my chocolates later.
Logged
psychprofessor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,073


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: January 22, 2016, 02:43:31 pm »

Say what you will about the toplines, but looking at the methodology and the sampling of this poll versus CNN's, I would take this one any day of the week.

Looks quite strong; screening not too rigid and includes those who votes in 2012, 2014 and new registrants. Live operator rather than rob-call. 55% women. Things seem to be more in line methodologically here than the CNN poll.
Logged
Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,768
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: January 22, 2016, 02:43:55 pm »

Loras is a joke pollster. The Hillary people will be in shock and awe mode once the results come in because they see that she'll finally be sent into retirement. I will accept my chocolates later.

Not unless the Blaxicasians have anything to say about it!
Logged
Oakvale
oakvale
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,627
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: January 22, 2016, 02:44:28 pm »

So CNN is basically just vastly overstating the "MRAs for Bernie" vote in assuming the electorate will be majority (!) male.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,969
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: January 22, 2016, 02:47:01 pm »

Hmm, you have newish/jokish Gravis and Loras showing her up by 20 or more.

And battle-tested Selzer, Quinnipiac, CNN, PPP etc. all showing a close race.

With which polls would you rather go ?
Logged
A Perez
Full Member
***
Posts: 231
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: January 22, 2016, 02:48:00 pm »

Loras is a joke pollster. The Hillary people will be in shock and awe mode once the results come in because they see that she'll finally be sent into retirement. I will accept my chocolates later.

CNN is the joke pollster, picking the wrong winner in both Iowa and NH in 2008. They are good in non-primary elections. That's it.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,932
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: January 22, 2016, 02:50:06 pm »

Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: January 22, 2016, 02:51:13 pm »

Iowa is now STRONG CLINTON on the Atlas polls map! https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016D/polls.php?fips=19

BEAUTIFUL!
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,969
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: January 22, 2016, 02:52:45 pm »


What's your point ?

One more poll added to the database and it's back to a tie ...
Logged
Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,768
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: January 22, 2016, 02:52:53 pm »

Hmm, you have newish/jokish Gravis and Loras showing her up by 20 or more.

And battle-tested Selzer, Quinnipiac, CNN, PPP etc. all showing a close race.

With which polls would you rather go ?

Do you think Clinton's lead in this poll is so high because they polled too many Blaxicasians?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,969
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: January 22, 2016, 02:55:47 pm »

Anyway, even if Hillary wins I would not fall into depression or something.

I would only feel sorry for you American voters and nothing but pity.

I mean: WAKE UP, Americans !

You are on track to elect friggin Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump as your presidential nominees ?

REALLY ?
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,932
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: January 22, 2016, 02:56:09 pm »

Hmm, you have newish/jokish Gravis and Loras showing her up by 20 or more.

And battle-tested Selzer, Quinnipiac, CNN, PPP etc. all showing a close race.

With which polls would you rather go ?

Do you think Clinton's lead in this poll is so high because they polled too many Blaxicasians?

The point is you're going with subpar college polls over more reputable companies just because you like the results of the subpar college polls better. When PPP, pro-Hillary house effect and all, shows a six point race, it's pretty clear that this poll is anything but accurate. Seriously, stop clouding yourself in fantasy land and realize that Hillary is AT BEST a 60% favorite (chance of winning) in IA, and is HIGHLY UNLIKELY to win NH.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: January 22, 2016, 03:00:02 pm »

Anyway, even if Hillary wins I would not fall into depression or something.

I would only feel sorry for you American voters and nothing but pity.

I mean: WAKE UP, Americans !

You are on track to elect friggin Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump as your presidential nominees ?

REALLY ?

Dude, a literal fascist party is in first place in your country.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC