Atlas Predicts SC and NV 2016: 'We know exactly what we're doing'

[Pragmatic Conservative]

I am not taking this over from  (CT) The Free North, I am just opining the official prediction thread for him;so we can continue this competition.

Previous Results in the Series
Iowa Predictions:https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=227811.0
Iowa Analyst:https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=228187.0


NH Predictions https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=228669.msg4900056#msg4900056

NH Analyst:https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=228912.0

From our latest results, the previous winners were

Republicans: morgrieb   
Democrats: Beef   
Overall: JulioMadrid   

Please make predictions for SC for the GOP and Nevada for the Democrats.

Please use the following format when making your predictions (it makes it much easier for me)


Republicans
Trump:
Rubio:
Cruz:
Kasich:
Bush:
Carson:


Democrats
Sanders:
Clinton:

[Asian Nazi]

Republicans
TRUMP: 39%
Rubio: 17%
Cruz: 25%
Kasich: 6%
Bush: 8%
Carson: 4%


Democrats
Sanders: 44%
Clinton: 56%

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Edited
Republicans
Trump:29%
Rubio:21%
Cruz:20%
Kasich:13.5%
Bush:9.5%
Carson:6.5%
Other: 0.5%

Democrats
Sanders:47%
Clinton:52%
Other: 1%

[Maxwell]

Republicans
33% Trump
22% Cruz
19% Rubio
10% Kasich
9% Bush
6% Carson

Democrats
50% Clinton
49% Sanders

[Ronnie]

Republicans
Trump 31%
Rubio 24%
Cruz 21%
Kasich 10%
Bush 9%
Carson 5%

Democrats
Clinton 53%
Sanders 47%

[pho]

Republicans SC
Trump: 36
Rubio: 17
Cruz: 20
Kasich: 9
Bush: 13
Carson: 5


Democrats NV
Sanders: 47
Clinton: 53

[JonathanSwift]

Republicans
Trump: 35
Rubio: 19
Cruz: 18
Kasich: 15
Bush: 8
Carson: 5


Democrats
Sanders: 49
Clinton: 51

[Progressive]

Republicans
Trump: 29%
Rubio: 23%
Cruz: 26%
Kasich: 7%
Bush: 9%
Carson: 6%


Democrats
Sanders:46%
Clinton: 52%

[Admiral Kizaru]

Republicans
Trump 32%
Rubio 16%
Cruz 20%
Bush 14%
Kasich 12%
Carson 6%

Democrats
Clinton 55%
Sanders 45%

[Mehmentum]

Republicans:
Trump: 30
Cruz: 23
Rubio: 20
Kasich: 13
Bush: 9
Carson: 5

Democrats:
Sanders: 48
Clinton: 52

[JerryArkansas]

Republicans
Trump: 31%
Rubio: 19%
Cruz: 24%
Kasich: 5%
Bush: 8%
Carson: 8%
Others: 3%

Democrats
Sanders: 48
Clinton: 51

[mencken]

South Carolina:
Trump 31
Rubio 19
Cruz 20
Kasich 11
Bush 11
Carson 7

Nevada:
Sanders 50-a few suspiciously convenient card draws
Clinton 50+a few suspiciously convenient card draws

[The Other Castro]

Republicans
Trump: 28
Rubio: 22
Cruz: 21
Kasich: 11.5
Bush: 9
Carson: 7


Democrats
Sanders: 48.7
Clinton: 50.9

[The Free North]

Hey thanks for starting this up! I have been really busy the past few days and it completely slipped my mind.

I will be sure to update my spreadsheet with this weekends picks.

As an aside, while I don't want to tell other people what to post, it would be helpful if we could keep all the picks in 1 thread rather than having 18 different posts about 'make your picks in here!'.

Also, I have decided to add a second division for the purpose of analyzing results. We have over 50 people who have submitted a full slate of picks for both IA and NH and about 50 others who only picked one or missed one party. For the former, the standings can be found below, for the latter, I will compile the results later today in the same format.


Who will unseat Tender Branson? (as usual open in a new tab for a closer look)

[Wells]

I regret not doing NH. I'll wait to predict until tomorrow. My predictions might change. I'll edit this post with my prediction then. UPDATE: I added my predictions. Did some math and polling averages to find them. May update them again later. SECOND UPDATE: Changed my predictions one last time.

Republicans
Trump: 32.9
Rubio: 18.7
Cruz: 20.7
Kasich: 9.5
Bush: 9.7
Carson: 7.2


Democrats
Sanders: 50.9
Clinton: 49.1

[Talleyrand]

Republicans
TRUMP: 26%
Rubio: 22%
Cruz: 29%
Kasich: 9%
Bush: 8%
Carson: 5%


Democrats
Sanders: 47%
Clinton: 53%

[Crumpets]

Republicans
Trump: 32%
Rubio: 18%
Cruz: 21%
Kasich: 10%
Bush: 10%
Carson: 8%


Democrats
Sanders: 45%
Clinton: 54%

[Tender Branson]

27% Trump
25% Cruz
18% Rubio
12% Bush
10% Kasich
  7% Carson
  1% Others

51.3% Sanders
48.5% Clinton
  0.2% Others/Uncomitted

[The Other Castro]

Remember to have your predictions in before 2 PM Eastern time tomorrow everyone.

[Pyro]

Republicans
Trump: 32
Rubio: 19
Cruz: 23
Kasich: 12
Bush: 9
Carson: 5

Democrats
Sanders: 50
Clinton: 49

[Reginald]

Republicans (SC)
Trump: 33
Rubio: 22
Cruz: 20
Kasich: 9
Bush: 9
Carson: 5


Democrats (NV)
Sanders: 47
Clinton: 52

[Tender Branson]

Who will unseat Tender Branson?

Hmm ... there must be something wrong. It says I'm leading the predictions game after IA and NH and I'm pretty sure my IA and NH predictions on the GOP side were pretty far off. (But who knows, maybe the predictions of everyone else were off too).

[Niemeyerite]

Republicans
Trump: 34
Rubio: 19
Cruz: 21
Kasich: 8
Bush: 11
Carson: 6

[UPDATED]

Democrats
Sanders: 50.7
Clinton: 49

[Tender Branson]

In addition to my predictions, I think Sanders could also win as high as 54-46 tomorrow because the bad economy and foreclosure crisis between 2008-2014 or so is still in the minds of NV voters and they could respond well to Sanders' anti-Wall Street message.

On the GOP side, Cruz should do better than the polls predict and Trump worse (much like in IA) and because of the Evangelicals who are a reliable force for Cruz. Also, Trump could be hurt by his 9/11 and Iraq comments - which is why Bush should do slightly better than what the polls predict.

[Xing]

Republicans
Trump: 32%
Rubio: 19%
Cruz: 24%
Kasich: 11%
Bush: 8%
Carson: 5%


Democrats
Sanders: 48%
Clinton: 51%