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  IA/NH/SC/FL/GA/TX-CBS/Yougov: Sanders leads IA/NH; Clinton leads SC; Trump leads
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Author Topic: IA/NH/SC/FL/GA/TX-CBS/Yougov: Sanders leads IA/NH; Clinton leads SC; Trump leads  (Read 4097 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: January 24, 2016, 10:34:16 am »
« edited: January 24, 2016, 10:43:25 am by Mr. Morden »

CBS/Yougov polls of IA, NH, and SC:

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-sanders-catches-clinton-in-iowa-leads-big-in-new-hampshire/

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-trump-retakes-iowa-lead-keeps-big-edge-in-new-hampshire-and-south-carolina/












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darthebearnc
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« Reply #1 on: January 24, 2016, 10:34:33 am »

Cheesy
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #2 on: January 24, 2016, 10:39:04 am »

Wow, Clinton is only ahead 3 points higher in South Carolina than Sanders is ahead in New Hampshire.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: January 24, 2016, 10:43:00 am »

We’ve also got Republican #s in three other states:






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The Mikado
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« Reply #4 on: January 24, 2016, 10:48:04 am »

So did they just find the wrong picture for Texas?
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #5 on: January 24, 2016, 10:48:24 am »

Lots of significant numbers here. TRUMP and Cruz getting almost 3/4ths of the vote between them in Iowa, Jeb!'s absolute pathetic numbers in Florida (behind Carson ffs), Sanders at 38% in South Carolina etc.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #6 on: January 24, 2016, 10:49:03 am »

Those TX numbers are quite surprising. Anyway, good numbers for Sanders, but IA and NH are still pure Tossups (or tilt Clinton).

How in the hell is NH a pure tossup on the Dem side?
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #7 on: January 24, 2016, 10:49:29 am »

So did they just find the wrong picture for Texas?
And Georgia has a boot at its top
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #8 on: January 24, 2016, 10:50:13 am »

Iowa numbers calm me down somewhat since it's not a big lead for Trump
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Flake
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« Reply #9 on: January 24, 2016, 10:51:22 am »

New Poll: Iowa President by YouGov on 2016-01-21

Summary:
Sanders:
47%
Clinton:
46%
Other:
5%
Undecided:
2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #10 on: January 24, 2016, 10:51:43 am »

Iowa numbers calm me down somewhat since it's not a big lead for Trump

TRUMP's number looks more believable than Cruz's though, though both seem too high.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #11 on: January 24, 2016, 10:51:56 am »

More #s here:

https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/01/24/poll-democrats-iowa-new-hampshire-south-carolina/

https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/01/22/poll-gop-iowa-new-hampshire-south-carolina-florida/
















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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #12 on: January 24, 2016, 10:57:03 am »

The Iowa numbers are within the MoE so either of those two could be leading for all we know
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #13 on: January 24, 2016, 11:02:22 am »

In the case of a 5-point lead then TRUMP is almost certainly leading.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #14 on: January 24, 2016, 11:02:35 am »

Why did they not poll Nevada?

Nobody likes Nevada Sad
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #15 on: January 24, 2016, 11:03:33 am »

I'm sorry but any poll with margins of error between 8-10% is just silly.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #16 on: January 24, 2016, 11:04:19 am »

What a beautiful poll dump!
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #17 on: January 24, 2016, 11:06:02 am »

Who leads Iowa, by age group:
age 18-29: Trump
age 30-44: Rubio
age 45-64: Cruz/Trump tie
age 65+: Trump

South Carolina Dem. contest, by race…

whites:
Sanders 60%
Clinton 38%

blacks:
Clinton 76%
Sanders 22%
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #18 on: January 24, 2016, 11:06:35 am »

God Damn it, another Yougov poll...

And those margin of errors are huge!
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Torie
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« Reply #19 on: January 24, 2016, 11:06:46 am »

It looks the Verdun after the battle. And Jeb! is at 4% in Florida?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #20 on: January 24, 2016, 11:07:52 am »


It really isnt. Look at the margin of error.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #21 on: January 24, 2016, 11:09:19 am »

South Carolina Dem. contest, by race…

whites:
Sanders 60%
Clinton 38%

blacks:
Clinton 76%
Sanders 22%


Has the racial divide ever been this large in a primary? I don't even know if Obama and Jackson did this well among blacks.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #22 on: January 24, 2016, 11:10:45 am »

If Sanders is only up by 1 in a You Gov poll, he might not win it & NH is inflated. But, the DMR endorsement helps.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #23 on: January 24, 2016, 11:18:50 am »
« Edited: January 24, 2016, 11:23:22 am by Eraserhead »

South Carolina Dem. contest, by race…

whites:
Sanders 60%
Clinton 38%

blacks:
Clinton 76%
Sanders 22%


Has the racial divide ever been this large in a primary? I don't even know if Obama and Jackson did this well among blacks.

For reference:

2008 Democratic Primary Exit Poll:
                                
                            BO   HC   JE
43%     White        24   36   40
55%     Black         78   19    2
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #24 on: January 24, 2016, 11:19:45 am »

South Carolina Dem. contest, by race…

whites:
Sanders 60%
Clinton 38%

blacks:
Clinton 76%
Sanders 22%


Has the racial divide ever been this large in a primary? I don't even know if Obama and Jackson did this well among blacks.

For reference:

2008 Democratic Primary Exit Poll:
                                
                                BO    HC    JE
43%     White   24   36   40
55%     Black           78    19    2

LOL Edwards.
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