MA-Emerson College: Dems tied, Trump 50%

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Pretty good poll for Clinton. Even a narrow loss in Massachusetts wouldn't be too bad for her, since that's a state Sanders would probably win by at least 5 if he were headed for a national win. That's a YUGE number for Trump. Looks like a comeback for Rubio won't come from the Northeast. Where will it come from, then? The Midwest? The West?

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https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/701613276375994372
What's with people saying this is bad for Sanders? She won by 15 last time.

The idea is that MA is the kind of state that Sanders needs to win if he's going to win the nomination. Some of Obama's best states (MS, GA, SC) will be among Sanders' worst, so he'll need to make the delegates up somewhere else.

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Emerson had NH at Sanders 52, Clinton 42, favored Clinton by 12 points over real results.
Emerson had Iowa at Sanders 43, Clinton 51, favored Clinton by 8 points over real results.
Both polls were completed just one day before the states voted.

Then again, most polls underestimated Clinton in Nevada, so you can never be sure.