NC-SurveyUSA: Clinton trails all, Sanders ties Trump
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 10:27:39 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  NC-SurveyUSA: Clinton trails all, Sanders ties Trump
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NC-SurveyUSA: Clinton trails all, Sanders ties Trump  (Read 1913 times)
HillOfANight
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,459
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: February 17, 2016, 09:09:22 PM »

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=6581a9ab-f961-4f38-8e5f-c23fc53d1736&utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

* Rubio 49%, Clinton 42%
* Cruz 48%, Clinton 43%
* Trump 45%, Clinton 43%

* Sanders 46%, Cruz 42%
* Sanders 45%, Rubio 44%
* Sanders 44%, Trump 44%

They have Cruz getting 16% of the black vote vs Hillary. Remember SurveyUSA tends to exaggerate black GOP support.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/09/09/about-that-poll-showing-donald-trump-doing-well-with-black-voters/
Logged
ProgressiveCanadian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,690
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: February 17, 2016, 09:11:16 PM »

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=6581a9ab-f961-4f38-8e5f-c23fc53d1736&utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

* Rubio 49%, Clinton 42%
* Cruz 48%, Clinton 43%
* Trump 45%, Clinton 43%

* Sanders 46%, Cruz 42%
* Sanders 45%, Rubio 44%
* Sanders 44%, Trump 44%

They have Cruz getting 16% of the black vote vs Hillary. Remember SurveyUSA tends to exaggerate black GOP support.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/09/09/about-that-poll-showing-donald-trump-doing-well-with-black-voters/

Fail numbers for Clinton but Glorious for Sanders.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: February 17, 2016, 09:41:32 PM »

Last thing I would want is to be leading in a SUSA poll.
Logged
ProgressiveCanadian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,690
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: February 17, 2016, 09:56:15 PM »

Last thing I would want is to be leading in a SUSA poll.

Wear your Clinton button hack.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,841
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: February 17, 2016, 10:33:48 PM »

I am using this one for now -- and likely only until PPP shows binary matches in North Carolina. PPP is more reliable than anyone else in North Carolina (much like Field in California, Selzer in Iowa, and Marquette Law School in Wisconsin) -- and it polls deeper. I want to see some other matchups involving Bush and Kasich, anyway.
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,579
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: February 18, 2016, 01:47:35 AM »

Pretty reasonable I think - this is more or less what the North Carolina polls were showing around this time in 2012 IIRC.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,578
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: February 18, 2016, 01:55:32 AM »

I am using this one for now -- and likely only until PPP shows binary matches in North Carolina. PPP is more reliable than anyone else in North Carolina (much like Field in California, Selzer in Iowa, and Marquette Law School in Wisconsin) -- and it polls deeper. I want to see some other matchups involving Bush and Kasich, anyway.

Harper polling had the best final NC SEN Poll in 2014.......
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,769
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: February 18, 2016, 02:54:54 AM »

Natl polling is showing the GOP is closing gap, but Clinton holding on. Dems need to forget about NC and FL, conceentrate on Iowa, WI, MI
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,611


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: February 18, 2016, 03:15:37 AM »

Even in heavily black states, Bernie does better in the general election than Hillary.

And I bet Bernie only does worse than Hillary with blacks because the Hillary campaign has spent most of the last year trying to paint him as having a race problem.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,769
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: February 18, 2016, 04:43:04 AM »

The state that matters, if its a close election is Colorado, Pennsylvania always is one of the last states other than Iowa to come  home to Dems.Maybe guns make a difference or not, with Sanders doing better. Biden, has no problem with being nominal pro guns, but Sanders is, in Dem primary.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.027 seconds with 12 queries.