KS (R Only) Trafalgar Group: Trump Leading, Cruz 2nd, Rubio distant 3rd

[swf541]

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B4lhKxf9pMitZjBsU0tIVEY2ZGM/view

Trump 35.18
Cruz 29.31
Rubio 16.56
Kasich 12.66
Undecided 6.29

Conducted 3/2-3/3

[A Perez]

Pollsters are afraid of polling Democrats here.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

DON'T VOTE FOR TRUMP, KANSAS!!!!! YOU KNOW BETTER!!!!!!

[Hydera]

Pollsters are afraid of polling Democrats here.

Spoiler Alert: Anti-establishment protest voting mountain west democrats = Bernie wins

[Gass3268]

Maybe the Plains States won't be that great for Cruz.

[swf541]

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/fort-hays-state-university-23980

Found this poll for kansas as well, but I think its pretty junky so I didnt make a thread for it (espicially when I saw the general election numbers and when it was conducted)

I think Cruz narrowly wins Kansas due to it being a caucus and closed, however Trump winning wouldnt surprise me

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Kansas should be ripe for a Cruz and Sanders win. It's a caucus state which should help both of them.

[swf541]

Looking in the poll, does Trump typically fare best with older voters and the worst with younger voters? I assumed Cruz would do the best with older voters.

[Maxwell]

RIP Rubio.

[Bigby]

RIP Rubio. Twinkbot

[ElectionsGuy]

Looking in the poll, does Trump typically fare best with older voters and the worst with younger voters? I assumed Cruz would do the best with older voters.

Actually, the pattern I typically see is Cruz doing best with younger voters, Trump doing best with the middle-aged, while Rubio doing best among seniors. (and by 'doing best' I don't mean leading, just that its their best age demographic. Trump obviously leads all age groups)

Maybe the Plains States won't be that great for Cruz.

Remember how much polling in Oklahoma underestimated Cruz?

[Mehmentum]

Looking in the poll, does Trump typically fare best with older voters and the worst with younger voters? I assumed Cruz would do the best with older voters.

Actually, the pattern I typically see is Cruz doing best with younger voters, Trump doing best with the middle-aged, while Rubio doing best among seniors. (and by 'doing best' I don't mean leading, just that its their best age demographic. Trump obviously leads all age groups)

Maybe the Plains States won't be that great for Cruz.

Remember how much polling in Oklahoma underestimated Cruz?

Also, this is a caucus.  Trump is 1 for 4 with caucuses so far.

[Mr. Morden]

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/fort-hays-state-university-23980

Found this poll for kansas as well, but I think its pretty junky so I didnt make a thread for it (espicially when I saw the general election numbers and when it was conducted)

That one's already been posted:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=230585.0

[/]

This changes things. I was expecting a decent Cruz lead.

[The Other Castro]

This changes things. I was expecting a decent Cruz lead.

A Cruz lead in a KS poll would mean he'd win the state handedly. Cruz is going to outperform caucus polls in places like this.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Let us remember that Trump had a pretty healthy lead in Alaska polls before he lost it to Cruz.

[Volrath50]

I would have expected a tie or so, but even with this, I still expect Cruz to overperform and win Kansas.

[swf541]

Let us remember that Trump had a pretty healthy lead in Alaska polls before he lost it to Cruz.

The only poll that was somewhat close to super tuesday for Alaska was from Overtime wasnt it?  I dont remember any others

[Volrath50]

Let us remember that Trump had a pretty healthy lead in Alaska polls before he lost it to Cruz.

The only poll that was somewhat close to super tuesday for Alaska was from Overtime wasnt it?  I dont remember any others

Yeah, I completely ignore Overtime "polls," and I don't recall a single poll of Alaska. People were basically just guessing at it (probably still more accurate than overtime.)

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Let us remember that Trump had a pretty healthy lead in Alaska polls before he lost it to Cruz.

When was the last good Alaska poll for any election ever though?

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I see the LAMEstream media refrains from reporting on Bernie's upcoming thrashing of Her Highness among the fine citizens of Maine and the Great Plains.  VERY disrespectful. 

[IceSpear]

I see the LAMEstream media refrains from reporting on Bernie's upcoming thrashing of Her Highness among the fine citizens of Maine and the Great Plains.  VERY disrespectful. 

Hillary is still likely to win more delegates, thanks to the wonderful people of the great state of Louisiana.

[Crumpets]

Pollsters are afraid of polling Democrats here.

Spoiler Alert: Anti-establishment protest voting mountain west democrats = Bernie wins

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[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I see the LAMEstream media refrains from reporting on Bernie's upcoming thrashing of Her Highness among the fine citizens of Maine and the Great Plains.  VERY disrespectful.  

Hillary is still likely to win more delegates, thanks to the wonderful people of the great state of Louisiana.

Yea, we know.  More funny business from the Clinton Fan Club DNC to schedule Louisiana right in the middle of Spring Break when all the cool people (a decisively pro-Bernie demographic) will be raging face in NOLA.  Does that wench DWS have no shame?

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Spring Break? It's too early, we aren't in Spring Break yet.