TX PrimD: Dixie Strategies: Clinton blows away Sanders, lots undecided (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 06:08:12 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  TX PrimD: Dixie Strategies: Clinton blows away Sanders, lots undecided (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: TX PrimD: Dixie Strategies: Clinton blows away Sanders, lots undecided  (Read 1771 times)
Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,701
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« on: January 28, 2016, 06:24:42 PM »
« edited: January 28, 2016, 06:27:01 PM by Sorenroy »

Change from October:
Clinton — 50.33 (-8.4)
Sanders — 15.51 (+5.79)
O'Malley — 5.48 (+2.9)

This pollster is all out bizarre though. It gets a C- on 538, but it probably should be lower: key reasons for this
1) In their Republican poll Gilmore gets 0.1 percent. However, when they do the demographic breakdowns he gets 0% in each one!
2) This pollster shows absolutely no racial firewall in this state. In fact, amongst white voters O'Malley leads Sanders!!!
(this is explained by realisticidealist below)



As an afterthought, I looked up the turnout in 2008:

White — 46%
African-American — 19%
Latino — 32%
Other (includes Asian) — 3%
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/#TXDEM

Each group has a substantial amount of voters in it so each would have had a fairly large pool of people to pull from. This means that there wasn't just, for example, 9 african-americans in the distribution. If 2016 matches 2008 (they don't give their breakdowns on the site by how much each group consists) they would have about 353 white voters, 146 African-Americans, 245 Latinos, and 23 "others". Besides "others" there should have been a substantial number of people in each group.

Unless it's a typo, this poll has O'Malley beating Sanders among whites.

EDIT: I thing they transposed the O'Malley and Undecided cells.

Thanks for this... still, this shows almost no gap amongst race.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.025 seconds with 13 queries.