SC-OpinionSavvy/InsiderAdvantage/FOX5: Rubio surging, Trump only up 3

[Tender Branson]

27% Trump
24% Rubio
19% Cruz
11% Bush
  8% Carson
  7% Kasich
  4% Undecided

http://www.fox5atlanta.com/news/94062974-story

[/]

no no no stop no

[yankeesfan]

IA all over again.

Let's see if OpinionSavvy/InsiderAdvantage hit another homerun

[Ronnie]

Yikes for Trump.  Looks like he might actually lose.

[yankeesfan]

Their last poll from Feb 10-11:

Trump: 36%
Cruz: 20%
Rubio: 15%
Bush: 11%
Kasich: 9%
Carson: 5%
Undecided: 5%

Trump is crashing hard!

[OkThen]

This poll has Rubio with the momentum, NBC/WSJ has Cruz with the momentum... weird. Either way, I think Cruz needs 2nd here a lot more than Rubio does.

[Gass3268]

This is a worse poll for Cruz than Trump.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

If Cruz gets third, he's probably done.

[Mehmentum]

Oh god I hope not.

[Progressive]

Wow if Rubio gets second, Jeb! is gonezo

[Torie]

It's happening! It's happening! I need to revise my prediction.

[Lief 🗽]

Well, at least the polling firms aren't herding their results...

[Ronnie]

Wow if Rubio gets second, Jeb! is gonezo

Jeb is gonzo regardless of what happens, honestly.  If these numbers pan out, though, Trump and Cruz are probably gonzo.

[Figueira]

Wow if Rubio gets second, Jeb! is gonezo

Jeb is gonzo regardless of what happens, honestly.  If these numbers pan out, though, Trump and Cruz are probably gonzo.

No, Rubio isn't going to walk away with the nomination just because he did okay in one state.

[Skye]

Wow, polling here relly is all over the place. The only truly shcoking thing that could happen tomorrow is Trump losing.

[RI]

New Poll: South Carolina President by Insider Advantage on 2016-02-19

Summary:

Trump:	27%
Rubio:	24%
Cruz:	19%
Bush:	11%
Carson:	8%
Kasich:	8%
Other:	-1%
Undecided:	4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Ronnie]

Hmmm...are absentee ballots really going to comprise only 2.7% of the total vote?

[RI]

Hmmm...are absentee ballots really going to comprise only 2.7% of the total vote?

Not unless you think turnout is going to be over 2 million.

[The Other Castro]

Let's wait to see what the real polls like Overtime have to say first.
(sarcasm)

[Maxwell]

yuck, prepare for ham-handed Bill Clinton metaphors about Marco Rubio aka Ted Cruz lite.

[eric82oslo]

27% Trump
24% Rubio
19% Cruz
11% Bush
  8% Carson
  7% Kasich
  4% Undecided

http://www.fox5atlanta.com/news/94062974-story

Sounds like where I would  have expected the race to be right now, except for Kasich whom I'd think who've been at least 2 or 4% higher than this, perhaps even higher.

[tmthforu94]

What are the ramifications if Rubio beats Trump in South Carolina?

[Reluctant Republican]

I saw someone comment that first time voters make up 6% of this poll's respondents. Can anyone confirm this? And do the experts on Atlas think that over or under estimates the percentage we can expect them to make up of the vote tomorrow?

[The Other Castro]

What are the ramifications if Rubio beats Trump in South Carolina?

Rubio probably wins the nomination.

[RI]

I saw someone comment that first time voters make up 6% of this poll's respondents. Can anyone confirm this?

That's correct. NR's poll, which has Trump at 32%, thinks first timers will make up 16%. Emerson's tracker has their number at about 14%.