2015 county predictions (user search)
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  2015 county predictions (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2015 county predictions  (Read 6849 times)
KingSweden
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« on: March 02, 2016, 01:08:41 PM »

2015 county estimates come out sometime this month. Any predictions?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2016, 10:02:13 AM »

Spokane County added about 6500 people, meaning it has roughly grown 30-50% more each year this decade than the year prior. It's added nearly 20,000 people.

Outside of the booming Seattle area, the big surprise is how much Clark (Vancouver) continues to grow. Portland residents being priced out of the city, perhaps?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #2 on: March 24, 2016, 12:48:57 PM »

Spokane County added about 6500 people, meaning it has roughly grown 30-50% more each year this decade than the year prior. It's added nearly 20,000 people.

Outside of the booming Seattle area, the big surprise is how much Clark (Vancouver) continues to grow. Portland residents being priced out of the city, perhaps?
And a relative low population base to begin with. Clark, WA and Washington, OR have been growing at about the same rate for the past few decades. As suburban counties grow, they develop there own infrastructure, builders, grocery stores, doctors, lawyers, small companies. There could also be tax considerations and familiarity with the state. Someone from Yakima can stay in Washington, and cross the river if they need an airport or want to see an NBA game.,

A good point. I know many live in Clark to avoid OR taxes but do all their shopping across the river to avoid sales tax
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KingSweden
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« Reply #3 on: March 24, 2016, 07:46:06 PM »

The closest (in population) possible plan for Maine's two congressional districts consisting of (contiguous) whole Maine counties will go from this as of and according to the 2014 estimates



to this



I was wrong.  The second map, which stayed in "second place", did overtake the first, which fell to fourth, but the closest possible plan for Maine's two congressional districts with contiguous as of and according to the 2015 estimates is



The estimates released today have the green district having 126 more people than the blue one (so each district is 63 people off).  The difference in the next closest plan (with at least technically contiguous counties) is 1,308 (each district 1,504 people off).

What are the partisan leans/PVI of your districts?
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