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  SC - Clemson: Clinton +50
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Author Topic: SC - Clemson: Clinton +50  (Read 4475 times)
Holmes
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« on: February 25, 2016, 12:47:25 pm »

http://newsstand.clemson.edu/mediarelations/clinton-will-win-by-wide-margin-in-south-carolina-palmetto-poll-shows/

Clinton 64
Sanders 14

Feb 20 - 25, 650 polled, MoE +/- 3%.

It's a university poll. But consistent with Clinton being up 30-40% in other Southern states like Georgia and Texas. So.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
LibertarianRepublican
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« Reply #1 on: February 25, 2016, 12:48:47 pm »

University poll that has Sanders under 15%? REEEEEE, throw this in the trash.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #2 on: February 25, 2016, 01:11:06 pm »

I saw the title and thought that it meant Clinton was at 50% and I was like Surprise, but then I saw the poll, and now I'm like Cheesy even though I agree it's probably trash.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #3 on: February 25, 2016, 01:13:33 pm »

JUNK JUNK JUNK
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Holmes
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« Reply #4 on: February 25, 2016, 01:15:03 pm »

I wonder why University polls underestimate the losing candidate most of the time? Clinton is for sure probably at 64%, but Sanders at 14% is just such an embarrassing thing to publish.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: February 25, 2016, 01:24:11 pm »

This is gonna be a thrashing, but unfortunately it won't be anywhere near this big of one.
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A Perez
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« Reply #6 on: February 25, 2016, 02:31:29 pm »

University poll that has Sanders under 15%? REEEEEE, throw this in the trash.
No polling expert ever said that university polls are worse than Non-university polls.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #7 on: February 25, 2016, 02:43:42 pm »

I wonder why University polls underestimate the losing candidate most of the time? Clinton is for sure probably at 64%, but Sanders at 14% is just such an embarrassing thing to publish.

Well this is a trash poll but since it overestimates Clinton you couldn't help but to publish it.
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Holmes
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« Reply #8 on: February 25, 2016, 02:44:40 pm »

I wonder why University polls underestimate the losing candidate most of the time? Clinton is for sure probably at 64%, but Sanders at 14% is just such an embarrassing thing to publish.

Well this is a trash poll but since it overestimates Clinton you couldn't help but to publish it.

I didn't publish this poll.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: February 25, 2016, 02:48:22 pm »

Uh... did the survey include any white people?
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #10 on: February 25, 2016, 04:29:41 pm »

If this is anywhere close then Bernie is dead Sad
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #11 on: February 25, 2016, 04:34:22 pm »

Uh... did the survey include any white people?
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For Trump everything, for immigrants the law
xingkerui
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« Reply #12 on: February 25, 2016, 05:29:44 pm »

If the current polls are accurate (which we'll find out soon enough), then Sanders is toast. He can't win the nomination if he's losing GA/SC by 50, and TX by more than 30. I can certainly live with Hillary as the nominee, but I'll want to take a break from this forum, considering how absolutely unbearable the Hillary hacks here will be, if the polls are right.
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АverroŽs 🦉
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« Reply #13 on: February 26, 2016, 09:07:20 pm »

Notice:

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So the result isn't ridiculous. But, as it's not meant to include all likely voters, I'm not sure why the aggregators are even including this one.
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socaldem
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« Reply #14 on: February 26, 2016, 11:41:01 pm »

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So the result isn't ridiculous. But, as it's not meant to include all likely voters, I'm not sure why the aggregators are even including this one.

So this poll excludes anyone under 22 years old? The youth are like 80%+ Sanders voters...
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #15 on: February 27, 2016, 01:17:42 am »

Watch CNN point to this poll after SC saying "WOW Sanders outperformed the polls by 25 points!"
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #16 on: February 27, 2016, 01:19:39 am »

Watch CNN point to this poll after SC saying "WOW Sanders outperformed the polls by 25 points!"

That'd be fantastic! Fingers crossed.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: February 27, 2016, 01:31:55 am »

Watch CNN point to this poll after SC saying "WOW Sanders outperformed the polls by 25 points!"

LOL. I could see them doing that. Luckily it's only a single poll and doesn't seem to be getting too much attention. If multiple polls were showing similar numbers I'd start to be a bit nervous about that.
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Holmes
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« Reply #18 on: February 27, 2016, 01:51:51 am »

Notice:

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So the result isn't ridiculous. But, as it's not meant to include all likely voters, I'm not sure why the aggregators are even including this one.

So this poll excludes anyone under 22 years old? The youth are like 80%+ Sanders voters...

They're excluded if they're indicated that they don't plan to vote in the primary. Otherwise they're included.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #19 on: February 27, 2016, 06:20:28 am »

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socaldem
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« Reply #20 on: February 27, 2016, 11:34:54 am »

Notice:

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So the result isn't ridiculous. But, as it's not meant to include all likely voters, I'm not sure why the aggregators are even including this one.

So this poll excludes anyone under 22 years old? The youth are like 80%+ Sanders voters...

They're excluded if they're indicated that they don't plan to vote in the primary. Otherwise they're included.

The exvlusion wuoted above sers forth two parameters--intention to vote AND voting history. Young voters by virtue of a ge have no voting history.
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Holmes
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« Reply #21 on: February 27, 2016, 11:40:20 am »

Notice:

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So the result isn't ridiculous. But, as it's not meant to include all likely voters, I'm not sure why the aggregators are even including this one.

So this poll excludes anyone under 22 years old? The youth are like 80%+ Sanders voters...

They're excluded if they're indicated that they don't plan to vote in the primary. Otherwise they're included.

The exvlusion wuoted above sers forth two parameters--intention to vote AND voting history. Young voters by virtue of a ge have no voting history.

I read it as the poll includes 1) people who say they're likely to vote in this election and 2) have voted in the last two out of three statewide primaries. But yeah, the wording is pretty vague and it won't matter in 7 hours anyway.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #22 on: February 27, 2016, 07:47:16 pm »

New SC gold standard? lol
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Holmes
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« Reply #23 on: February 27, 2016, 08:06:16 pm »

Heh.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #24 on: February 27, 2016, 08:07:35 pm »

VINDICATED!
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