FL-Gravis: TRUMP, Clinton Ahead
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Author Topic: FL-Gravis: TRUMP, Clinton Ahead  (Read 3031 times)
Ebsy
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« on: March 04, 2016, 12:46:10 PM »
« edited: March 04, 2016, 12:47:49 PM by Ebsy »

Likely GOP:

TRUMP: 45
Rubio: 25
Cruz: 15
Kasich: 10
Carson: 5 (Out of the race)

Likely Dem:

Clinton: 58
Sanders: 42

Conducted February 24th

Source: http://www.oann.com/pollflorida/
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Holmes
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« Reply #1 on: March 04, 2016, 12:46:28 PM »

Ok.
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jaichind
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« Reply #2 on: March 04, 2016, 12:48:27 PM »

If Kasich wants to be relevant, he better start getting his team in FL to work toward tactical voting for Rubio.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #3 on: March 04, 2016, 12:48:44 PM »

Looks like PPP's numbers and close to Quinnipiac's numbers, so i'll buy it.

also lol why the hell would that help Kasich jaichind? The thing that would help Kasich is if Rubio loses Florida, Kasich wins Ohio, and that forces Rubio to drop out and endorse him.
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rob in cal
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« Reply #4 on: March 04, 2016, 12:50:59 PM »

    The already voted contingent was 13% in GOP side, and that was a week ago, so its got to be higher by now. 
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: March 04, 2016, 01:06:32 PM »

I don't see how Marcobot can save this. He will be remembered as the Republican Martha Coakley.
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EliteLX
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« Reply #6 on: March 04, 2016, 01:09:00 PM »

In case you wanted any more proof this race is over.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #7 on: March 04, 2016, 01:26:14 PM »

This is pre-Super Tuesday,  this is bad for Marco.
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Shadows
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« Reply #8 on: March 04, 2016, 01:50:57 PM »

I think 42% is too good for Sanders given how the demographic is. If we wins in Kansas, Maine, Nebraska & pulls an upset in Michigan, he will be going with a lot of momentum & can crack the 45-465 odd, essentially almost splitting the delegates.

Florida is not going to be easy for Sanders & of the March 15th States, I expect it to be the most pro-Clinton & it also has the highest delegates for March 15th.

But this is bad for Rubio, GOP is Winner take all, Rubio can't loose to Trump by 20% points, he has to win this or it is over for him. if Cruz comes with 200-250 more delegates than Rubio to the convention, there is a chance of him being a compromise candidate instead of Rubio
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #9 on: March 04, 2016, 02:02:21 PM »

I think 42% is too good for Sanders given how the demographic is. If we wins in Kansas, Maine, Nebraska & pulls an upset in Michigan, he will be going with a lot of momentum & can crack the 45-465 odd, essentially almost splitting the delegates.

Florida is not going to be easy for Sanders & of the March 15th States, I expect it to be the most pro-Clinton & it also has the highest delegates for March 15th.

But this is bad for Rubio, GOP is Winner take all, Rubio can't loose to Trump by 20% points, he has to win this or it is over for him. if Cruz comes with 200-250 more delegates than Rubio to the convention, there is a chance of him being a compromise candidate instead of Rubio


North Carolina will be worse for Sanders than Florida.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: March 04, 2016, 02:39:23 PM »

I think 42% is too good for Sanders given how the demographic is. If we wins in Kansas, Maine, Nebraska & pulls an upset in Michigan, he will be going with a lot of momentum & can crack the 45-465 odd, essentially almost splitting the delegates.

Florida is not going to be easy for Sanders & of the March 15th States, I expect it to be the most pro-Clinton & it also has the highest delegates for March 15th.

But this is bad for Rubio, GOP is Winner take all, Rubio can't loose to Trump by 20% points, he has to win this or it is over for him. if Cruz comes with 200-250 more delegates than Rubio to the convention, there is a chance of him being a compromise candidate instead of Rubio


North Carolina will be worse for Sanders than Florida.

