Selzer/DMR/Bloomberg FINAL IOWA POLL: Trump +5, Clinton +3

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Sucks to be Bush.

The talking heads (and Selzer) said that Rubio is doing well as a second choice. He could over perform like they said. Take a few percent here and there and suddenly you're within 5% of the lead. I'm still leaning Trump in terms of who will win.

A 3% lead is within the MoE for Dems. 3% for O'Malley could be the deciding factor. I'm still ever so slightly thinking that Bernie will win. My odds: 51 Bernie, 49 Hillary

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

And who knows, Sanders is probably strong in some random rural areas as well. It'll be interesting to see the map.

I'm glad that you pointed that out. I'm not going to say that Bernie will sweep the rural areas, but it wouldn't surprise me if he picked up a fair amount of small counties.