MA-Emerson College: Dems tied, Trump 50%
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  MA-Emerson College: Dems tied, Trump 50%
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Author Topic: MA-Emerson College: Dems tied, Trump 50%  (Read 4603 times)
JMT
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« Reply #25 on: February 22, 2016, 12:33:40 AM »

Trump is really good here in Massachusetts, I seriously think he could win here in November a lot of his support is Catholic Democrats who are sick and tired of Washington

You think Trump could win the general in MA? LOL. Not happening, our own former Governor (Romney) couldn't crack 40% just four years ago. To think Trump could win the general here in a deep blue state (at the presidential level, at least) isn't even realistic. I imagine it'll be a little closer than 2012, but not by much.

If Trump comes anywhere near winning MA in the general he'll have this election in the bag. I really can't see this happening.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #26 on: February 22, 2016, 12:34:39 AM »

Trump is really good here in Massachusetts, I seriously think he could win here in November a lot of his support is Catholic Democrats who are sick and tired of Washington

Wow... and No.
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« Reply #27 on: February 22, 2016, 12:52:02 AM »

Trump is really good here in Massachusetts, I seriously think he could win here in November a lot of his support is Catholic Democrats who are sick and tired of Washington

Sounds like you need to get out of the house more often.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #28 on: February 22, 2016, 01:08:09 AM »

I'll be interested to see if the machine can deliver Massachusetts for Clinton.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #29 on: February 22, 2016, 04:13:58 AM »

MA would probably be the state with more "TRUMP Democrats" than any other.
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Nathan
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« Reply #30 on: February 22, 2016, 05:02:46 AM »

As a Masshole, I can confirm that Trump's (horrible, nonsensical, upsetting, faith-in-humanity-shaking) Catholic appeal is real, although not that real.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #31 on: February 22, 2016, 06:09:08 AM »

TRUMP will sweep the Northeast.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #32 on: February 22, 2016, 07:32:11 AM »

Yes, MA is going to be the Trumpster's strongest state. I think even better than NY (if he is still in the race when the race comes to the Empire State).
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #33 on: February 22, 2016, 08:23:59 AM »
« Edited: February 22, 2016, 08:26:44 AM by HillOfANight »

http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_4cdd3240b6d1406ca2a566c129f0da85.pdf
http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_19487171f22a4a0e91759dc2bca96e93.xlsx?dn=ECPS_MA_POTUS_2.21_.xlsx

Detail is up on theecps.com

Ted Cruz is the only candidate in either party with negative favorability (-27) among likely
primary voters in their own party. Just 33% view him favorably, while 60% have an
unfavorable view of the Texas senator. Cruz is also seen as the candidate who has been
least honest about his own record and that of his Republican rivals; 44% say he is the least
honest


Sanders has a significant edge over Clinton with younger voters, although not by
the same large margins seen elsewhere. Among the 18-34 age group, he has a 24-point
advantage (59% to 35%).
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #34 on: February 22, 2016, 08:28:57 AM »

http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_4cdd3240b6d1406ca2a566c129f0da85.pdf
http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_19487171f22a4a0e91759dc2bca96e93.xlsx?dn=ECPS_MA_POTUS_2.21_.xlsx

Detail is up on theecps.com

Ted Cruz is the only candidate in either party with negative favorability (-27) among likely
primary voters in their own party. Just 33% view him favorably, while 60% have an
unfavorable view of the Texas senator. Cruz is also seen as the candidate who has been
least honest about his own record and that of his Republican rivals; 44% say he is the least
honest


Sanders has a significant edge over Clinton with younger voters, although not by
the same large margins seen elsewhere. Among the 18-34 age group, he has a 24-point
advantage (59% to 35%).

Only in MA? As far as I know Cruz has the least favorable rating in some polls after Carson. But hard to imagine since he hasn't picked up a single senate endorsement.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #35 on: February 22, 2016, 10:15:00 AM »

The Carson dropped out and Rubio photoshop really taking a toll on him :/
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Gass3268
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« Reply #36 on: February 22, 2016, 12:11:09 PM »
« Edited: February 22, 2016, 01:11:31 PM by Gass3268 »

If Trump can get over 50% of the vote here he will get all 42 delegate, just like South Carolina.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #37 on: February 22, 2016, 12:14:54 PM »

If Trump can get over 50% of the vote here he will get [all 42 delegate, just like South Carolina.

