Perot doesn't drop out (user search)
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  Perot doesn't drop out (search mode)
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Author Topic: Perot doesn't drop out  (Read 3661 times)
Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

« on: May 27, 2005, 07:14:16 PM »
« edited: May 27, 2005, 07:17:40 PM by Senator Gabu, PPT »

I'm too lazy, but someone do a map with a ten point swing from Clinton and Bush each to Perot.



Perot: 374 EVs (38.91% PV)
Clinton: 127 EVs (33.01% PV)
Bush: 37 EVs (27.45% PV)
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Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

« Reply #1 on: May 27, 2005, 09:13:04 PM »


If you select any year other than 2004, "Tossup" becomes "Independent".
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Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

« Reply #2 on: May 28, 2005, 01:29:21 AM »


If you select any year other than 2004, "Tossup" becomes "Independent".

And for electoral accuracy, you really should select 1992. Wink

I did.
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Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

« Reply #3 on: May 31, 2005, 05:07:40 PM »

A lot of these maps are a little far-fetched. A third party would never do so well against an incumbent. You're forgetting all the "blind" voters who vote for any candidate as long as he's from their party.

Before Perot dropped out, he was leading both Clinton and Bush in the popular vote according to some polls.  Perot winning might not have been likely, but Perot taking at least a few states certainly would have been with poll numbers that high.
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