IA-Monmouth: Trump leading Cruz by 7
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Author Topic: IA-Monmouth: Trump leading Cruz by 7  (Read 1212 times)
The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« on: January 27, 2016, 01:03:05 PM »
« edited: January 27, 2016, 01:06:08 PM by Castro »

Donald Trump - 30%
Ted Cruz - 23%
Marco Rubio - 16%
Ben Carson - 10%
Jeb Bush - 4%
Rand Paul - 3%
John Kasich - 3%
Mike Huckabee - 3%
Chris Christie - 2%
Carly Fiorina - 2%
Rick Santorum - 1%
Jim Gilmore - 0%

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/249a3e52-aa2b-43c7-a1f5-96e07f94480a.pdf

Dem numbers should be coming tomorrow.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #1 on: January 27, 2016, 01:12:08 PM »
« Edited: January 27, 2016, 01:16:29 PM by realisticidealist »

Pretty strong result for Rubio, though looking back it looks like Monmouth's had some very high Rubio numbers in the past in Iowa. He's actually down one from their last Iowa poll.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: January 27, 2016, 07:04:56 PM »

TRUMP has had some of his worst numbers in Monmouth's polls. Monmouth showing him with this kind of lead here is YUGE.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #3 on: January 27, 2016, 07:28:49 PM »

Trump is winning by 9 on Monday.  NINE.  32-23%.  You establishment Pubbies can rest assured, you'll have a nice, long slumber and a good amount of time to think about what all went so wrong before you drift off to dreamy-land.

You heard it here first, folks! 
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: January 27, 2016, 09:58:12 PM »

This won't be a good poll for Sanders tomorrow even though it'll probably show another big swing towards him. Monmouth had Clinton up by 41% (!!!) in October and by 22% in December.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #5 on: January 27, 2016, 10:27:43 PM »
« Edited: January 27, 2016, 10:29:24 PM by Castro »

This won't be a good poll for Sanders tomorrow even though it'll probably show another big swing towards him. Monmouth had Clinton up by 41% (!!!) in October and by 22% in December.

On top of that, PPP will be having new Iowa Dem numbers Friday, which is probably bad news for Sanders.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: January 28, 2016, 12:04:05 AM »

This won't be a good poll for Sanders tomorrow even though it'll probably show another big swing towards him. Monmouth had Clinton up by 41% (!!!) in October and by 22% in December.

On top of that, PPP will be having new Iowa Dem numbers Friday, which is probably bad news for Sanders.

Are you just assuming that since it's PPP or have you heard something?
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #7 on: January 28, 2016, 12:15:06 AM »

This won't be a good poll for Sanders tomorrow even though it'll probably show another big swing towards him. Monmouth had Clinton up by 41% (!!!) in October and by 22% in December.

On top of that, PPP will be having new Iowa Dem numbers Friday, which is probably bad news for Sanders.

Are you just assuming that since it's PPP or have you heard something?

Dem house effect for Hillary.  They're vigorously humping each other. 
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Ebsy
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« Reply #8 on: January 28, 2016, 01:10:29 AM »

Monmouth, PPP, and Selzer use voter registration lists to poll Iowa, where sh**tty pollsters like Yougov and such use untested and highly inaccurate likely voter screens. If there is a bias, it is because reality has a well known Clinton bias.
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jfern
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« Reply #9 on: January 28, 2016, 01:22:44 AM »

This won't be a good poll for Sanders tomorrow even though it'll probably show another big swing towards him. Monmouth had Clinton up by 41% (!!!) in October and by 22% in December.

On top of that, PPP will be having new Iowa Dem numbers Friday, which is probably bad news for Sanders.

Are you just assuming that since it's PPP or have you heard something?

Dem house effect for Hillary.  They're vigorously humping each other. 

I'm going to guess that PPP has it close so that they don't lose all credibility, but they'll have their candidate Hillary still leading.
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