CNN/ORC national poll: Clinton 52% Sanders 38% O’Malley 2%

[Mr. Morden]

CNN/ORC national poll:

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/01/25/politics/democrats-poll-full-results-cnn-orc/index.html

[This account no longer in use.]

So FOX isn't an outlier?

[Mr. Morden]

whites:
Clinton 45%
Sanders 42%

non-whites:
Clinton 58%
Sanders 34%

[LLR]

whites:
Clinton 45%
Sanders 42%

non-whites:
Clinton 58%
Sanders 34%

Both up... Lovely!

[Eraserhead]

Looks about right.

[psychprofessor]

This is going to be interesting to see if the trends change between now and after NH, but these cross-tabs have lots of warning signs for Bernie.

He gets crushed with non-whites and women - two important demographics after Iowa and NH.

[psychprofessor]

This is going to be interesting to see if the trends change between now and after NH, but these cross-tabs have lots of warning signs for Bernie.

He gets crushed with non-whites and women - two important demographics after Iowa and NH.

DEM's only:
Clinton 67
Sanders 26

DEF SUPPORT CANDIDATE / MIGHT CHANGE MIND
Non-whites 78 / 22
Whites 55 / 44

I wonder why non-whites are hardened? Any thoughts?

[Eraserhead]

This is going to be interesting to see if the trends change between now and after NH, but these cross-tabs have lots of warning signs for Bernie.

He gets crushed with non-whites and women - two important demographics after Iowa and NH.

How are women any more important after Iowa and New Hampshire than they already are there?

Anyway, his numbers are certainly improving among both of those groups so we'll see.

[Sorenroy]

This is going to be interesting to see if the trends change between now and after NH, but these cross-tabs have lots of warning signs for Bernie.

He gets crushed with non-whites and women - two important demographics after Iowa and NH.

How are women any more important after Iowa and New Hampshire than they already are there?

Anyway, his numbers are certainly improving among both of those groups so we'll see.

Women become more important after Iowa because their numbers become more relevant and become a bigger issue when you trail with both them and minorities. What I mean in more explainable terms is this: Sanders does well in Iowa and New Hampshire because they are extremely white. Even though Sanders trails with women, it matters less because he makes it up with the key white demographic. When you move to states like Nevada and South Carolina, where a large block of the voters are non-white, you have to make up in other areas to win. Since Sanders still trails with both non-white voters and women, he would need far higher numbers than he has with white and male voters, which he does not have, to win.

[Sorenroy]

Change from Last Month:
Clinton — 52% (+2)
Sanders — 38% (+4)
O'Malley — 2% (-1)

The increases for both candidates were mostly fueled by people changing from "none/no-one" (volunteered answer) which declined three percent from four percent to one percent.

Also interesting to note that for the third month in a row "someone else", a volunteered answer mind you, has stayed at seven percent. I wonder who they are.

Favorability amongst all Americans:
Candidate — Favorable-Unfavorable (Net)
Sanders — 55%-33% (+17%) (+7% from last month) with 8% picking "Never heard of"
Clinton — 45%-52% (-7%) (-3% from last month)

Favorability amongst Reregistered Democrats:
Candidate — Favorable-Unfavorable (Net)
Sanders — 79%-12% (67%) with 6% picking "Never heard of"
Clinton — 80%-20% (60%)

[Matty]

Why are hilalry clinton's favorability ratings so much higher in this poll than other ones?

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Why are hilalry clinton's favorability ratings so much higher in this poll than other ones?

With all Americans they are pretty terrible.

[tmthforu94]

This could be a dead heat after Bernie sweeps Iowa and New Hampshire. #FeelTheBern

[Ebsy]

Why are hilalry clinton's favorability ratings so much higher in this poll than other ones?

With all Americans they are pretty terrible.

I do believe she has a higher favorability rating than you do.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Why are hilalry clinton's favorability ratings so much higher in this poll than other ones?

With all Americans they are pretty terrible.

I do believe she has a higher favorability rating than you do.

The difference is I'm not running for president and her favorables are horrible with independents.