Turnout-Based Electoral Apportionment

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If the number of electoral votes per state was based off of each state's voter turnout in the previous presidential election, the numbers for 2016 would be as follows (based off of 2012 results):

Biggest winner is Ohio (+3), while biggest losers are California and Texas (-9 each). The overall trend seems to be higher turnout in swing states and lower turnout in states with high Hispanic populations. The following map indicates which states gained or lost electoral votes due to the change:

Green >90% - Plus 3
Green >70% - Plus 2
Green >50% - Plus 1
Red >50% - Minus 1
Red >70% - Minus 3
Red >90% - Minus 9

If this map was somehow present for the 2012 election, Obama would have beaten Romney 341-197.

Thoughts?

[Mike Thick]

Don't take away my EVs, dangit!

Interesting, though.

[ElectionsGuy]

Pretty much what we learn is that the states with the highest turnouts tend to be battleground states, and the states with the worst turnouts are overwhelmingly lopsided states. Since Obama won almost all the battlegrounds in 2012, it increases his score.

[Slander and/or Libel]

I've been wondering something about this, but in terms of apportionment of delegates in primaries rather than apportionment of ECs. It seems like the Republicans apportion more delegates the more Republican a state is, which makes some sense on the surface, but if they wanted to maximize their chances of winning, wouldn't they want to structure the nomination process to give more weight to the states that were close, or even to give the most weight to states that just barely didn't vote for a Republican last time? That is, if Virginia went D by 2% last time, wouldn't the Republican Party be best served to give a decent amount of weight to the candidate that Virginians prefer, reasoning that that candidate might be better suited to swing that 2% than somebody who appeals to the far right?

[100% pro-life no matter what]

In real life, each party has 206 votes with a PVI of +3 or greater, with 126 swing electoral votes.  In this map, it would change to 200-200-138 (NOTE: NC counts as a GOP state, according to PVI).