WSJ/NBC/Marist SC poll Trump 28 Cruz 23 Rubio 15 Bush 13 Kasich 9 Carson 9
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 12:13:09 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  WSJ/NBC/Marist SC poll Trump 28 Cruz 23 Rubio 15 Bush 13 Kasich 9 Carson 9		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: WSJ/NBC/Marist SC poll Trump 28 Cruz 23 Rubio 15 Bush 13 Kasich 9 Carson 9  (Read 1378 times)
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,501
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: February 19, 2016, 06:51:28 AM »
http://www.wsj.com/articles/donald-trumps-lead-in-south-carolina-narrows-as-conservatives-turn-to-ted-cruz-poll-finds-1455879601?mod=e2tw
Logged
bigedlb
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 280
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: February 19, 2016, 07:12:54 AM »
NBC WSJ and the merry band of push pollsters double down on the suspicious National poll from a couple of days ago.  Being to cute by half, even their own commentator Scarborough was embarassed by the National poll.  People need to be fired, and the new polls have to be conducted honestly.
Logged
Zanas
Zanas46
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,947
France


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2016, 07:29:35 AM »
FWIW, Trump's lead has been tightening over the last few days in SC. This poll is just showing that in an extreme way, and I don't think it's that much, but something like Trump 30 Cruz 20 Rubio 16 would not surprise me at all.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: February 19, 2016, 07:31:30 AM »

Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: February 19, 2016, 07:38:01 AM »
Who would be your second choice?

Rubio 24%
Cruz 17%
Carson 13%
Kasich 13%
Bush 13%
Trump 11%
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,479
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: February 19, 2016, 07:39:34 AM »
I don't see Trump coming in that low. He'll probably get the same 35% that he got in New Hampshire.
Logged
mds32
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,090
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: February 19, 2016, 08:07:40 AM »
RCP average has Trump falling 3 points since the debate. Very possible he gets below 30 at this rate.
Logged
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,501
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: February 19, 2016, 08:11:42 AM »
I find it had to believe that Cruz could be at 23 AND Carson be at 9.  The sum of these two numbers seems too high, most likely Carson.
Logged
Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,074


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -3.13

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: February 19, 2016, 09:46:13 AM »
These polls give me false hope Jeb will have a respectable showing. I hate it
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: February 19, 2016, 10:07:06 AM »
I think we just have to wait until tomorrow to know what's going on.  Keep in mind that there is no same-day registration in SC, which could hurt Trump quite a bit.
Logged
yankeesfan
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,148
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: February 19, 2016, 10:10:46 AM »
Last Selzer poll before IA:

Trump 28
Cruz 23
Rubio 15
Carson 10

This is going to be IA redux
Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,600
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: February 19, 2016, 10:17:00 AM »
Quote from: yankeesfan on February 19, 2016, 10:10:46 AM
Last Selzer poll before IA:

Trump 28
Cruz 23
Rubio 15
Carson 10

This is going to be IA redux
Narrative that Cruz cannot win- check
Narrative the Rubio is surging- check
Trump taking a big risk in a debate- check

hmm...
Logged
Pandaguineapig
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,608
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: February 19, 2016, 10:42:34 AM »
Bush is too high which is probably good news for Rubio
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,776


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: February 19, 2016, 10:43:25 AM »
Quote from: Mehmentum on February 19, 2016, 10:17:00 AM
Quote from: yankeesfan on February 19, 2016, 10:10:46 AM
Last Selzer poll before IA:

Trump 28
Cruz 23
Rubio 15
Carson 10

This is going to be IA redux
Narrative that Cruz cannot win- check
Narrative the Rubio is surging- check
Trump taking a big risk in a debate- check

hmm...

Low turnout caucus? Oh, wait.
Logged
OkThen
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 273


Political Matrix
E: -2.32, S: 0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: February 19, 2016, 10:54:53 AM »
When we see exit polls tomorrow we need to look at very conservative numbers. They have Cruz ahead of Trump by 20 in that group.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: February 19, 2016, 11:01:03 AM »
If Rubio is surging, then watch for Bush's numbers to deflate - possibly to 5% or below.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,529
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: February 19, 2016, 11:06:37 AM »
Quote from: Ronnie on February 19, 2016, 10:07:06 AM
I think we just have to wait until tomorrow to know what's going on.  Keep in mind that there is no same-day registration in SC, which could hurt Trump quite a bit.

Quote from: realisticidealist on February 18, 2016, 12:56:55 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 17, 2016, 12:00:48 PM
SC update: Dem absentee applications up to 62.7% of 2008. GOP absentee applications up to 150.4% of 2012.

Up to 173% now. We could very well see twice as many GOP absentees as 2012.

If absentee applications are any indication of what turnout is going to be tomorrow, it's going to be nuts!

Link to thread on registration/absentee applications
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,152
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: February 19, 2016, 11:20:34 AM »
Cruzmentum! Cheesy
Logged
True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,156
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: February 20, 2016, 05:29:15 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on February 19, 2016, 10:07:06 AM
I think we just have to wait until tomorrow to know what's going on.  Keep in mind that there is no same-day registration in SC, which could hurt Trump quite a bit.
Indeed, we don't even have same month registration.  30 days in advance.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.041 seconds with 12 queries.