CNN/ORC SC Poll-Hillary +18, Trump +16 (user search)
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  CNN/ORC SC Poll-Hillary +18, Trump +16 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CNN/ORC SC Poll-Hillary +18, Trump +16  (Read 4247 times)
Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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Posts: 11,376
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« on: February 16, 2016, 04:16:49 PM »

CNN had Bernie winning Iowa by 8 points, which means Hillary is actually up 26+ points!

See, this is what you Sanders people looked like when you unskewed the PPP poll. Wink

In one poll was CNN wildly for Sanders.  Every PPPropaganda release has been mega-Clinton friendly. 

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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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*****
Posts: 11,376
United States


« Reply #1 on: February 16, 2016, 10:13:03 PM »

So Bernie Sanders is literally Hillary Clinton in 2008. Attempting to win with a huge majority of whites and very few minorities.

Yes and no. If you broadly paint it as "Clinton is the 'black people's candidate' and Sanders is the 'hero of the white working class'", then yes: Sanders will do well in many areas where Clinton did well in 2008, and Clinton will do well in many areas where Obama did well in 2008.

However, if you calculate what it would take for Sanders to win 50% of the primary vote and then examine the composition of the 2012 Obama coalition, then it would mean that Clinton is carrying 60% of the 2012 Obama minority voting bloc; Sanders would have 40% of the bloc. I don't think having 40% of the non-white Obama coalition on your team quantifies as "very few minorities".

For Sanders to win, he will need to almost certainly win a majority of Latinos in addition to whites (and Asians).

Can we stop comparing Hillary 2008 or Sanders 2016 to anything approaching Romney 2012? 
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