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Author Topic: NH-WMUR: Ayotte +4  (Read 1211 times)
IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« on: March 03, 2016, 06:23:06 pm »

Kelly Ayotte (R, inc.): 45%
Hassan (D): 41%

http://www.wmur.com/politics/wmur-poll-as-senate-campaign-begins-in-earnest-ayotte-hold-small-lead-over-hassan/38324280

Hassan is only winning women by 5 points (46%-41%). New Hampshire voters gonna New Hampshire again lol.
« Last Edit: March 03, 2016, 06:44:16 pm by TN volunteer »Logged
IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2016, 06:25:12 pm »

If Climbing Maggie wins this Senate race, she will hold this seat for three decades or so. Republicans need to defeat her at all costs.
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
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« Reply #2 on: March 03, 2016, 06:34:42 pm »

I must admit that this is actually a good poll for Ayotte considering that it also shows Clinton annihilating her Republican opponents and it's been conducted right after the whole SCOTUS controversy. Hmmm, this race is still leans D in my book, though. Ayotte will have a hard time getting more than 48% of the vote.
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
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« Reply #3 on: March 04, 2016, 07:51:42 pm »

Yep, of course Ayotte being up 4 against a known opponent in a D+1 state means that she's the underdog, while Kirk being down 6 against a relatively unknown opponent in a D+8 state means that he's favored. Totally makes sense.

Not saying Kirk is favored, just that it's a Tossup. And yes, it does make sense. Climbing Maggie won't be able to run sexist ads this time like she did against Havenstein and Lamontagne, but she will still pander to women voters. Ayotte needs at least 45% of angry women to win this race. That's almost impossible for her to achieve. 47% of NH residents would vote for a virus with a D next to its name, it's one of the most inelastic states in the country. Being a woman doesn't get you elected in Illinois, on the other hand.
« Last Edit: March 04, 2016, 07:53:56 pm by TN volunteer »Logged
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