I think they'll be pretty close to each other. If Sanders spends some time in NC (Asheville, Chapel Hill, and Raleigh) I think could do pretty good in the mountains and Triangle area. I don't see any areas of equal strength in Florida (unless he surprises folks and does really well with the Jewish vote).
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #11 on: March 04, 2016, 10:07:33 PM »

New Poll: Florida President by Gravis Marketing on 2016-02-24

Summary:
Clinton:
58%
Sanders:
42%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #12 on: March 04, 2016, 10:08:34 PM »

New Poll: Florida President by Gravis Marketing on 2016-02-24

Summary:
Trump:
45%
Rubio:
25%
Cruz:
15%
Kasich:
10%
Other:
5%
Undecided:
0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Shadows
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« Reply #13 on: March 04, 2016, 10:34:06 PM »

I think 42% is too good for Sanders given how the demographic is. If we wins in Kansas, Maine, Nebraska & pulls an upset in Michigan, he will be going with a lot of momentum & can crack the 45-465 odd, essentially almost splitting the delegates.

Florida is not going to be easy for Sanders & of the March 15th States, I expect it to be the most pro-Clinton & it also has the highest delegates for March 15th.

But this is bad for Rubio, GOP is Winner take all, Rubio can't loose to Trump by 20% points, he has to win this or it is over for him. if Cruz comes with 200-250 more delegates than Rubio to the convention, there is a chance of him being a compromise candidate instead of Rubio


North Carolina will be worse for Sanders than Florida.

I thought about that, but I don't think so - Let the polls come, I think Florida could be brutal
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #14 on: March 05, 2016, 12:37:04 AM »

I think 42% is too good for Sanders given how the demographic is. If we wins in Kansas, Maine, Nebraska & pulls an upset in Michigan, he will be going with a lot of momentum & can crack the 45-465 odd, essentially almost splitting the delegates.

Florida is not going to be easy for Sanders & of the March 15th States, I expect it to be the most pro-Clinton & it also has the highest delegates for March 15th.

But this is bad for Rubio, GOP is Winner take all, Rubio can't loose to Trump by 20% points, he has to win this or it is over for him. if Cruz comes with 200-250 more delegates than Rubio to the convention, there is a chance of him being a compromise candidate instead of Rubio

are u on drugs
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Xing
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« Reply #15 on: March 05, 2016, 01:36:56 AM »

I'm surprised Clinton isn't ahead by more. Hard to find good news for Sanders in Florida, when it has very large black and Latino populations, as well as a lot of elderly voters.

If Rubio is down by this much in Florida, might as well call it now. Rubio's toast.
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MK
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« Reply #16 on: March 05, 2016, 05:21:15 AM »

No way Trump is leading by that much in FL. Where is all his support in FL coming from exactly?
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President Johnson
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« Reply #17 on: March 05, 2016, 05:52:07 AM »

Too old now. But TRUMP will win anyway.
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Why
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« Reply #18 on: March 05, 2016, 07:53:49 AM »

Going by the polling there is more chance Trump will get 50% in Florida than Rubio beating him. Trump only loses this if he has a nation wide collapse of support or the polls are extremely inaccurate.
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Shadows
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« Reply #19 on: March 05, 2016, 08:02:43 AM »

I think 42% is too good for Sanders given how the demographic is. If we wins in Kansas, Maine, Nebraska & pulls an upset in Michigan, he will be going with a lot of momentum & can crack the 45-465 odd, essentially almost splitting the delegates.

Florida is not going to be easy for Sanders & of the March 15th States, I expect it to be the most pro-Clinton & it also has the highest delegates for March 15th.

But this is bad for Rubio, GOP is Winner take all, Rubio can't loose to Trump by 20% points, he has to win this or it is over for him. if Cruz comes with 200-250 more delegates than Rubio to the convention, there is a chance of him being a compromise candidate instead of Rubio

are u on drugs

Dude don't quote me to give your ridiculous comments
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