NH-ARG: D: Sanders 49% Clinton 43%; R: Trump 34% Kasich 16% Rubio 11% Cruz 10%

[Mr. Morden]

ARG poll of New Hampshire, conducted Jan. 29-31:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/arg-23645
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/arg-23644

Dems

Sanders 49%
Clinton 43%
O’Malley 3%

GOP

Trump 34%
Kasich 16%
Rubio 11%
Cruz 10%
Bush 9%
Christie 6%
Carson 2%
Fiorina 2%
Paul 2%
Santorum 1%
Gilmore, Huckabee 0%

[Kingpoleon]

ARG's pretty consistent with the Republicans so far. First to predict Kasich-mentum.

It's polling with the Democrats seems a little suspicious, though.

[Sorenroy]

Change from last poll/month:
Candidate — Percentage (Change poll/month)
the last poll was conducted one week ago.

Democrats:
Sanders — 49 (0/+6)
Clinton — 43 (+1/-3)
O'Malley — 3 (0/0)

Republicans:
Trump — 34 (+3/+13)
Kasich — 16 (-1/+3)
Rubio — 11 (+2/-4)
Cruz — 10 (-2/0)
Bush — 9 (+1/+2)
Christie — 6 (-2/-6)
Carson — 2 (0/-4)
Fiorina — 2 (-1/-3)
Paul — 2 (0/-2)
Santorum — 1 (0/+1)
Gilmore — 0 (0/0)
Huckabee — 0 (-1/0)

I think ARG is awful. The only reason it picks up trends is because its polled New Hampshire every week this month (Not sure why the other polls aren't showing up at the Huffington Post. Did they not release the others? We have them on Atlas, maybe they just weren't added to the Post?).

[Zanas]

ARG has consistently been ca. 10 pts more pro-Clinton than the rest of the field.

They're also the only ones to have had Kasich above 15%. And they've always had him some 5 to 10 pts higher than other pollsters.

And they're crap, like solid crap. Their last Iowa Dem poll was one of only two to have Sanders on top, and their last Iowa Pub poll was the one having Trump the highest and Rubio the lowest, although it may have been because it polled only up until 1/24, but even that makes them a crappy pollster.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Angry NH women are coming home for their girl Clinton. I told you guys

You must be really desperate to trust an ARGGG poll.

[HilLarry]

so...Clinton is gaining in New Hampshire?!?!? I always had a feeling she could make a comeback. NH women love her.

[YPestis25]

so...Clinton is gaining in New Hampshire?!?!? I always had a feeling she could make a comeback. NH women love her.

Eh. This is from ARG and before Iowa so it's basically useless. We'll see where it stands when better pollsters come out with their results.

[NeverAgain]

so...Clinton is gaining in New Hampshire?!?!? I always had a feeling she could make a comeback. NH women love her.

Eh. This is from ARG and before Iowa so it's basically useless. We'll see where it stands when better pollsters come out with their results.

But he's right that NH women adore the Clintons. That will be very difficult for Sanders to overcome.

Not college aged women...

[HilLarry]

so...Clinton is gaining in New Hampshire?!?!? I always had a feeling she could make a comeback. NH women love her.

Eh. This is from ARG and before Iowa so it's basically useless. We'll see where it stands when better pollsters come out with their results.

But he's right that NH women adore the Clintons. That will be very difficult for Sanders to overcome.

I will always remember the unexpected rush of voters for her in 2008. I feel like her team up there is very very motivated. And she's always better at playing underdog