GA- TEGNA/SUSA: Trump leads Clinton and Sanders.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Trump 50%
Clinton 41%

Trump 49%
Sanders 41%

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/TEGNA-WXIA-SUSA_Poll.pdf


Looks like Rick Grimes is voting Trump.

[Matty]

what was 2012 margn?

[Skye]

what was 2012 margn?

8 points. I mean, we are in a site that has the results for each state for literally every election there has been.

[Matty]

This poll and the recent florida and ohio polls indicate that this race will be anythign from 2004 to 2012.

Elon NC poll appears to be outlier

[Xing]

I wouldn't be surprised if Trump won Georgia by about as much as Romney did. It's not exactly the most elastic state in the nation.

[ElectionsGuy]

The white vote in this state is not going to change much and the black vote turnout will more likely than not be down, so yeah I think this will not be on Clinton's radar in the general.

[Tender Branson]

Full results:

50-41 Trump/Clinton
49-41 Trump/Sanders

49-42 Cruz/Clinton
48-42 Cruz/Sanders

50-43 Rubio/Clinton
49-41 Rubio/Sanders

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=4bbed8ac-c9f0-4ef1-a64e-584123cee583

[Devils30]

GA has a lot of minority voters newly eligible and the white GOP vote is maxed. Still, I would expect Trump to win it 52-47% vs Clinton, if he goes crazy he'll suffer more in elastic places like Indiana than here.

[RFayette]

Trump already at 50% in GA? Not exactly good numbers for Clinton, considering that she wanted to compete there against Trump...

Georgia whites are very much pro-Trump.  Hillary isn't going anywhere here.

[Adam Griffin]

Hillary's underperformance relative to Obama 2008/2012 will probably be strongest in states like Georgia. Why? It really hurts when nearly one-third of your state's voters go from 95-98% Democratic back to 90% Democratic. Black turnout, however, won't be down by any meaningful amount.

Still, a 5-point reduction in the Democratic share of the vote among 30% of the population = 1.5 points, or an increase in the margin of loss by 3 points. If white voters in Georgia return to their Kerry/Obama 08 levels of 23%, however, that will cancel it out.