Suffolk NH D - Sanders 50; Clinton 41

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yeh

[Lief 🗽]

Looks about right.

[Torie]

I hate to admit it, but I find your sig pic rather awesome Lief. Whomever did it has a lot of talent!

[The Other Castro]

Sanders - 50%
Clinton - 41%
O'Malley - 2%
Undecided - 6%

But most importantly, 0.4% (2 voters) said Other, with half (1 voter) saying ROCKY DE LA FUENTE

Rockymentum confirmed.

[Torie]

Obama was up by that much at this point in 2008, too, but in the end NH women turned out in record-high numbers for Clinton. I expect the same to happen this time.

Remind again, how you became so expert on NH women? Did you try to score some dates with them, and strike out or something?

[The Other Castro]

Men: Sanders leads 67-25
Women: Clinton leads 54-37
Whites: Sanders leads 50-43

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Decimals?  JUNK POLL!

[psychprofessor]

Same numbers as Hillary's internals that were leaked to Buzzfeed the other day. It we take them at face value she's up in Iowa and down in NH. A win in Iowa takes the sting out of a loss in NH and probably propels her to wins in NV and SC.

[RJEvans]

Same numbers as Hillary's internals that were leaked to Buzzfeed the other day. It we take them at face value she's up in Iowa and down in NH. A win in Iowa takes the sting out of a loss in NH and probably propels her to wins in NV and SC.

She cannot lose both IA and NH. That will be a blow to her campaign and give Sanders much needed momentum and media attention going into NV, SC and Super Tuesday. If she can win IA and lose NH by a reasonable margin, they can spin the loss as a result of neighboring VT.

Right now, the polls are all over the place and I can't really trust anything regardless of how well a pollster has performed in the past.

[psychprofessor]

Same numbers as Hillary's internals that were leaked to Buzzfeed the other day. It we take them at face value she's up in Iowa and down in NH. A win in Iowa takes the sting out of a loss in NH and probably propels her to wins in NV and SC.

She cannot lose both IA and NH. That will be a blow to her campaign and give Sanders much needed momentum and media attention going into NV, SC and Super Tuesday. If she can win IA and lose NH by a reasonable margin, they can spin the loss as a result of neighboring VT.

Right now, the polls are all over the place and I can't really trust anything regardless of how well a pollster has performed in the past.

Well, realistically, yes, she can lose both and do fine. The optics would look like she was hemorrhaging  support, but if in all actuality, two states with very little AA/Hispanic populations and more activist wings voting in the primary/caucus are not in her wheel house.

As long as she doesn't bleed support from AA's and Hispanics and holds onto the 45+ demographic, she's OK in more delegate friendly spots and the southern Super Tuesday states.

I agree, though, losing Iowa and NH is pretty much her campaigns worst nightmare come true because it will spin the media into "this is 2008 all over again."

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Obama was up by that much at this point in 2008, too, but in the end NH women turned out in record-high numbers for Clinton. I expect the same to happen this time.

There you have it, folks!  Derangement in full effect.  Lets just take Obama's best polls from this time frame in 2008 and Sanders' worst polls from same time frame in 2016.  Notice similar margin.  "Hmmmm.... Looks like the race is in the same place!"

Bernie is gonna be giving Hillary a fine thrashing in NH.

[A Perez]

This confirms CNN was a humongous outlier and has been spitting out outliers in several states recently.

[Zanas]

Decimals?  JUNK POLL!

No.

[Ljube]

I hate to admit it, but I find your sig pic rather awesome Lief. Whomever did it has a lot of talent!

I've just complimented Lief on the same thing in another thread. Truly beautiful picture.