Republican South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)
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Author Topic: Republican South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)  (Read 61905 times)
jaichind
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« Reply #50 on: February 20, 2016, 05:28:56 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 20, 2016, 05:24:47 PM
In Iowa didn't Trump only get 11% of the late deciders? If so that doesn't bode well...

Yeah, but that was under the shadow of that missed debate.  The narrative in the last few days is not as negative for Trump.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #51 on: February 20, 2016, 05:29:33 PM »

That's actually about the same as the number was in New Hampshire.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #52 on: February 20, 2016, 05:29:40 PM »
Jesus 73% were evangelical voters? Jeb might finish last. RIP

Turnout didn't seem high in my precinct. I was the only person at the voting place when I went to vote.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #53 on: February 20, 2016, 05:30:36 PM »
When do we expect numbers to show on the networks ??
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #54 on: February 20, 2016, 05:30:50 PM »
Predictions:

Who....

Outperforms:


Underperforms:
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #55 on: February 20, 2016, 05:33:16 PM »
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-south-carolina-gop-primary-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=37077219

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136or142
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« Reply #56 on: February 20, 2016, 05:33:47 PM »
Quote from: Sol on February 20, 2016, 05:23:34 PM
Quote from: DavidB. on February 20, 2016, 12:07:51 PM
In South Carolina, shabbat ends at 6:46 PM. Who came up with the idea that voting on Saturday until 7 PM is acceptable? Not that there are many Orthodox Jews in South Carolina afaik, but this still disenfranchises them.

I don't think there are many now, but South Carolina actually had the largest Jewish population of anywhere in the country until the 1830s; they were mostly Sephardim. Charleston has a pretty prominent place in American Jewish history.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_Jews_in_Charleston,_South_Carolina

Play about Southern American Jews in the first half of the 20th century: The Last Night of Ballyhoo.

Set in Atlanta, Georgia, but I think it could have been set anywhere in the Southern U.S except for maybe Florida.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Last_Night_of_Ballyhoo
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #57 on: February 20, 2016, 05:34:34 PM »
Should be noted that while terrorism is the #1 issue for voters in this exit poll, it was only the #3 issue in both Iowa and NH.
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Matty
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« Reply #58 on: February 20, 2016, 05:35:17 PM »
that could be the military vote effect.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #59 on: February 20, 2016, 05:35:39 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on February 20, 2016, 05:34:34 PM
Should be noted that while terrorism is the #1 issue for voters in this exit poll, it was only the #3 issue in both Iowa and NH.


Trump came in 3rd with those voters who say terrorism was the most important issue in Iowa, let's see how he does in SC with them
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jaichind
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« Reply #60 on: February 20, 2016, 05:36:47 PM »
Terrorism being the top issue is not positive for Trump.
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I Will Not Be Wrong
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« Reply #61 on: February 20, 2016, 05:37:02 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on February 20, 2016, 05:34:34 PM
Should be noted that while terrorism is the #1 issue for voters in this exit poll, it was only the #3 issue in both Iowa and NH.

Not good for Trump! Especially after the 9/11 remarks!
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #62 on: February 20, 2016, 05:37:16 PM »

Predictions:

Who....

Outperforms:

Rubio
Cruz
Underperforms:
Trump
Kasich
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Progressive
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« Reply #63 on: February 20, 2016, 05:38:17 PM »
Quote from: Pacific Councilor 1184AZ on February 20, 2016, 05:37:16 PM

Predictions:

Who....

Outperforms:

Rubio
Cruz
Underperforms:
Trump
Kasich


What about Jeb!?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #64 on: February 20, 2016, 05:38:52 PM »
Quote from: jaichind on February 20, 2016, 05:36:47 PM
Terrorism being the top issue is not positive for Trump.

Why? His muslim ban seems to be extremely popular.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #65 on: February 20, 2016, 05:39:43 PM »

He has stayed consistent with his poll numbers, I say he neither particularly under or over performs.  
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #66 on: February 20, 2016, 05:40:17 PM »
I'd say if it's a high military turnout, that would help Jeb! But I'm so down on his campaign now it probably won't.
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Matty
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« Reply #67 on: February 20, 2016, 05:40:48 PM »
You know, it is really frustrating seeing people try to deflate any data point that might be bad for trump/
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bigedlb
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« Reply #68 on: February 20, 2016, 05:42:04 PM »
Quote from: Pacific Councilor 1184AZ on February 20, 2016, 05:39:43 PM
Quote from: Progressive on February 20, 2016, 05:38:17 PM
Quote from: Pacific Councilor 1184AZ on February 20, 2016, 05:37:16 PM

Predictions:

Who....

Outperforms:. Chubby dude on CNN got excited about something when talking abou exit demographics

Rubio
Cruz
Underperforms:
Trump
Kasich


What about Jeb!?

He has stayed consistent with his poll numbers, I say he neither particularly under or over performs.  
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #69 on: February 20, 2016, 05:42:40 PM »
Do we have any turnout estimates yet?
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #70 on: February 20, 2016, 05:46:24 PM »
YUGE!
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #71 on: February 20, 2016, 05:46:58 PM »
Early hints as to candidate preferences:

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-south-carolina-gop-primary-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=37077219

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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #72 on: February 20, 2016, 05:49:35 PM »

Good for Rubio and Cruz maybe?
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Fargobison
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« Reply #73 on: February 20, 2016, 05:51:45 PM »
Could this be like Iowa with the big three somewhat close and nobody over 30 percent?
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Nathan Towne
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« Reply #74 on: February 20, 2016, 05:55:45 PM »
Shadow,

I see that you changed your mind and elected to switch your endorsement to Rubio.

So, do we have any information as to the size of the turnout in South Carolina?
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