No, unfortunately it's close to impossible to get WTA in the MA primary. Very low threshold too, at 5%.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #38 on: February 22, 2016, 12:40:58 PM »

MA may become the biggest battleground state for Super Tuesday on the Dem side.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #39 on: February 22, 2016, 01:13:28 PM »

If Trump can get over 50% of the vote here he will get [all 42 delegate, just like South Carolina.

No, unfortunately it's close to impossible to get WTA in the MA primary. Very low threshold too, at 5%.

I think I read a tweet wrong about this, my bad.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #40 on: February 22, 2016, 01:14:43 PM »

Looks like Pope Francis can't stump the Trump even in the most catholic states.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #41 on: February 22, 2016, 01:17:55 PM »

Looks like Pope Francis can't stump the Trump even in the most catholic states.

Republican Catholics are his best group.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #42 on: February 22, 2016, 03:05:45 PM »

This is YUUUUUUUUUUUUUUGE!
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Nathan
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« Reply #43 on: February 22, 2016, 07:55:41 PM »

Looks like Pope Francis can't stump the Trump even in the most catholic states.

I've said it before and I'll say it again: American Christians are filthy casuals.
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RI
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« Reply #44 on: February 22, 2016, 07:57:42 PM »

Looks like Pope Francis can't stump the Trump even in the most catholic states.

I've said it before and I'll say it again: American Christians are filthy casuals.

Well, yeah. Especially northeastern Catholics.
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ag
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« Reply #45 on: February 22, 2016, 07:58:06 PM »

BUT ISN'T TRUMP'S MAX SUPPOSED TO BE 35%???

Well, a Republican in MA is a pretty selected sample.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #46 on: February 22, 2016, 08:06:56 PM »

Boston is one of the most racist places in the country. The whites vote Democratic but a candidate like Trump is a perfect fit in a general election, even for many of those. Something something Irish intolerance. Not sure what percentage of primary voters will pull a Republican ballot here, but if it's anything like what we'd expect in a general election, then the core of the GOP here is probably exactly the type that loves it some Trump (and I bet there'll be plenty of Dems crossing over to vote for Trump because they resonate well with him, too).
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Nathan
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« Reply #47 on: February 22, 2016, 08:13:16 PM »

I think there might to some extent be an Irish/Italian divide among Massachusetts Catholics on Trump. This is entirely anecdotal, but nobody in my Italian Catholic extended family, which includes a diversity of political opinion in general, can stand him.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #48 on: February 22, 2016, 08:16:07 PM »

I think there might to some extent be an Irish/Italian divide among Massachusetts Catholics on Trump. This is entirely anecdotal, but nobody in my Italian Catholic extended family, which includes a diversity of political opinion in general, can stand him.

Interesting. In your absence, I mentioned that mine does, but it suffers from a severe gender divide. Of course New York =/= Boston, but Philly Italians I know seem to be slowly gravitating to him.
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Nathan
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« Reply #49 on: February 22, 2016, 08:18:35 PM »
« Edited: February 22, 2016, 08:27:12 PM by Bow all your heads to our adored Mary Katherine. »

I think there might to some extent be an Irish/Italian divide among Massachusetts Catholics on Trump. This is entirely anecdotal, but nobody in my Italian Catholic extended family, which includes a diversity of political opinion in general, can stand him.

Interesting. In your absence, I mentioned that mine does, but it suffers from a severe gender divide. Of course New York =/= Boston, but Philly Italians I know seem to be slowly gravitating to him.

My family's actually ancestrally Springfield-based, though nowadays mostly in Worcester County or on Cape Cod. Sensibilities between Greater Boston People and Western Mass People, regardless of ethnic or religious group, are different enough that even after a generation or so of moving around that might still make a difference.
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