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  WI: Marquette Law: Clinton narrowly up (bigger against Trump), Sanders up big
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Author Topic: WI: Marquette Law: Clinton narrowly up (bigger against Trump), Sanders up big  (Read 1133 times)
Gass3268
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« on: January 28, 2016, 02:24:14 pm »

Clinton 47%
Trump 38%

Clinton 45%
Cruz 44%

Clinton 45%
Rubio 44%

Sanders 52%
Trump 34%

Sanders 50%
Cruz 38%

Sanders 49%
Rubio 38%

Full pdf release to come soon
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Pro-Life Single Issue Voter
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« Reply #1 on: January 28, 2016, 02:51:59 pm »

I'm starting to fear Bernie's strong numbers, but I think we can beat Hillary no problem.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2 on: January 28, 2016, 04:14:06 pm »

I'm starting to fear Bernie's strong numbers, but I think we can beat Hillary no problem.

This poll suggests that Hillary Clinton could be collapsing. I saw a story (if in an unreliable source, the National Enquirer) that she has problems of health. If the story is true, then her health could tear her campaign apart. Marquette University Law School has one of the more reliable single-state polls.


Republicans can win the Presidency without Wisconsin (as they did in 2000 and 2004), but in both cases they barely lost the state. Republicans losing Wisconsin by 5% or more will lose the overall popular vote by at least enough that they cannot win the Electoral College contest.   Sanders may be an unusually-good match for Wisconsin Democrats... but I have said that of New Hampshire, which also has been seen as a swing state.
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Torie
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« Reply #3 on: January 28, 2016, 04:20:02 pm »

I'm starting to fear Bernie's strong numbers, but I think we can beat Hillary no problem.

This poll suggests that Hillary Clinton could be collapsing. I saw a story (if in an unreliable source, the National Enquirer) that she has problems of health. If the story is true, then her health could tear her campaign apart. Marquette University Law School has one of the more reliable single-state polls.


Republicans can win the Presidency without Wisconsin (as they did in 2000 and 2004), but in both cases they barely lost the state. Republicans losing Wisconsin by 5% or more will lose the overall popular vote by at least enough that they cannot win the Electoral College contest.   Sanders may be an unusually-good match for Wisconsin Democrats... but I have said that of New Hampshire, which also has been seen as a swing state.

I not only heard about the National Enquirer story, but read it, and put up a thread about it, and then was flamed to death by the usual suspects. Now it's your turn. Enjoy.
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« Reply #4 on: January 28, 2016, 04:25:15 pm »

When the Republicans and Super PACs finished tarring Sanders with the socialist label and his bizarre writings, he'd lose the state. The writings are really what will be his downfall.
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Virginia C
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« Reply #5 on: January 28, 2016, 04:26:14 pm »

I would really take any polls this far out with a grain of salt. Especially polls taken before the airwaves are bombarded with tens of millions of dollars worth of ads playing soundbites of Sanders calling himself a democratic socialist.

If he had been going through the kind of beating they have put Clinton under in the past year, he would probably be faring worse than Hillary.
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Ljube
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« Reply #6 on: January 28, 2016, 04:26:47 pm »
« Edited: January 28, 2016, 04:28:18 pm by Ljube »

I'm starting to fear Bernie's strong numbers, but I think we can beat Hillary no problem.

This poll suggests that Hillary Clinton could be collapsing. I saw a story (if in an unreliable source, the National Enquirer) that she has problems of health. If the story is true, then her health could tear her campaign apart. Marquette University Law School has one of the more reliable single-state polls.


Republicans can win the Presidency without Wisconsin (as they did in 2000 and 2004), but in both cases they barely lost the state. Republicans losing Wisconsin by 5% or more will lose the overall popular vote by at least enough that they cannot win the Electoral College contest.   Sanders may be an unusually-good match for Wisconsin Democrats... but I have said that of New Hampshire, which also has been seen as a swing state.

I not only heard about the National Enquirer story, but read it, and put up a thread about it, and then was flamed to death by the usual suspects. Now it's your turn. Enjoy.


I stood by you, Torie, throughout that whole ordeal.
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EliteLX
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« Reply #7 on: January 28, 2016, 04:33:18 pm »

Going to be honest, Ted keeping up with Rubs' GE numbers lately is somewhat impressive.

Although they would obviously fall below Marco's in a real general election, still interesting.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #8 on: January 28, 2016, 04:43:30 pm »

I'm not trolling when I say this, but Hillary does have a problem with working class whites that will hurt her in MN, WI, MI, OH, and PA. So much so that even Cruz almost beats her.
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jfern
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« Reply #9 on: January 28, 2016, 04:44:56 pm »

When the Republicans and Super PACs finished tarring Sanders with the socialist label and his bizarre writings, he'd lose the state. The writings are really what will be his downfall.

Because clearly Hillary will get a pass for her beyond top secret emails on her unsecured personal email server, and her pay to play involving the Clinton administration, both under active FBI investigation?
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« Reply #10 on: January 28, 2016, 06:47:08 pm »

When the Republicans and Super PACs finished tarring Sanders with the socialist label and his bizarre writings, he'd lose the state. The writings are really what will be his downfall.

Because clearly Hillary will get a pass for her beyond top secret emails on her unsecured personal email server, and her pay to play involving the Clinton administration, both under active FBI investigation?

I'm specifically talking about what would happen if Sanders was in the general election, not about issues involving Clinton. Sanders has liabilities too, that is my point.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #11 on: January 28, 2016, 11:37:10 pm »

How many polls need to come out until idiots still think Clinton has a bigger chance of winning the GE then Bernie.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #12 on: January 29, 2016, 12:18:00 am »

It doesnt really matter, he is electable but not nominable, because he struggles in Latino enriched states like CO & NV during primaries and OK and TX. He has to win those, not just MN, ME & NH for primaries. And Clinton, who was endorsed by Castros is doing just that.

And Castro is all but Veep candidate.
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TJ in Oregon
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« Reply #13 on: January 30, 2016, 02:18:41 am »

Wisconsin is a different place than the US as a whole. Sanders is clearly a better candidate than Hillary up here. Wisconsin likes polite, clean, ideological candidates.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #14 on: January 30, 2016, 05:45:12 am »

The idea that WI is trending republican is a myth, it will continue to be a narrow dem leaning state at presidential level.
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YaBoyNY
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« Reply #15 on: January 30, 2016, 07:26:08 am »

There's no discussion needed here.


TN volunteer nailed it.

Garboni poll.
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