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  FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA
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Author Topic: FOX NH/IA Dem Polls: Sanders up 22 in NH, Clinton up 6 in IA  (Read 967 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: January 25, 2016, 06:12:01 pm »

Iowa:
Clinton - 48% (-2)
Sanders - 42% (+6)
O'Malley - 3% (-2)

New Hampshire:
Sanders - 56% (+6)
Clinton - 34% (-3)
O'Malley - 3% (No change)

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2016/01/25/fox-news-poll-sanders-up-by-22-points-in-new-hampshire/
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2016/01/25/fox-news-poll-sanders-narrows-gap-in-iowa/
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cxs018
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« Reply #1 on: January 25, 2016, 06:15:18 pm »

Any GOP numbers?
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #2 on: January 25, 2016, 06:16:07 pm »

Not the best numbers for Sanders, but at least he's improved with FOX since last time.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #3 on: January 25, 2016, 06:17:00 pm »


They were released earlier.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #4 on: January 25, 2016, 06:22:55 pm »

Good numbers in NH, but Iowa is a must-win for Bernie. He can't allow any primary/caucus in a super-white northern state slip through to Clinton if he wants to win.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #5 on: January 25, 2016, 06:40:30 pm »

Good numbers in NH, but Iowa is a must-win for Bernie. He can't allow any primary/caucus in a super-white northern state slip through to Clinton if he wants to win.

I really don't think he does anymore.  If he crushes Clinton in NH he'll have enough of the national spotlight to continue on and be viable.

That said, I think he's going to win Iowa by 4.
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #6 on: January 25, 2016, 06:42:29 pm »

JUNK POLL!
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #7 on: January 25, 2016, 06:50:26 pm »

Hillary needs to win Iowa. If she does, a loss in New Hampshire wont hurt as much and the bigger the margin, the easier it'll be to downplay. If Sanders was looking like he was a lock for New Hampshire anyway, expectations wont be that high.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: January 25, 2016, 07:14:09 pm »

Don't break my heart, Iowa.

New Hampshire looks like a done deal. Even if the polls are underestimating Clinton's support, she was never this far behind Obama in '08.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #9 on: January 25, 2016, 07:16:53 pm »

This feels pretty close to where I think things are.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #10 on: January 25, 2016, 07:24:02 pm »

Further indication that Clinton is going to win Iowa.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #11 on: January 25, 2016, 07:54:11 pm »

Further indication that Clinton is going to win Iowa.

This is one poll with momentum on bernies side...I wouldn't call the state yet.
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Scott Inman (D) OK Gov 2018
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« Reply #12 on: January 25, 2016, 08:06:33 pm »

Further indication that Clinton is going to win Iowa.

This is one poll with momentum on bernies side...I wouldn't call the state yet.

It's going to be a late night for sure next Monday.  I definitely wouldn't be expecting to go to bed before, say, 11 or 12 EST.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #13 on: January 25, 2016, 08:17:28 pm »

Hillary dominating women, 56-34. Bernie gets 51-39 of men. Bernie can't win with just 34% of women.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/IowaDemCaucusPollJan2016.pdf
KBUR/MonMouth got the same # on women just a few days ago.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #14 on: January 26, 2016, 02:21:24 am »

Good numbers in NH, but Iowa is a must-win for Bernie. He can't allow any primary/caucus in a super-white northern state slip through to Clinton if he wants to win.

I really don't think he does anymore.  If he crushes Clinton in NH he'll have enough of the national spotlight to continue on and be viable.

That said, I think he's going to win Iowa by 4.

IIRC, there was an analysis showing that Iowa should be the 4th most "Bernie friendly" state in the country based off demographics (I believe the top 3 were VT, NH, and ME.) He needs it.
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