NBC/Surveymonkey national: Clinton 51, Sanders 39% (Feb. 1-7)
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  NBC/Surveymonkey national: Clinton 51, Sanders 39% (Feb. 1-7)		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NBC/Surveymonkey national: Clinton 51, Sanders 39% (Feb. 1-7)  (Read 447 times)
A Perez
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« on: February 09, 2016, 07:02:46 AM »
« edited: February 09, 2016, 07:05:20 AM by A Perez »
Relatively unchanged as Clinton gained 1% and Sanders remained at 39% relative to the last poll before this one.

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/most-democrats-think-hillary-clinton-will-win-nomination-poll-n514201
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Shadows
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« Reply #1 on: February 09, 2016, 07:54:46 AM »
« Edited: February 09, 2016, 07:56:46 AM by Shadows »
Modest poll which represents reasonably accurately. 10% open votes.

And Young voters is a bit low but not hugely low like the others. If young voter level is Iowa Level, then the lead will come down to 9% odd & if it at Iowa Obama(2008) level it will come down to 5-6%. I think this is why you have difference in polls, due to difference in sample type - Young voters.

Sanders = Most of Obama Coalition + Some Independents - Majority of Black Votes

I guess the real question is - Will Hillary's Southern Firewall crack or atleast weaken a bit?
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