2016 Primary/Caucus Results by CD

[Miles]

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Didn't see Virginia, so here's that:





Virginia was easy because their secretary of state provided a field for which congressional district each precinct was in.

[Miles]

^ FWIW, those are the '02 -'10 districts. The state site broke them down by the '12 - '14 lines, which Dave posted in the results section:



At some point, I'd like to calculate the results for the new one.

[Erc]

Miles, this includes the early votes?  How'd you break those down by CD in divided parishes?

[Gass3268]

Trump did rather poorly in VA-06 for its demographics.  The Republican base is ancient there, which has helped Cruz in similar rural areas.

Yeah, there seems to be a trend of Trump doing better in areas that were recently strong for Democrats and among Republican voters in minority districts. I expect him to do really well in the Northeast corner of Mississippi on Tuesday and in CD-2 (Mississippi Delta district).

[Coolface Sock #42069]

^ FWIW, those are the '02 -'10 districts. The state site broke them down by the '12 - '14 lines, which Dave posted in the results section:



At some point, I'd like to calculate the results for the new one.

Weird. Those were the most recent shapefiles the Census Bureau had available.

I wonder why they don't have things more up-to-date.

[Miles]

^ The Virginia redistricting site has a shapefile for the new map. I'm not sure why the state election site broke the results down by the old districts, considering the new court map is a done deal.

[jimrtex]

^ The Virginia redistricting site has a shapefile for the new map. I'm not sure why the state election site broke the results down by the old districts, considering the new court map is a done deal.

The SCOTUS has taken the liability portion of the case on appeal, and the Republican congressmen have just appealed the remedy as well. And the government has no say how parties conduct their presidential nomination process.

[jimrtex]

^ FWIW, those are the '02 -'10 districts. The state site broke them down by the '12 - '14 lines, which Dave posted in the results section:



At some point, I'd like to calculate the results for the new one.

Weird. Those were the most recent shapefiles the Census Bureau had available.

I wonder why they don't have things more up-to-date.

TIGER/Line® Shapefiles and TIGER/Line® Files

Select 113th CD.

The 2010 census is reported using the CD boundaries in effect at the time of the Census. You can either get those for the 108th Congress (2003) or the 111th Congress (2009).

After the new districts have been drawn, the Census Bureau recompiles the 2010 census based on the new boundaries. They do the same for state legislative districts.

[Erc]

Anyone happen to know the results on the GOP side in TN-9?

[Miles]

^ It doesn't look like TN has posted precinct result data yet.

[Miles]

Fair showing for Sanders in LA-01:

[Miles]

[ElectionsGuy]

Very nice maps, and very terrible for Sanders that he's still getting 39-40% in the whitest parts of the state. I also love how Sanders won literally the two whitest and most Republican parishes of Louisiana. lol

[Miles]

VA (R) by the 2016 CDs. No CD changes winner, but Rubio wins CD7 by 1% instead of 3% and Trump gets under 40% in CD4. 

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Do you know anywhere where I could find Illinois precinct data for the upcoming election? We don't seem to have easily-accessible SOS data like other states.

[Figueira]

Very nice maps, and very terrible for Sanders that he's still getting 39-40% in the whitest parts of the state. I also love how Sanders won literally the two whitest and most Republican parishes of Louisiana. lol

I'm guessing that even the whitest CDs in Georgia and Louisiana have a predominantly black Democratic primary electorate.

[Miles]

In the 2014, IL had precinct data posted here about a month after the election.

[Miles]

[Erc]

These are the old boundaries in NC?

[Miles]

^ These are the 2016 districts, assuming they aren't redone again.

[Miles]

These are the two previous NC maps:

2011:





2001:

[Miles]

^ I thought Trump could have cleared 50% in the 2001 NC-07, but he just missed it. Must be too many DINOs there that couldn't vote for him the R primary.

[muon2]

Do you know anywhere where I could find Illinois precinct data for the upcoming election? We don't seem to have easily-accessible SOS data like other states.

The IL constitution gives elections to an independent board, the State Board of Elections, so the SoS is not involved. It's only recently that laws were changed giving the SBE the updated precinct info from the counties. It's the counties (and 8 local election commissions) that are in charge of voting.

In the 2014, IL had precinct data posted here about a month after the election.

Since the IL SBE doesn't conduct the elections, they wait until the counties provide them data. By law the counties have three weeks after the election to complete processing absentee and provisional ballots and certify the results. Once the county has certified the results they send their official data to the SBE. In the 2014 Treasurer race the late ballots flipped the result, so one had to separately monitor each county as they completed their count.

[Miles]